Borussia Dortmund vs. Chelsea odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Borussia Dortmund vs. Chelsea odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

In the 1st leg of the UEFA Champions League Round of 16, Borussia Dortmund battles Chelsea. Kickoff Wednesday from Signal Iduna Park is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Borussia Dortmund vs. Chelsea odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Chelsea won Group E with a 4-1-1 record. They scored 10 goals and allowed just 4 in the 6 matches. Chelsea’s main strength this season has been defense, allowing just 22 goals in 22 EPL games. They are led offensively by F Kai Havertz, who has 5 goals in 21 matches.

Dortmund finished 2nd in Group G with 2 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws in the 6 group stage matches. Manchester City won the group. Dortmund scored 10 goals and gave up 5. They sits 3rd in the Bundesliga.  F Julian Brandt and F Youssoufa Moukoko lead the team with 6 goals apiece.

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Borussia Dortmund vs. Chelsea odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:32 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Borussia Dortmund +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Chelsea +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +245
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Borussia Dortmund vs. Chelsea picks and predictions

Prediction

Chelsea 1, Borussia Dortmund 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+245).

Chelsea has an ultra-deep roster, but it will be down players like F Christian Pulisic and F N’Golo Kante. F Raheem Sterling is likely to miss the game as well. However, Moukoko being out could be an even bigger deal than Chelsea being down multiple 1st-team players.

Dortmund played to the level of their competition in the group stage, having posted 3 draws in 6 games. They drew both Manchester City and FC Copenhagen. Chelsea drew just once in their group stage, but in league play, they have 7 draws in 22 matches, 4 of those coming on the road.

With these teams being unfamiliar with each other, it is likely opportunities are limited. Combine that with key pieces being out and a recent history of tying, and back the DRAW (+245).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-110).

Chelsea has gone Under this in 10 of their last 12 games through all competitions. They have drawn 3 straight league games as well. Chelsea has been held scoreless in 4 of their last 7 games. They have allowed 1 or fewer expected goals in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dortmund went Under this total in their last 3 Champions League matches. They have gone Under in 2 of their last 4 games throughout all competitions and will be without a key goalscorer as well.

Back the UNDER 2.5 (-110).

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