The Bowling Green Falcons (8-9, 2-2 MAC) and Buffalo Bulls (8-9, 2-2) battle in a Mid-American Conference contest Tuesday. Tip at Alumni Arena is at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bowling Green vs. Buffalo odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Bowling Green was over .500 after a 4-game win streak from Dec. 19-Jan. 7, but the Falcons have fallen back with 2 straight losses since. BGSU is an up-tempo, offense-1st squad that has been struggling on defense. The Falcons allowed season-high points in a 108-92 loss to Western Michigan as 1-point underdogs Saturday.
The Bulls were 2-0 straight up and 2-0 against the spread last season vs. BGSU. The youngest team in the MAC (per KenPom) has also been in a lot of high-scoring affairs, playing at a fast pace and struggling on defense. Buffalo has lost 2 straight and is 3-5 in its last 8. In all 5 losses, the Bulls have coughed up at least 87 points.
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Bowling Green at Buffalo odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Bowling Green +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Buffalo -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Bowling Green +6.5 (-110) | Buffalo -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 162.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Bowling Green at Buffalo picks and predictions
Prediction
Buffalo 85, Bowling Green 80
Moneyline
Bowling Green is on a nice trend line of late outside of its last game. The Falcons are a lean but only an actionable play at +230. PASS.
Against the spread
Bowling Green figures to lose ground in overall defense, rebounding, and free-throw frequency. The Falcons take care of the ball and games in the last month against top-250 types have boded well for BGSU staying within a few possessions.
PASS, but consider a partial-unit play on the Falcons at +7.5.
Over/Under
The Over is 5-0 in the Falcons’ last 5 games against under .500 teams,14-2 in Buffalo’s last 16 against losing teams and 4-1 across the last 5 meetings between these 2 programs.
The combined margin on the Over covering in both BGSU-UB games last season was 56 points. These teams have not shown any inclination toward playing any serious defense for long stretches and they play so fast they don’t need a lot of treys to spiral the scoring totals.
This total accounts for the pace only to a certain degree. BACK THE OVER 162.5 (-115).
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