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Borussia Dortmund welcomes Atletico Madrid to Signal Iduna Park for the 2nd leg of their UEFA Champions League quarterfinal battle. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Borussia Dortmund vs. Atletico Madrid odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Atletico Madrid won the 1st leg at home 2-1, scoring goals in the 4th and 32nd minute by Roberto De Paul and Samuel Leno. Dortmund helped their cause with an 81st-minute goal. Atletico ended with 2 more shots and 5 more on frame despite having just 33% of the possession.
Atletico sits 4th in La Liga, having a 19-4-8 record and a +23 goal differential. They have a 5-3-7 road record in league play. Atletico finished atop Group E in group stage play, ending with a 4-2-0 record and a +11 goal differential.
Dortmund won Group F, a group that featured PSG, AC Milan and Newcastle United. It scored 7 goals and allowed 4 in the 6 games. Dortmund sits 5th in the Bundesliga, having tallied 34 goals and allowed 23 through 29 matches.
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Borussia Dortmund vs. Atletico Madrid odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:57 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Borussia Dortmund +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Atletico Madrid +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -160 | U: +130)
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Borussia Dortmund vs. Atletico Madrid picks and predictions
Prediction
Borussia Dortmund 1, Atletico Madrid 1
Moneyline (ML)
SPRINKLE DRAW (+260).
Dortmund will be at home, but against quality Champions League teams at home, it hasn’t dominated. They were 1-2-0 (2 draws) at home in the group stage and had fewer expected goals in 2 of the 3. They also has as many expected goals as PSG in their 2-0 Round of 16 home win.
Despite Atletico’s struggles on the road, they did have a strong enough performance to home to suggest they are the better side. They ended with 1.3 more expected goals. Atletico has also been better in league play.
Considering Madrid is on the road, the value here is on the draw. Back DRAW (+260).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (+120).
Dortmund has gone Under this total in 3 of their last 4 Champions League fixtures. They actually have gone Under this total in 7 of 9 Champions League matches, including the 6 group stage battles. Dortmund has allowed multiple goals in those 9 games just 2 times and has 4 clean sheets.
Atletico didn’t have as competitive of a group stage, but they have gone Under in 2 of their last games, and they have had 1.3 or fewer expected goals in 5 of 9.
Considering the trends for both teams and how competitive this game should be played, back UNDER 2.5 (+120).
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