The Milwaukee Brewers (18-22) and Detroit Tigers (19-21) put the lid on a two-game set at Comerica Park with a Wednesday matinee at 1:10 p.m. ET in the Motor City. Below, we analyze the Brewers-Tigers MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Brewers at Tigers: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Corbin Burnes vs. LHP Matthew Boyd
Burnes has been quite good over his last four starts and totes a 2.35 ERA and 1.04 WHIP into Wednesday’s road start. The 25-year-old has logged five starts and three relief appearances in 2020.
- Has pitched well on the road. Recent starts at the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Indians have been impressive.
- Can usually be counted on for 5-6 innings and is backed by a top-10 relief corps.
Boyd has been torched by the long ball en route to posting a 6.64 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. The Tigers southpaw has coughed up 11 HR in 40 2/3 IP.
- Coming off two good starts with a combined 3 ER, 0 BB, 14 SO in 12 IP.
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Brewers at Tigers: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Brewers
- OF Lorenzo Cain (personal) out
Tigers
- 3B Harold Castro (hamstring) out
- OF JaCoby Jones (hand) out
- 3B Niko Goodrum (oblique) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Brewers at Tigers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML)
The Tigers (+150) have the better offense on paper, but their production is somewhat propped up by a .318 BABIP and corresponding (and overcooked) BABIP in key situations like inning lead-off, runners in scoring position, etc.). The weather in this one does not favor a definitive fly-ball pitcher like Boyd.
Boyd has been quite good over his last two starts, but he has been aided by generous rates around the margins on balls in play. Platoon splits also loom large in this analysis. The Brewers are a well-below-average offense against right-handers, but their .797 OPS against lefties ranks eighth in MLB. OF Avisail Garcia returned from injury Tuesday and adds to the pressure on southpaws. Detroit swings the other way and is prone to below-average production against RHPs.
The most talented pitchers in a good Milwaukee pen should all be rested and ready heading into this one. Take the BREWERS (-167).
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Pricing here paves over any value margins. Pass on BREWERS -1.5 (-106).
Over/Under (O/U)
The Over hit in Tuesday’s series opener on what was a humid night with a batters’ breeze. Wednesday’s game draws much the same weather, and the even-8 is once again worth leveraging on the upside. Back the OVER 8 (-110).
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