The Toronto Blue Jays (4-2) and New York Yankees (3-3) close out their four-game AL East series Thursday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays at Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-1.
The Blue Jays won 3-0 in Monday’s opener in the Bronx with the Yankees returning serve Tuesday with a 4-0 victory. Wednesday’s game was tied 3-3 heading into the seventh before the Jays prevailed 6-4. Toronto 1B Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. went 4-for-4 with 3 HR and a double.
The Yankees went just 1-for-6 with runners in scoring position Wednesday. Through a half-dozen games, the Yanks have hit just .175 in such situations.
Blue Jays at Yankees: Projected starters
Blue Jays RHP Kevin Gausman vs. Yankees RHP Luis Severino
Gausman (0-0, 5.40 ERA) makes his second start of the season. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9, and 9.0 K/9 through 5 IP.
- Notched a career-best 2.81 ERA in 33 starts last season for the San Francisco Giants.
- Current Yankees batters own an aggregate .959 OPS against him.
Severino (0-0, 6.00 ERA) makes his second start after allowing the Boston Red Sox 2 runs in 3 IP Saturday. He has a 1.67 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9, and 15.0 K/9 through 3 IP.
- Current Toronto bats own an aggregate .437 OPS against him.
Blue Jays at Yankees odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Blue Jays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-190) | Yankees -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Blue Jays at Yankees prediction and picks
Prediction
Yankees 5, Blue Jays 3
Money line
New York’s quality of contact has so far yielded just 3.50 runs per game. There is some value margin there, mostly due to New York’s issues in RBI situations.
The Yankees have good numbers against Gausman, who made the most of a pitcher’s yard for his home park in 2021 and some favorable rates around the margins. The front end of the Toronto bullpen is not lined up for an all-out assault here.
TAKE NEW YORK (-130).
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Run line/Against the spread
Bettors may want to consider some split action, with a partial-unit play on the money line and a matching play here. NEW YORK -1.5 (+155) does add some risk, especially with a lean on an Under at 8.5. But the price is right.
Over/Under
PASS.
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