The Cincinnati Reds (11-15) and Milwaukee Brewers (11-15) open a four-game series Monday at 8:10 p.m. ET for an NL Central battle at Miller Park. Below, we analyze the Reds-Brewers MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Reds at Brewers: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Trevor Bauer vs. LHP Brett Anderson
Bauer has been one of the top pitchers in the league in the early going. The Reds right-hander has gone six-plus innings in each of four starts and he hasn’t allowed more than one earned run in any outing. Bauer has struck out 14 batters per nine and owns a minuscule 0.68 ERA.
- Bauer has a dominant line against current Milwaukee batters. The Brewers have struck out 32 times in 96 plate appearances. Over those 96 PA, they’ve compiled a .611 OPS and .114 isolated power.
- The Brewers have scuffled against righties (whiff-heavy .612 OPS) in 2020.
Anderson owns a 3.71 ERA through four starts. He’s coming off a solid six-inning road start against the Minnesota Twins, but he’s not fully stretched out yet (the outing was his first this season over 4.1 IP).
- The Milwaukee southpaw makes this start on four days’ rest. Over his much-traveled career and recent seasons alike, Anderson has had better numbers off a five-day interval.
- The Reds have bashed left-handers to the tune of an .801 OPS. Current Cincinnati bats own a high-contact .737 OPS against Anderson
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Reds at Brewers: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Reds
- OF Nick Senzel (undisclosed) out
- RP Robert Stephenson (back) questionable
- RP Pedro Strop (groin) out
Brewers
- RP Justin Grimm (finger) questionable
- RP Corey Knebel (hamstring) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Reds at Brewers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML)
At four games under .500, Cincinnati has under-performed on the runs and runs allowed that it has produced. And the Reds’ numbers on both sides of the ball (runs scored and allowed) undersell underlying production analytics. Anderson wasn’t particularly effective against the Reds in a home start on Aug. 8. The line for this one has jumped toward the Cincinnati side this morning. But there is still value on the visitors. TAKE THE REDS -139 vs. the Brewers (+125).
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Reds to win returns a profit of $7.19.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The run line action is worth monitoring. The REDS -1.5 (+110) line moving perhaps 10 cents (to +120) makes Cincinnati a solid play.
Over/Under (O/U)
The lean here is toward a nine-run total, but the market has that lean pegged. AVOID the Over 8.5 (-121)/Under 8.5 (+100).
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