The Milwaukee Brewers (11-13) and Pittsburgh Pirates (5-17) continue their series at PNC Park on Saturday with a 4:05 p.m. ET first pitch on FS1. We analyze the Brewers-Pirates MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Brewers at Pirates: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Josh Lindblom vs. LHP Derek Holland
Lindblom has posted a 1-0 record with a 6.62 ERA and 1.53 WHIP with 28 strikeouts across 17 2/3 innings over four outings.
- Lindblom allowed five earned runs and three hits with four walks and eight strikeouts across five innings in a no-decision against the Chicago Cubs in Wrigley Field last time out. He has managed seven or more strikeouts in each of his past three starts despite a total of just 14 innings.
- The Brewers are 3-0 in Lindblom’s past three outings and they have posted 20 total runs of support during the span.
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Holland enters play with a 0-1 record, 7.36 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP with 18 strikeouts over 18 1/3 innings in three starts and one relief appearance.
- Holland was shelled for nine runs, 13 hits and five homers in five innings in a loss to the Detroit Tigers on Aug. 8. He was temporarily bumped to the bullpen, working two scoreless innings Tuesday against the Cleveland Indians.
- This will be just Holland’s second appearance against a divisional foe after three straight outings against AL Central teams.
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Brewers at Pirates: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Brewers
- RP Justin Grimm (finger) probable
- RP Corey Knebel (hamstring) out
Pirates
- RP Nick Burdi (elbow) out
- RP Kyle Crick (shoulder) out
- 3B Phillip Evans (concussion/broken jaw) out
Brewers at Pirates: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:30 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Brewers 9, Pirates 6
Moneyline (ML)
The BREWERS (-162) were stunned by the Pirates (+145) on Friday night, as the home side romped 7-2 for just their fifth win of the season. Don’t expect it to happen again. Milwaukee is having its own issues at the moment, dropping three of the past four, but it has an All-Star laden lineup and it will outslug lowly Pittsburgh Saturday. And hey, the Brew Crew seem to get excited when Lindblom is on the bump, winning each of his past three starts.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The BREWERS (-1.5, -110) are just about even money on the run line. They’ll come back Saturday with a vengeance, especially against the very hittable Holland. Expect Milwaukee’s 3B coach to be doing the windmill plenty. However, know that four of the Brewers past five wins have been by one run, so maybe go a little lightly here.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 9.5 (-110) is the best thing going in this one. Hitters are tuning up Holland at a .274/.338/.562 clip, and he has served up six dongs in 18 1/3 innings. Lindblom is a little better, as his opponent slash line is .254/.359/.463, but he has served up four long balls in his 17 2/3 innings.
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