Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (80-63) meet the Chicago White Sox (81-60) Saturday for the second game of a three-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Red Sox vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago won the series opener Friday 4-3 as White Sox starting LHP Carlos Rodon had 5 IP with 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB and 7 K and the Red Sox were unable to climb out of the 4-0 hole they were in after the fourth inning.

Season series: White Sox lead 3-2.

RHP Connor Seabold is projected to start in his first major-league debut for the Red Sox. Seabold is 2-3 with a 3.61 ERA (47 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 over 10 starts in the minors this season for two Boston affiliates.

RHP Dylan Cease is Chicago’s projected starter. Cease is 11-7 with a 3.87 ERA (148 2/3 IP, 64 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 28 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6-0, with 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 9 K Sunday at the Kansas City Royals.
  • Cease earned a no-decision in an April 17 start in Boston with a stat line of 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6H, 3 BB and 6 K in a 7-4 loss.
    • vs. Red Sox on the current roster: 7.01 FIP with a .417 batting average, .451 wOBA, .604 expected slugging percentage, 19.2 K% and 87.5 mph exit velocity in 26 plate appearances.

Red Sox at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:41 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | White Sox -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox +1.5 (-135) | White Sox -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

White Sox 7, Red Sox 3

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (-190) because they have an edge in starting and relief pitching and hitting. Albeit Chicago’s hitting edge is real slight but should get a little boost since the White Sox are facing a rookie in his MLB debut.

Chicago is 22 games above .500 as a home favorite and Boston is 21-22 as a road underdog. However, the White Sox are just 24-28 overall against winning teams and Cease’s pitching peripherals vs. the Red Sox are worrisome.

If I’m betting Chicago’s money line, I’m risking 1 unit rather than betting 1 unit. If your standard wager is $100, put that on WHITE SOX (-190) to earn a $52 profit.

Another way to get down on Chicago’s money line is to add it as a parlay leg with the Milwaukee Brewers’ money line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+110) for a tiny wager, if at all, because I much prefer the plays discussed above. But both sides of the market are betting Chicago’s run line, which has caused oddsmakers to lessen the payout.

Plus, the White Sox’s bullpen ranks atop most advanced pitching categories following the All-Star Game and Boston’s bullpen has been a below-average unit over that same time span.

Another hesitation I have with Chicago’s run line is Boston’s 29-14 ATS record as a road underdog and that includes the series opener’s outcome.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-105) for a half unit because both sides of the market are barreling into the Over, which is why sportsbooks have the total up from the flat-9 opener.

More importantly, both lineups can mash and there are reasons to like how each stacks up against their respective opposing starter.

Boston is 21-22 O/U as a road underdog and Chicago is 26-33-3 O/U as a home favorite.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (80-60) host the Boston Red Sox (80-62) Friday for the opener of a three-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Red Sox vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

RHP Tanner Houck gets the nod for the White Sox. Houck is 0-3 with a 3.26 ERA (49 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 10 starts and two relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision in Boston’s 4-3 win over the Cleveland Indians Saturday with a stat line of 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB and 7 K.
  • Houck lost April 18 to the White Sox 3-2 with 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 2 K.
  • vs. White Sox on the current roster (10 PA): .200 batting average (BA), .212 wOBA, .552 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 10.0 K% and 81.8 mph exit velocity (EV).

LHP Carlos Rodon is Chicago’s projected starter. Rodon is 11-5 with a 2.41 ERA (119 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 in 21 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 6-3, with 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 5 K against the Pittsburgh Pirates Sept. 1.
  • vs. Red Sox on the current roster: .377 BA, .506 wOBA, .581 xSLG, 15.5 K% and 91.4 mph EV in 58 PA.

Red Sox at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:48 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | White Sox -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox +1.5 (-155) | White Sox -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Prediction

White Sox 6, Red Sox 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (-160) for a half unit only because Chicago outright is on the fringe of my price range in this spot and I wouldn’t hate putting it into a parlay with another favorite for a plus-money payout.

The White Sox are 12 games above-.500 against righty starters and 22 games above-.500 at home, while the Red Sox are just 4-13 overall as road underdogs against a left-handed starter and just 36-33 on the road.

I’m willing to say the hitting matchup is a wash even though I think the White Sox have more talent in their lineup, but Chicago has a major edge in the pitching department.

Rodon lingered in the AL Cy Young race this year and Tipico has Rodon priced with the fifth-best odds (+1500) to win the award. Also, Chicago’s bullpen has been amazing recently while Boston’s has been mediocre. White Sox relievers rank atop the majors in xFIP, SIERA and K-BB% over the last 30 days, whereas the Red Sox is below-average in each metric

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the White Sox -1.5 (+125) is below my buy price of +150 in this spot because the Red Sox have covered two-thirds of their contests as road underdogs (28-14 ATS).

Another reason why I don’t like Chicago’s value here is that both teams have been equally mediocre over the past 10 and 30 games.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-112) for a tiny wager because I much prefer the White Sox’s money line than the total in this game.

However, each team has played more to the Under in their respective location-based splits, Chicago is 7-13-1 O/U in Rodon’s 21 starts and Boston is 3-7 O/U in games Houck starts.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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