The Chicago White Sox (6-7) start a four-game series with the Boston Red Sox (9-4) Friday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The White Sox have alternated wins and losses in their past eight games. They’re coming off a 2-2 split against the visiting Cleveland Indians.
The Red Sox had a nine-game win streak snapped Thursday with a 4-3 loss at the Minnesota Twins.
RHP Dylan Cease makes the start for the White Sox. Cease is 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 5.8 BB/9 over 2 starts this season.
- Last outing: No-decision in 4 2/3 IP with 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 6 K in 4-3 loss to the Kansas City Royals Sunday
RHP Nick Pivetta is on the rubber for the Red Sox. Pivetta is 2-0 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 5.7 BB/9 in 2 starts.
- Last outing: Win in 6 IP with 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB and 7 K in 14-9 beatdown of the Baltimore Orioles Sunday
- Career in Fenway Park: 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA (10 IP, 1 ER), 6 H, 7 BB and 12 K across 2 starts
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White Sox at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:42 p.m. ET.
- Money line: White Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+150) | Red Sox +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
White Sox 10, Red Sox 4
Money line (ML)
Both pitchers are making their first start against their respective opponent so there’s not much data on how these starters are going to perform. The most astounding nugget I’ve picked up is that Pivetta is not a night owl.
Pivetta has a winning record in the day but is just 11-21 at night allowing 2.5-plus more runs per nine innings and a 1.52 WHIP at night compared to 1.26 WHIP in the day.
BET WHITE SOX (-105) for 0.75 units.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Slight “LEAN” to the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+150) for a quarter unit since the payout is so juicy. Since the beginning of last season, the White Sox have a 15-8 run line record as road favorites.
Also, Chicago’s lineup hasn’t gotten out to a great start, but Pivetta’s exit velocity, hard-hit rate and flyball rate exceed the MLB average, so this could be a get-right game for the White Sox lineup.
Over/Under (O/U)
Boston is 15-6-2 O/U as a home underdog from the beginning of 2020.
Furthermore, it’s been a couple of years since we’ve seen a White Sox-Red Sox game, but a lot of the same hitters will be in this game and the Over has cashed in four of the past five meetings.
Finally, bettors have steamed this total down from 9.5 on the opener to the current price, which gives us a “fade the market” angle.
However, since the Over is a little pricey and the market is hammering the Under on a so-so starting pitching matchup, I only “LEAN” OVER 8.5 (-120) for a quarter unit.
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