We get a 12-round championship bout for the undisputed junior middleweight title when Jermell Charlo and Brian Carlos Castano meet at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. The fight’s expected to start shortly after 9 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Charlo vs. Castano odds, with boxing picks and predictions.
The fight card will be televised on Showtime.
Charlo, a.k.a. “Iron Man”, looks for his fourth consecutive victory. He won in the eighth round by knockout at Mohegan Sun Casino Sept. 26, in his most recent showing against Jeison Rosario. Before that he avenged an earlier loss to Tony Harrison with a victory over Harrison Dec. 21, 2019 at Toyota Arena in Ontario, Calif.
Castano went the distance against Patrick Teixeira last time out at the Fantasy Springs Casino in Indio, Calif., Feb. 13, winning in convincing fashion with scores of 119-109, 120-108, 117-111. It was his second consecutive win since his split-decision draw against Erislandy Lara March 2, 2019.
Jermell Charlo vs. Brian Carlos Castano odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
Jermell Charlo: -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Brian Carlos Castano: +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Draw: +1600
Charlo has an implied win probability of 73.33% with the -275 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 4/11 or a decimal of 1.363.
Jermell Charlo vs. Brian Carlos Castano: Tale of the tape
Jermell Charlo (-275)
Record: 34-1-0 (18 KOs)
Height: 5-foot-11
Reach: 73″
Stance: Orthodox
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Brian Carlos Castano (+220)
Record: 17-0-1 (12 KOs)
Height: 5-foot-7.5
Reach: 67.5″
Stance: Orthodox
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Charlo vs. Castano: Odds, predictions and picks
Charlo (-275) will cost you nearly three times your potential return, and even though he is a pretty sure thing to get the win, you can’t take that risk.
AVOID.
Charlo vs. Castano best bet
Charlo comes into this one with nearly a half-foot advantage in the reach department, and that should help Charlo keep the challenger at bay. He has three consecutive knockout victories using that reach to his advantage, and he’ll keep the train rolling with another KO/TKO win. Back CHARLO BY KO/TKO/TECHNICAL DECISION OR DQ (+200) to double up.
In addition, it’s worth taking a chance on LESS THAN 11 ROUNDS (+175) for the fight distance, and you avoid declaring a winner on that wager. Or, you can simply play NO (+150): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE FULL 12 ROUNDS?
Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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