The Milwaukee Brewers (11-11) and Minnesota Twins (16-9) wrap up a three-game set Thursday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Target Field. We analyze the Brewers-Twins betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Brewers at Twins: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Brandon Woodruff vs. RHP Jose Berrios
Woodruff: 1-1, 3.16 ERA, 1.052 WHIP, 30 K, 7 BB, 25 2/3 IP through 5 starts
- Failed to make it out of the fifth inning in each of his last two starts and hasn’t recorded a decision since his second outing of the season.
- An excellent road pitcher with a 3.63 career ERA through 17 starts and eight relief appearances.
Berrios: 1-3, 5.92 ERA, 1.644 WHIP, 24 K, 13 BB, 24 1/3 IP through 5 starts
- Walk rate of 4.8 batters per nine innings is more than double last year’s 2.3 mark.
- Has completed six innings just once this season. That start was at home Aug. 4 against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
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Brewers at Twins: Key injuries
Get the latest injury news here.
Brewers
- RP Justin Grimm (finger) out
Twins
- 2B Luis Arraez (knee) questionable
- 3B Josh Donaldson (calf) out
- C Mitch Garver (upper body) questionable
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Brewers at Twins: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:28 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Brewers 4, Twins 3
Moneyline (ML)
The Twins (-115) aren’t worth the juice with several key injuries and Berrios yet to find his form early in the delayed season. The BREWERS (+105) offer plus-money and can bank on at least a safe outing from Woodruff before turning things over to RP Josh Hader and the league’s fourth-best bullpen by ERA.
The Twins rank seventh in baseball with 3.46 ERA, but those relievers were heavily worked in Wednesday’s 9-3 loss to the Brew Crew. The Twins took two of three against the Brewers in Milwaukee a little over a week ago, but the BREWERS (+105) flip the script with a series win Thursday.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Brewers to win outright would return a profit of $10.50.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The TWINS +1.5 (-189) are underdogs on the spread as BetMGM tries to hedge in what’s projected as a tight game. The run line is a good hedge for bettors, too, in case Berrios manages to show some of his 2019 form.
The Twins took Game 1 of this series 4-3 Tuesday.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the UNDER 8.5 (-110). Two of the five meetings between the two teams this year played below Thursday’s projection and Minnesota is likely to be without three key bats. Expect 5-6 innings from each starter before turning things over to strong bullpens.
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