UFC Fight Night 218: Marcin Tybura vs. Blagoy Ivanov odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 218 odds and lines between Marcin Tybura and Blagoy Ivanov, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a heavyweight bout on the main card, Marcin Tybura and Blagoy Ivanov meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 218 – also known as UFC Vegas 68 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 218: Tybura vs. Ivanov odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims on ESPN+ at 7 p.m. PT, and the main card beginning on ESPN+ at 10 p.m.

Tybura is coming off a majority-decision win against Alexandr Romanov at UFC 278, bouncing back after a unanimous-decision loss to Alexander Volkov at UFC 267. He has ended up going the distance in 5 of the past 7 fights, including 4 victories during the span.

Ivanov suffered a pair of split-decision losses to Derrick Lewis and Augusto Sakai, but he halted the skid with a unanimous-decision win over Marcos Rogerio de Lima at UFC 274. He is still trying to find his way at the UFC level, though, going just 3-3 in 6 bouts since making his company debut in the Summer of 2018.

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UFC Fight Night 218: Tybura vs. Ivanov odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Tybura -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Ivanov +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -240 | Under +165)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -190 | No +135)

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UFC Fight Night 218: Tybura vs. Ivanov picks and predictions

Records: Tybura (23-7) | Ivanov (19-4)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

TYBURA (-140) heads into this bout with a tremendous physical advantage. He not only stands 4 inches taller than Ivanov (+120), he holds a 5-inch reach advantage which will keep his counterpart at arm’s length.

I love the reach advantage, as fighters use it to pick and choose their spots, while limiting the ability of their opponent to get close.

Tybura holds a slight 3.61-to-3.44 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, but he is much more accurate at 60.20% to just 46.09% for his opponent.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (-190) is super expensive, but it’s worth a look.

Ivanov has ended up going the distance in each of his 6 fights since arriving at the UFC level, while going the distance in 7 straight bouts overall.

Tybura has also needed the judges to get involved in 5 of his past 7 fights. Over 2.5 Rounds (-240) will cost you nearly 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just a little too expensive despite the fact both fighters have had a ton of decisions lately.

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UFC on ESPN 9: Blagoy Ivanov vs. Augusto Sakai odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 9 fight between Blagoy Ivanov and Augusto Sakai, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

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Blagoy Ivanov and Augusto Sakai clash in a heavyweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN 9 – also known as Fight Night 176 – at the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas. The card kicks off Saturday at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.

Ivanov (18-3) has a four-inch reach disadvantage, and he is four inches shorter than his opponent, too. In addition, Sakai (14-1-1) holds a 5.51 to 3.09 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and 46.40 to 38.03 significant strikes-accuracy percentage advantage. Sakai’s bread and butter is on the ground, and that’s where he is likely to try and take the fight early and often. “Baga” hasn’t had the same kind of success on the ground at the UFC level as he had in the lower levels, however, going 2-2 with all four of his UFC fights going the distance.

Sakai has been a knockout machine throughout his career, posting 11 of his professional wins via KO/TKO. Since arriving at the UFC level, he hasn’t shown any signs of slowing down, going 3-0 with a pair of knockout wins, including a 59-second knockout of Marcin Tybura last time out (Sept. 14, 2019). He quickly turned heads when he outlasted veteran Andrei Arlovski on the Jacare-Hermansson card last April, too. Sakai is for real, and a rising star in the heavyweight class.


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Blagoy Ivanov vs. Augusto Sakai betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, May 28 at 7:30 a.m. ET.

SAKAI (-110) and Ivanov (-110) is basically considered a coin flip at this juncture, as the books expect a close affair between the two sluggers. However, remember that height and reach advantage when looking into a wager on this fight. Sakai has advantages in both departments, and he is a knockout machine. Ivanov will have to be a little more defensive than he is used to. If he lets his guard down, it could be a quick ending.

Betting on KO/TKO/DQ (+160) on how the fight will finish, regardless of winner, is a tremendously attractive prop. If you get specific and take SAKAI TO WIN BY KO/TKO or DQ (+320), you can more than triple your bet and profit handsomely. It’s also a good idea to take NO (+120): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? Plus, betting UNDER 2.5 TOTAL ROUNDS (+135) is an even better value.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Sakai (-110) to win returns a profit of $9.09. A $10 bet of No (+120) on the fight going the distance pays a $12 return, and betting on the fight to end on a KO/TKO/DQ (+160), regardless of fight winner, fetches a $16 profit.

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