Boston Red Sox World Series pennant division odds win total prediction

After a disappointing last-place finish (78-84) in the AL East last season, the Boston Red Sox will look to make a bid once again for the playoffs after a quiet offseason.

One addition of note was adding free-agent RHP Corey Kluber as their No. 2 starting pitcher on a 1-year deal. The Red Sox also added OF Masataka Yoshida, a 2-time batting champ in Japan, to a 5-year, $90-million deal. Plus, Boston re-signed 3B Rafael Devers to a 10-year, $331-million deal.

While these moves will help the Sox, this is not expected to be a banner season for Boston, and fans are not happy at the moment. With 3 World Series titles since 2004, the fans expect more, which hasn’t been the case in recent seasons.

What’s in store for 2023? Let’s analyze the Boston Red Sox’s World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and AL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.

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Boston Red Sox World Series odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday, March 21, at 12:16 a.m. ET.

Odds: +4000 (bet $100 to win $4000)

At +4000, the Red Sox are ranked in the middle of the AL pack. Behind the Texas Rangers (+3000) and ahead of the division rival Baltimore Orioles (+5000), Boston seems slightly overpriced in the market.

The Houston Astros (+600), Los Angeles Dodgers (+700), New York Mets (+700), New York Yankees (+750), and San Diego Padres (+900) are the top 5 teams in odds to win it all.

Despite being ahead of the Orioles in Series odds, the Red Sox are tied with Baltimore in Al East odds due to the public loving the Red Sox. This has caused their price to inflate, taking much of the value out of it. Staying away from Boston at this number is the best bet. PASS.

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Boston Red Sox playoff odds

Will they make the playoffs: Yes +300 | No -400

If Boston is going to make the postseason, ace LHP Chris Sale will need to finally come back healthy to the starting rotation and provide what the Red Sox expected from him.

Devers has a new 10-year contract, but the rest of the lineup is still a work in progress and the Red Sox might still be a year away of being a year away.

YES (+300) still offers decent value for this wager and a small bet might be in store for that fleeting chance of an early resurgence.

Boston Red Sox win total

Over/Under: 78.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

The Red Sox just missed this total last year, winning 78 games. While this season does not look to be much better for Boston, if Sale does come back healthy, he could make the difference in 2 or 3 wins. That would be enough to get the team Over the 78.5 number.

With this in mind and with the Rays and Blue Jays looking to fall back a bit, OVER 78.5 (-110) is the wager to make.

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To win AL East Division

New York Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Toronto Blue Jays +185 (bet $100 to win $185)
Tampa Bay Rays +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
Baltimore Orioles +2000 (bet $100 to win $2000)
Boston Red Sox +2000 (bet $100 to win $2000)

While it is nice to take a long shot for fun, it’s only fun if the long shot has a chance to hit. Boston to win the division in this rebuilding season is far from likely and not a bet worth making.

While the Red Sox might be better than the Orioles, they are not going to move ahead of all 4 teams in the division this season, so better to just PASS here.

To win American League

Odds: +2000 (bet $100 to win $2000)

While there will likely be 2 teams from the AL East making the playoffs, the other Wild Card is looking to come from the AL Central or AL West with the likes of Chicago or Seattle.

Boston would need to have a miraculous season to qualify for the playoffs, let alone win the AL. Sure, the +2000 price is nice, but it’s not enough to make this wager worth a play. PASS.

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On July 2 last season, the Boston Red Sox won their eighth consecutive game and were 4½ games up in the American League East Division and playing .627 baseball (52-31). Though the Red Sox would scuffle a bit in July and August, they made the postseason as a 92-win wild card team. Boston advanced to the AL Championship Series, losing to the Houston Astros.

Bolstered by a payroll of projected payroll of $218M, a solid roster returns and Boston should again be in the mix to contend in the AL East. Below, we look at the Boston Red Sox MLB futures odds, including their projected 2022 win total and World Series odds at Tipico Sportsbook.

Boston Red Sox 2022 World Series odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, March 28 at 12:18 p.m. ET.

Odds: +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500)

Boston has the 10th-shortest odds to win it all. The Los Angeles Dodgers (+480) are the favorites, followed by the Houston Astros (+900) and Toronto Blue Jays (+900). At +1500, Boston has an implied probability of winning the World Series of 6.25% or 15/1 fractional odds.

New on the roster this year are 2B Trevor Story. RHP Michael Wacha, LHP Rich Hill, and LHP James Paxton. Gone are LHP Eduardo Rodriguez, OF Hunter Renfroe, and RHP Adam Ottavino.

At 5.1 runs per game and 4.6 runs allowed, the 2021 Red Sox were perhaps a few games too far out over their skis with 92 wins last season. As currently constructed, Boston is a shadow of the elite defensive club it was three or four seasons ago. Add in some depth and overall talent questions for a starting rotation that logged a 4.51 ERA in the second half, and the 15-to-1 return comes up a bit short of providing value. PASS.

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Boston Red Sox 2022 playoff odds

Will the Red Sox make the playoffs: Yes -120 | No +100

AVOIDING this play makes the most sense, but the lean is on No. If the price gets a tad more attractive, the fade — or No bet — has some leverage here.

Boston Red Sox 2022 win total

Over/Under: 85.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

The slight step back from last year and the competitiveness of the AL East (four clubs with AL champion odds of 9-to-1 or better) make for a projected total right around 85.

TAKE THE UNDER 85.5 (-105), but consider waiting out a better price.

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Odds to win AL East Division

Toronto Blue Jays +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
New York Yankees +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
Tampa Bay Rays +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
Boston Red Sox +480 (bet $100 to win $480)
Baltimore Orioles +20000 (bet $100 to win $20,000)

PASS. But, even though Boston projects as an also-ran, there is enough wiggle room and the division figures to be tight enough that a tag around +500 or +510 gets this proposition into interesting territory.

Odds to win American League

Odds: +900 (bet $100 to win $900)

Boston is outside the top group of contenders here, which amounts to their East rivals (Yankees, Blue Jays, Rays) plus the Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox. Other second-tier options look better: PASS.

The preseason look for the Sox amounts to a fade all-around. Though, there is some wavering on the payout for the East flag, just because of the chaos that may well be at play in a four-horse race.

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