Browns Jaguars odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars preseason odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Browns (0-0) and Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) meet in preseason action Friday. Kickoff from TIAA Bank Stadium is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Browns vs. Jaguars odds, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Browns head into their preseason opener on the heels of some terrible news. The team lost key KR/WR Jakeem Grant Sr. to a torn Achilles’ suffered on the practice field, and he is now done for the season.

The good news is that QB Deshaun Watson will make the trip, and could potentially play for the first time since the end of the 2020 season with the Houston Texans. He is suspended for at least 6 games in the regular season, but allowed to play in the exhibition portion of the schedule.

The Jaguars were on the short end of a 27-11 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders in last week’s Hall of Fame Game, but QB Trevor Lawrence and RB Travis Etienne were among the starters taking a rest. Coach Doug Pederson announced the starters will play against Cleveland, at least for a series or two.

RB James Robinson, still recovering from a torn Achilles’ last season, will not play for the Jags, nor will WR Laviska Shenault Jr.

Browns at Jaguars odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 3:35 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Browns -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Jaguars -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Browns -1.5 (-105) | Jaguars +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 37.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Browns at Jaguars picks and predictions

Prediction

Browns 23, Jaguars 16

Money line

The BROWNS (-115) might use Watson, or he could sit. HC Kevin Stefanski has said the embattled QB will play at least 1 of the 3 preseason games, perhaps as soon as Friday. Either way, QBs Jacoby Brissett, Josh Dobbs and Josh Rosen will need plenty of reps to get ready for when Watson is out, and they’re more than capable. Cleveland will have plenty of talent on the field with or without Watson.

The Jaguars (-105) defense was in midseason form, and not in a good way, going down 20-0 at half in the HOF game last week.

Against the spread

Early on, the BROWNS -1.5 (-105) were getting points, and that’s a gift from the books. Take advantage if you can find it. Cleveland’s offense is deep at the skill positions, even if some starters sit, and Jacksonville didn’t look terribly improved last week, albeit with plenty of starters resting.

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Over/Under

The OVER 37.5 (-108) is the lean here, and worth playing lightly. Jacksonville’s defense was very giving against Vegas last week, and Cleveland will roll out at least 2 quarterbacks capable of moving the ball.

Even if RBs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt were to see limited or no action, RBs D’Ernest Johnson and Demetric Felton Jr. can do damage. Rookie WR David Bell will also be looking to make an early splash. Cleveland could score plenty here.

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Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars preseason Week 1 matchup, with NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions and best bets.

The Jacksonville Jaguars begin a new era by hosting the Cleveland Browns Saturday in the 2021 preseason opener for both sides. Kickoff is at 7 p.m. ET at TIAA Bank Field. Below, we look at the Browns at Jaguars odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Jaguars will split quarterback duties between rookie and No. 1 overall draft pick QB Trevor Lawrence and incumbent veteran Gardner Minshew. Many expect Lawrence to be under center in Week 1 of the regular season, but Minshew has been adamant he won’t give up the starting role without his best fight.

Head coach Urban Meyer and RB Travis Etienne are also among the new pieces making their game debuts for the Jaguars.

Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski said this week he’ll rest most of his key starters Saturday. The quarterback duties will be split between Case Keenum and Kyle Lauletta as they battle to back up Baker Mayfield in 2021.

Browns at Jaguars odds, spread and lines

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:05 p.m. ET.

Money line: Browns +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Jaguars -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Browns +2.5 (+100) | Jaguars -2.5 (-125)
Total: 36.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Browns at Jaguars odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Jaguars 27, Browns 17

Money line

These lines are indicative of the changing times for two of the NFL’s longest-suffering franchises.

The books are rightfully favoring the host Jaguars as they head into preseason play with many intriguing depth chart battles at key offensive positions. Meanwhile, the Browns seem to have finally graduated from sorting out their first-team offense and defense, and will instead be giving longer looks to those further down the depth chart Saturday.

Back the JAGUARS (-145) as moderate favorites with Lawrence and Minshew both likely to put on a show for their new coach.

Against the spread

The better bet is to go with the JAGUARS -2.5 (-125) for the hosts to win by at least 3 points.

Outside of the QB battle, Etienne will be trying to usurp 2020 star RB James Robinson. The first-team wide receivers, including veteran Marvin Jones are also expected to get lengthy looks alongside their signal-callers.

Over/Under

Jaguars-Browns sets up to be one of the more intriguing matchups of the Week 1 preseason schedule. Back the OVER 36.5 (-125) with the highly motivated hosts capable of handling most of the scoring.

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Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars odds and lines: NFL gets first look at Trevor Lawrence

Analyzing the NFL preseason Week 1 odds and lines as the Cleveland Browns take on QB Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The Jacksonville Jaguars will unveil rookie QB Trevor Lawrence to the rest of the NFL Saturday when they take on the Cleveland Browns in the preseason opener for both sides. Kickoff will be at 7 p.m. ET at TIAA Bank Field. Below, we look at the Browns at Jaguars odds and lines.

The Jaguars finished 1-15 last season and secured the right to select Lawrence with the No. 1 pick of the 2020 NFL Draft. He’ll be complemented by new head coach Urban Meyer, fellow first-round pick RB Travis Etienne and a slew of offseason acquisitions, including WR Marvin Jones.

It all combines to make the 2021 campaign one of the most anticipated in recent Jaguars history.

The Browns look to keep the good times rolling after making the postseason for the first time since 2002 and winning a playoff game for the first time since 1994. QB Baker Mayfield and the rest of the returning core from last year’s successful campaign aren’t likely to see much of the field in the preseason opener.

Browns at Jaguars: Odds, spread and line

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 5:25 p.m. ET.

Money line: Browns +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Jaguars -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Browns +2.5, -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Jaguars -2.5, -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Total: 37.5, Over -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Under -115 (bet $115 to win $100)

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202 Betting stats (regular season):

ATS: Browns 6-10 | Jaguars 7-9
O/U: Browns 9-7 | Jaguars 8-8

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New to NFL betting?

The Jaguars are slight home favorites with an implied win probability of 56.52%. Their -130 money line odds can be expressed as a fraction of 10/13 or a decimal of 1.77. Jacksonville will need to win by 3 or more points in order to cover the spread.

The Browns must lose by 2 or fewer points, or win outright, in order to cover the spread. Their +105 odds represent an implied win probability of 48.78%.

The Jaguars and Browns must combine to score 38 or more points for a bet on the Over 37.5 to cash. A point total of 37 or fewer points is a win for the Under. The odds price the Under as the more likely result on the projected total.

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