Tag: boise state wyoming prediction

Boise State vs Wyoming Prediction, Game Preview

Boise State Broncos vs Wyoming Cowboys prediction and game preview

Boise State vs Wyoming prediction and game preview.

Boise State vs Wyoming Broadcast

Date: Saturday, December 12
Game Time: 6:00 ET
Venue: Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium, Laramie, WY
Network: CBS Sports Network

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Boise State (4-1) vs Wyoming (2-3) Game Preview

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Why Boise State Will Win

The team just knows how to score.

The offense might not have done much against Colorado State, but the Broncos managed to score 52 points. Several weeks ago, the 40 points were enough to get by Hawaii with little running game and enough of a passing attack to pull it off.

Wyoming needs its defense to rock to pull this off. It doesn’t have much of a passing game to worry about, it doesn’t easily move the chains, and it just got hit for way over 200 yards against New Mexico.

There’s a problem if you’re losing to the Lobos.

Boise State’s defense should dominate on third downs, and if Hank Bachmeier and the offense get hot early and the Cowboys have to press to come back, that’s going to be a problem.

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Why Wyoming Will Win

This isn’t the normally dominant Boise State team.

It’s good, and it’s scoring a whole lot, but the defense isn’t a brick wall, the run defense had problems in a few games, and the ground game hasn’t been working well enough.

Part of the reason is because RB George Holani hasn’t been able to do much, but none of the backs are doing enough. On the other side, the Wyoming running game has been on over the last four game, averaging over seven yards per pop in the last two even with Xazavian Valladay out for the New Mexico game. Trey Smith has rushed for 318 yards and over six yards per carry in the last two games.

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What’s Going To Happen

This is just the second game at home for Wyoming – it dominated Hawaii 31-7 in Week 2.

Again, this isn’t the normal Boise State team, and here’s the real quirky part …

It’s already in the Mountain West Championship if San Jose State beats Nevada on Friday night. It’s in no matter what with a win over the Cowboys, and it’ll get it.

It’s going to be a grind against a Cowboy team that’s likely not going to have Valladay – or he’ll be limited – and won’t have a passing game to balance out the attack. Boise State has had more than enough time to prepare for this, and it’ll show.

There’s one problem, though … Laramie.

It’s expected to snow and be a balmy 16 degrees at game time.

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Boise State vs Wyoming Prediction, Line

Boise State 23, Wyoming 14
Bet on Boise State vs Wyoming with BetMGM
Boise State -9.5, o/u: 47
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 3

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1: A Holly Dolly Christmas

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Boise State looking for fourth-straight win over struggling Wyoming

Mountain West play resumes as Boise State hosts Wyoming at ExtraMile Arena in Boise, Idaho, on Wednesday night.

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Boise State vs. Wyoming: Game Preview, TV, Radio, Live Stream, Odds, More

Broncos, Cowboys trending in different directions

Contact/Follow @andrewdieckhoff & @MWCwire

This game could solidify both teams’ place in the Mountain West hierarchy

GAME DETAILS

WHO: Boise State (9-5, 1-1 MWC) vs. Wyoming (5-9, 0-2 WCC)

WHEN: Wednesday, January 1 — 6:00 P.M. MT / 5:00 P.M. PT

WHERE: ExtraMile Arena, Boise, ID

WATCH: Mountain West Network on Stadium

LISTEN: TuneIn

ALL-TIME: Boise State leads the series, 15-14

ODDS: Boise State -16, per KenPom

GAME NOTES

Mountain West play resumes for both teams in the New Year as the Broncos look to keep the celebration going into Wednesday night in Boise.

Leon Rice’s team has won three games in a row after losing to Georgia Tech in the opening round of the Diamond Head Classic in Hawaii last week. After dropping their game to the Yellow Jackets, Boise State responded with strong showings against Portland, UTEP, and Cal State Northridge.

One reason for their recent success is the debut of Abu Kigab, who transferred to Boise State after starting his career at Oregon. The junior was hled out of competition during the fall semester, but Kigab didn’t take long to make a big impact. He scored 33 points against CSUN in the team’s latest game. The outburst was especially encouraging for a team that was in need of a bit of size and scoring punch.

Boise State is in a good groove as conference play gets back underway, but their opponents haven’t had such a leisurely stroll over the past few games.

Wyoming has fallen to 5-9 and will almost assuredly spend the season fighting with San Jose State for 10th place in the Mountain West. The Cowboys have won two straight, although one of those wins came against Nebraska Wesleyan of Division III. Before a December 21 win over Denver, Wyoming had lost six in a row.

Their overtime victory against the Pioneers may have snapped the streak, but the Cowboys still look they are playing at a different level than the rest of their Mountain West peers.

And not in a good way.

This game could help solidify both the Broncos’ place in the top half of the league and Wyoming’s place in the cellar.

GAME PLAN

On THE BRONCOS’ POSSESSIONS…

The Broncos can attack teams in a number of ways, but they are at their best when they are raining threes down on their opponents. They’ve mostly thawed out of a cold spell that plagued that at the start of the season, and Justinian Jessup is always a threat to get hot from outside. Derrick Alston is the team’s primary scorer, though, and is good as anyone in the league at getting points from all over the court.

Boise State – and Jessup, in particular – takes very good care of the ball, and it is one of the reasons that Leon Rice has stuck with Marcus Dickinson in his backcourt, despite the senior’s limitations as a scorer.

In the frontcourt, RJ Williams has delivered an asbolutely fantastic performance on the season. Though he is relatively undersized at 6’7”, the senior has been one of the best rebounders in the country and has turned heads with his never-ending motor on the offensive end.

The Cowboys have certainly been better on the defensive end than they have been on offense, but that is a low bar to clear. Their best trait on defense has been their rebounding, but the Broncos should still be able to grab a few off the glass for some easy put-backs. And with Wyoming forcing turnovers at one of the lowest rates in America, expect Boise State to have plenty of opportunities to score against this pedestrian defense.

ON THE COWBOYS’ POSSESSIONS…

Well, it’s a pretty simple formula for Allen Edwards’ club: give the ball to Hunter Maldonado and let him work. And run out a lot of clock in the meantime. The Cowboys play one of the slowest tempos in the country, clocking in just outside of the bottom 10 nationally in possessions per game.

For his part, Maldonado has had no shortage of opportunities to advertise his offensive skills, racking up usage rates well over 30%. The offense moves – slowly – through the sophomore. Hunter Thompson and Jake Hendricks are the only other Wyoming players to have taken more than 100 shots on the year.

But while this dearth of shots can be mostly explained away by the slow pace and the Maldonado-centric offense, Wyoming has cost themselves a number of opportunities – and they almost never get second chances.

The Cowboys are slightly below average in terms of ball security, but the Broncos aren’t particularly opportunistic, so that won’t be as much of a liability as the team’s abysmal offensive rebounding will be. No team in the country has struggled on the glass more than Wyoming, and they won’t have an easy time against a tenacious Boise State club.

GAME PREDICTION

BOISE STATE 72, WYOMING 60

The Broncos should win this one going away, but if their hot shooters head into an early hibernation, they could find themselves in trouble. Alston, Jessup, and Maldonado could all put up video game numbers in this one, but with the way Wyoming plays, don’t expect the score to climb into the 80s.

Regardless of the final margin, Boise State should be moving to 2-1 in league play, while the Cowboys slip to 0-3.

Andrew is a current USBWA member, covering college basketball for multiple outlets, including Mountain West Wire of the USA TODAY Sports Media Group and Busting Brackets of the FanSided Network. He also runs the Dieckhoff Power Index, a college basketball analytics system, and provides bracketology predictions throughout the season.

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