The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics square off in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Monday at TD Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Celtics odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Heat could not close the deal against the Celtics in Game 6 on Saturday, losing 104-103 on a buzzer-beating tip-in by G Derrick White. After leading 3-0, Miami has lost 3 consecutive games.
In Saturday’s season-saving win, the Celtics got 57 combined points from F Jayson Tatum and F Jaylen Brown. Boston is looking to become the 1st team in NBA playoff history to come back from a 3-0 deficit in a series.
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Heat at Celtics odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Celtics -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +7.5 (-115) | Celtics -7.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 203.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at Celtics key injuries
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (hand) out
- G Victor Oladipo (knee) out
- G Gabe Vincent (ankle) questionable
Celtics
- G Malcolm Brogdon (forearm) questionable
- F Danilo Gallinari (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Celtics picks and predictions
Prediction
Celtics 109, Heat 105
Moneyline
PASS.
With all of the momentum, most people are backing the Celtics to make history on Monday. Me too, but taking the -300 moneyline isn’t worth the risk.
Against the spread
BET HEAT +7.5 (-115).
This should be a back-and-forth contest. Aside from getting positive contributions from F Caleb Martin, F Max Strus, and Vincent, F Jimmy Butler and C Bam Adebayo should have better performances than Game 6 to keep this game close.
The Heat are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings and 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Boston.
Over/Under
OVER 203.5 (-110) is my bet with the expectation that Butler and Adebayo are more productive for the Heat. There have also been 207-plus points scored in each of the 6 games of the series.
The Heat are 10-2 to the Over in their last 12 road games and the Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston.
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