The Boise State Broncos (5-1, 5-0 MWC) and the San Jose State Spartans (6-0, 6-0) meet Saturday for a 4:30 p.m. ET kickoff at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas for the Mountain West Championship Game. Below, we analyze the Boise State-San Jose State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Boise State vs. San Jose State: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Boise State -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | San Jose State +185 (bet $100 to win $185)
- Against the spread/ATS: Boise State -6.5 (-110) | San Jose State +6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 55.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Boise State vs. San Jose State: Three things to know
- The Spartans had a shot at hosting the Mountain West Conference title game at CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, but strict COVID-19 restrictions in Santa Clara, Calif., forced the Spartans into nomad status. They have relocated to Las Vegas for the remainder of the season for training and games.
- Boise State will feel right at home at Sam Boyd Stadium, as the Broncos have won seven of their past eight games on this field. The Broncos have never lost to the Spartans in 14 all-time meetings, and the Spartans haven’t started a season 7-0 since 1939, so there is a lot of history going against San Jose State.
- Spartans QB Nick Starkel has had a great season, completing 66.3% of his passes for 1,453 yards and 13 touchdowns with just 4 interceptions in six outings. Broncos QB Hank Bachmeier is also a stud, having thrown for 929 yards with 6 touchdowns and 2 picks across his four outings.
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Boise State vs. San Jose State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Boise State 27, San Jose State 24
Money line (ML)
Boise State (-230) isn’t the unbeaten team entering this game, but the Broncos are still the kings, and it’s good to be king.
San Jose State (+185) is mighty tempting, as you can nearly double up, but the Spartans aren’t used to the championship limelight.
AVOID.
Against the spread (ATS)
SAN JOSE STATE +6.5 (-110) will come to play, and we’ll know early on if the Spartans are going to cover or not. Yes, Boise State has had success on this field before, but Starkel and the Spartans aren’t pushovers. This is a high-octane offense, and they can run the ball, too. RB Tyler Nevens has averaged 8.9 yards per carry, and he has gobbled up 336 yards in the past two outings.
San Jose State has all the tools to not only keep it close but win this one outright and erase decades of frustration against Boise State.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 55.5 (-105) seems like the safe and sound play. Both teams have a strong passing game, but San Jose State also has a good defense. The Spartans have allowed just 17.5 PPG to rank 13th in the nation. Boise State ranks sixth against the pass, so it could really keep Starkel’s numbers down. The Broncos have allowed just 169.0 yards per game through the air.
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