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Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (89-56) and Detroit Tigers (69-76) cap off an abbreviated two-game series Wednesday with a 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Brewers vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Brandon Woodruff is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 9-8 with a 2.48 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 over 163 1/3 IP across 27 starts.

  • Woodruff is coming off a clunker and a protracted rest interval. He allowed 4 earned runs on 9 hits, including 3 home runs, in a home loss Sept. 6 to the Philadelphia Phillies. He was skipped over in his next scheduled start due to a stomach problem.
  • Owns a 4.31 ERA over his last six road starts.

RHP Matt Manning is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 3-6 with a 6.14 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 5.3 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 over 66 IP through 14 starts.

  • Manning was pulled after 3 innings in his last start because he took a line drive to the left knee. He coughed up 8 ER the turn before that, but across three starts from Aug. 12-27 logged a 3.24 ERA.
  • Has been hurt by a .325 batting average on balls in play and a low 61.4% left on base rate.

Brewers at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Tigers +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -2.5 (+102) | Tigers +2.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Prediction

Tigers 5, Brewers 4

Money line (ML)

Milwaukee had a five-game win streak snapped with a 1-0 loss in Tuesday’s opener. Improved batting and continued excellence on the mound have propelled the Brewers to a 23-10 mark over their last 33 games.

The Brewers averaged 5.1 runs per game with a .781 OPS at the plate over that span, and their pitchers have recorded a 3.43 ERA to back it up. Their 3.7 RPG allowed for the season is third in MLB.

Detroit has won four of its last five games. Tuesday’s win came in 11 innings; so did Sunday’s 8-7 victory against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Woodruff may be get-able on his extended rest. He owns a 5.44 ERA over four games this season with 6-plus days of rest. Consider a split play, putting a half-unit on DETROIT (+200) and a half-unit on a +2.5 run line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Close the loop on the above with a DETROIT +2.5 (-125) play.

Over/Under (O/U)

Peg the decisions underlying the total as swinging 10 different ways.

A sliver of a sliver of a lean exists on the Over, but the leverage isn’t there for a play. PASS.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (89-55) stop by Comerica Park Tuesday to begin a two-game interleague series with the Detroit Tigers (68-76). First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Brewers vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

RHP Freddy Peralta is Milwaukee’s projected starter. Peralta is 9-4 with a 2.69 ERA (127 IP, 38 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 in 24 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 4 K in Milwaukee’s 4-3 win against the Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday.
  • Road splits: 5-2 with a 3.00 ERA (54 IP, 18 ER), 1.15 WHIP and 2.8 K/BB in 11 starts.

RHP Wily Peralta is on the mound for the Tigers. Peralta is 3-3 with a 3.60 ERA (70 IP, 28 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 across 14 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision in Detroit’s 3-2 loss Sept. 7 at the Pittsburgh Pirates with a stat line of 4 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 3 K.
  • vs. Brewers on the current roster (67 PA): 2.39 FIP with a .197 batting average, .247 wOBA, .416 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 20.9 K% and 87.4 mph exit velocity (EV).

Brewers at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:13 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Tigers +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (-120) | Tigers +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Brewers 8, Tigers 3

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Brewers (-205) because they are clearly the right side but it’s a little too pricey for me. Although, Milwaukee being this heavy of a favorite makes sense considering it has an advantage in starting pitching, relief pitching and hitting.

There’s a ton of pro and public action supporting the Brew Crew, which has caused oddsmakers to move Milwaukee up from a -185 consensus favorite up to the current price.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

GIMME the BREWERS -1.5 (-120) for 1 unit because of their edges in the most important phases of baseball and Milwaukee has won seven of the last eight games, five of which by at least 3 runs.

Detroit’s bullpen ranks towards the bottom of the MLB in most advanced pitching categories while Milwaukee’s relief pitching is one of the better units in the league.

On top of that, W. Peralta’s numbers against these Brewers are pretty good but his pitching peripherals on the year are terrible. W. Peralta grades in the lower third of baseball in EV, xSLG, K%, expected wOBA and chase rate.

Lastly, Milwaukee has the second-best cover rate as a road favorite at 28-19 ATS and both sides of the betting market are backing the BREWERS -1.5 (-120) as well.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-125) for a half unit because both lineups have been hitting well lately and five of the past six Brewers-Tigers have gone Over the total (dating back to last season).

Plus we have a “pros vs. joes” scenario in the betting market with the presumed “sharp” money backing the Over. For example, each lineup ranks in the top-10 over the past 14 days in wRC+, wOBA and WAR.

Nearly three-fourths of the cash wagered is on the Over but a slight majority of the bets placed are with the Under, according to Pregame.com at the time of writing. Typically, it’s wiser in sports betting to follow the money especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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