The final week of the USFL regular season continues Sunday with the New Orleans Breakers (6-3) facing the Houston Gamblers (5-3). Kickoff is 4 p.m. ET at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis. (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Breakers vs. Gamblers odds, and make our expert USFL picks and predictions.
The Breakers knocked off the Memphis Showboats 31-3 last week in a pick’em matchup. The Under (42.5) hit in the game. It was the Breakers’ 2nd straight win after losing 3 in a row.
The Gamblers suffered a 38-15 loss to the Birmingham Stallions, failing to cover the 3.5-point spread as underdogs. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games.
These teams met in Week 2, with the Breakers winning 38-31.
The Breakers will clinch a playoff spot with a win, eliminating the Gamblers. If the Gamblers win, tiebreakers come into play.
If the Philadelphia Stars beat the Michigan Panthers in the late Sunday game, the Gamblers make the postseason on a strength of victory tiebreaker. If Michigan wins, the Breakers make it on point differential.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Breakers vs. Gamblers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Breakers -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Gamblers +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread (ATS): Breakers -4 (-110) | Gamblers +4 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Breakers vs. Gamblers key injuries
(From official team Twitter accounts)
Breakers
- LB Shaheed Salmon (shoulder) out
- DE Justus Reed (knee) out
Gamblers
- OL Tyler Higby (back) questionable
- TE Rodell Rahmaan (hamstring) questionable
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Breakers vs. Gamblers picks and predictions
Prediction
Breakers 27, Gamblers 16
Moneyline
The Breakers averaged 33.3 points per game in their 1st 4 games this season, all wins, but then scored only 10 points in each of their next 2 games. They have since averaged 25.0 points per game over their last 3 again.
Meanwhile, the Gamblers have not scored more than 20 points in their last 4 games.
The Breakers won the first matchup and are playing better than Houston, but the moneyline is too pricey to bet.
PASS.
Against the spread
Five of the Breakers’ 6 wins this season have been by at least 4 points. Three of the Gamblers’ 4 losses have been by at least 7 points. They are 1-4 when their opponents score more than 20 points.
BET BREAKERS -4 (-110).
Over/Under
The Breakers have not had a game reach 45 total points since Week 3. Five of the Gamblers’ 9 games have had totals of 45 or more, but 3 out of the last 4 games have not reached 45.
BET UNDER 44.5 (-110).
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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