The Philadelphia Phillies (14-14) go for a three-game sweep of the Atlanta Braves (18-14) on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball game of the week. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Below, We analyze the Braves-Phillies MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Saturday: The Phillies claimed a 4-1 victory behind RF Rhys Hoskins’ three-run homer and SP Zach’s Eflin’s seven strong innings. Philly, which won 7-4 in 11 innings Friday, is on a five-game win streak, while Atlanta has dropped two in a row.
Braves at Phillies: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Huascar Ynoa vs. RHP Vince Velasquez
The Braves will go with an opener in hard-throwing Ynoa, a native of the Dominican Republic, who made his MLB debut last season. It will be the 22-year-old’s third major-league start of his career.
- This season: 0-0, 4.32 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 4 ER) in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances
- 2020 vs. Phillies: 4.15 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 2 ER) in 2 games
- Last outing: 2 IP of relief, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 1 K vs. Phillies Aug. 21 – Braves won 11-2
- 1 start vs. Phillies this year (Aug. 9): No-decision, 2 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 1 K – Braves won 5-2
The 34-year-old Arrieta is 2-3 with a 4.32 ERA (25 IP, 12 ER) in 5 starts
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 1 K at Washington Nationals Tuesday – Phillies won 8-3
- 1 start vs. Braves this year (Aug. 8): Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K – Phillies won 5-0
- Career vs. Braves: 6-3, 2.93 ERA (58 1/3 IP, 19 ER) in 10 starts
Get some action on this game or any other matchup in the 2020 season with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!
Braves at Phillies: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Braves
- 1B/DH Matt Adams (knee) out
- 2B Ozzie Albies (wrist) out
- OF Adam Duvall (sore Achilles) probable
Phillies
- RP Jose Alvarez (groin) out
- RF Jay Bruce (quadriceps) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Braves at Phillies: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:50 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Braves 4, Phillies 3
Moneyline (ML)
This is the final regular-season tilt between the two NL East rivals with Atlanta holding a 5-4 advantage. While this might be an opener game for the Braves, their bullpen ranks second in the NL and fifth in the majors with a 3.20 ERA.
I successfully backed Philly to avoid a sweep last Sunday night in Atlanta. I’m doing the same here, picking against a sweep, making the BRAVES (-100) the STRONGEST PLAY.
New to sports betting? Every winning $1 bet on the Braves ML will profit $1. It will take a $1.10 bet on the Phillies (-110) to profit a $1 if they win.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
NO THANKS. Both teams are under .500 vs. the RL in 2020. Philadelphia (+1.5, -182) is 12-16 vs. the RL overall and 8-9 at home. However, Philly did cover the RL Friday and Saturday, and in four of their last five. Atlanta (-1.5, +150) is 13-19 vs. the RL and 6-10 vs. the RL on the road.
Over/Under (O/U)
Back the UNDER 9.5 (-115). The O/U is 5-4 in their nine head-to-head meetings this season, averaging exactly 10 runs a game. Call it a hunch. I’ll take my chances on get-away day. But wait this one out to make your bet. I can see the line climbing to 10.
Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire. com.
| Johnny’s 2020 MLB record | 37-19-1 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) | 77-47-2 |
| Strongest plays (all sports) | 39-18 |
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