Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs Game 6 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs meet in Game 6 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference 1st-round series Thursday night. Boston leads 3-2. Puck drop from Scotiabank Arena is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (TBS/NESN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bruins vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Boston snapped a 2-game winning streak and failed to close the series on Tuesday, losing 2-1 in overtime and failing to cover as a -172 home favorite. C Trent Frederic was the only Bruins player to find the back of the net off an assist from LW Pat Maroon.

Toronto extended its season with Tuesday’s win while covering as a +155 road underdog. D Jake McCabe opened the scoring for the Maple Leafs while LW Matthew Knies scored the game-winner.

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Bruins at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bruins -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Maple Leafs -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Bruins +1.5 (-275) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+220)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Bruins at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Jeremy Swayman (25-10-8, 2.53 GAA, .916 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Joseph Woll (12-11-1, 2.94 GAA, .907 SV%)

Swayman is the expected starter for the Bruins on Thursday. He has started in 4 of the 5 games in this series with a 3-1 record and just 6 total goals allowed. His 1.49 GAA and .952 SV% series averages are better than his season marks.

While Ilya Samsonov has seen the most production for the Maple Leafs this season, it is hard to see Woll not earning the start after his 1-goal victory on Tuesday. In his 2 appearances in this series, Woll has allowed just 1 goal with a .970 SV%.

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Bruins at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Bruins 3, Maple Leafs 2

Moneyline

BET BRUINS (-110).

Boston has won both games in Toronto this series and is 3-1 in its last 4 road games. It had an uncharacteristically bad performance on Tuesday scoring just 1 goal, but it has held Toronto to 2 or fewer goals in 4 of the 5 games in this series. With Toronto’s lack of offense, expect the Bruins to close out the series on Thursday.

Puck line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the puck line in either direction.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 5.5 (+100).

The Under has hit in 4 consecutive games in this series with the Bruins scoring 3 or fewer goals in 3 of the last 4 games and the Leafs scoring 3 or fewer goals in each of the 5 games. As always, with the season on the line, in a tight game in the closing minutes, there is a possibility of an empty net goal which would all but destroy an Under.

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Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Bruins visit the Toronto Maple Leafs for Game 4 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference, 1st-round series Saturday. Puck drop from Scotiabank Arena is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (TBS/CBC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bruins vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Boston gained control of the series with a 4-2 win Wednesday to cash as a -102 road underdog. LW Brad Marchand led the way with 2 goals and an assist, while 6 difference Bruins players were credited with at least 1 assist.

After stealing Game 2 on the road, Toronto dropped a crucial Game 3 at home while failing to cash as a -108 favorite. LW Tyler Bertuzzi and LW Matthew Knies each scored, but it was not enough to curb a 3-goal 3rd period from the Bruins.

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Bruins at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at noon ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bruins -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Maple Leafs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Bruins +1.5 (-275) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+220)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Bruins at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Jeremy Swayman (25-10-8, 2.53 GAA, .916 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Ilya Samsonov (23-7-8, 3.13 GAA, .890 SV%, 3 SO)

Swayman has been a top goaltender in the NHL this season. His GAA is good for 8th-best, while his SV% is tied for 5th-best. He can be attributed as part of the reason for Boston’s success, especially in this series in which he has allowed just 3 goals in 2 games.

Samsonov ranks 38th or below in both GAA and SV%, while his record is tied for 17th-best in the league. He has allowed 2 or more goals in each of the 3 games this series, totaling 9 overall. The Leafs will need Samsonov to perform well for a shot at a win Saturday.

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Bruins at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Bruins 3, Maple Leafs 2

Moneyline

BET BRUINS (-105).

Boston has scored 4 or more goals twice in this series, while Toronto has not scored more than 3 goals in any of the 3 games.

While the Maple Leafs have home-ice advantage, they are 0-3 in their last 3 home games and just 1-4 in their last 5 overall.

Expect the Bruins to take a commanding lead in the series with a win Saturday.

Puck line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the puck line in either direction.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 6 (-120).

The Bruins have scored 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 7 games and allowed 3 or fewer in each of their last 5 and 8 of their last 10.

The Leafs have scored 3 or fewer goals in each game this series and in 4 of their last 5.

Until the 3-goal period from the Bruins Wednesday, it was a tight-knit game, which should be expected again Saturday.

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Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Bruins at Maple Leafs odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Bruins (38-7-5) and Toronto Maple Leafs (31-12-8) tangle in Wednesday tilt featuring the top 2 teams in the Atlantic Division. Opening face-off at Scotiabank Arena is slated for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bruins vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Boston is winless over its 3 games heading into its 3rd meeting of the season against Toronto. A Bruins club that went 10-1-0 from Jan. 2-24 is 0-2-1 in 3 games since. One of those 10 January wins was against Toronto as the 2 Atlantic foes have split 2 games this season.

The Maple Leafs are at home for a 5th straight game. The Atlantic’s 2nd-place team — 11 points behind Boston — is 2-1-1 on the home stand so far. The 8th-leading scoring team in the NHL (3.39 goals per game) has scored 3-or-more goals in 4 of its last 5 home games.

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Bruins at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Bruins -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Maple Leafs +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Bruins -1.5 (+190) | Maple Leafs +1.5 (-240)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -130 | U: +110)

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Bruins at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Jeremy Swayman (12-3-1, 2.34 GAA, .914 SV%) vs. Ilya Samsonov (15-5-2, 2.31 GAA, .917 SV%)

Swayman last played Saturday, allowing 4 goals in a 4-3 loss at Florida.  Over 6 prior games in January, Swayman had logged a .958 SV%.

Samsonov stopped 23 of 24 shots in Sunday’s 5-1 win vs. the Washington Capitals) and has a .925 SV% over his last 7 decisions. The 25-year-old has 4 career starts against the Bruins, and he’s notched an .877 SV% in those games.

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Bruins at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Bruins 4, Maple Leafs 3

Moneyline

Peg the Bruins’ string of recent setbacks as an aberration. Boston is 4-0-0 in its last 4 road-trip finales. Look for the a close game, but for the visitors to be solid from the blue line in and for them to get a couple extra chances on the powerplay.

TAKE THE BRUINS (-120).

Puck line/Against the spread

The last 2 Boston-Toronto games were 1-goal affairs. Avoid the juice, and STEER CLEAR of this action.

Over/Under

There is an Over lean on the 5.5 goals, but the pricing here nixes any value. PASS.

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