2024 Black Desert Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2024 Black Desert Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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Utah is hosting a PGA Tour event for the first time since 1963 as the inaugural playing of the 2024 Black Desert Championship takes place this week. It’s being held at Black Desert Resort in Irvins, Utah., with the 1st round beginning on Thursday morning.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets for the 2024 Black Desert Championship from BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

As a FedExCup Fall event, the field is a bit weaker but it’s still led by Keith Mitchell (+1600), Seamus Power (+2200) and Beau Hossler (+2800). Lucas Glover (+3300) and Kurt Kitayama (+2800) are among the other notables teeing it up in Utah.

Black Desert Resort is a new course, opening fully to the public in 2023. That means the majority of the players in the field have never seen the venue before, making it a learning experience for everyone playing. It features wide fairways and the course is carved through lava rock with views of the red rock mountains on the horizon.

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Black Desert Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:14 p.m. ET.

Beau Hossler (+550)

Hossler has finished 2nd, MC and 12th in his last 3 starts this season, losing in a playoff on Sunday at the Sanderson Farms Championship. He was 7th in the field in strokes gained: tee-to-green so his ball striking should be in good form heading to Utah.

Seamus Power (+450)

Power has finished no worse than 28th in his last 4 worldwide starts, including a T-11 last week at the Sanderson Farms Championship. He needs his putter to cooperate in Utah if he’s going to contend again because it was only average (35th in SG) last week.

Black Desert Championship – Top-10 picks

Michael Thorbjornsen (+275)

Thorbjornsen came in 8th at the Sanderson Farms Championship, an impressive finish for the PGA Tour rookie. He was excellent off the tee last week, ranking second in strokes gained, and his putting was impressive, too (7th).

Patrick Fishburn (+275)

Fishburn is from Ogden, Utah, and played at BYU, so he should be familiar with the conditions and type of grass at Black Desert Resort. That could give him a slight advantage at a course that not many people have seen before. And his length off the tee (8th in SG) will give him an edge.

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Black Desert Championship – Top-20 picks

Doug Ghim (+188)

Ghim has been one of the best ball strikers all year, ranking 12th in SG: tee-to-green. He’s not a long hitter but he keeps the ball in the fairway (12th in driving accuracy), so he shouldn’t find much trouble off the tee.

Austin Smotherman (+400)

Smotherman is a long shot coming into the week, but he just finished 42nd last week despite ranking 67th in SG: putting. He came in 7th at the Procore Championship and has made 7 straight cuts this season.

Black Desert Championship – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Seamus Power (+105) vs. Keith Mitchell (-135)

Power and Mitchell should be seen as comparable contenders this week so getting him as an underdog makes him a good value, even against a guy whose ball striking is as good as Mitchell’s.

Black Desert Championship – Top Brit and Irish

Seamus Power (+138)

Back to Power here as the top British and Irish player in the field. He has the shortest odds, and understandably so. Harry Hall is the next-closest contender at +275, the only other player with odds shorter than +500.

Black Desert Championship – First-round leader

Patrick Fishburn (+4000)

Fishburn is long off the tee and is from Utah, so in an event at a course that’s never been on the PGA Tour schedule before now, he could have an early advantage until the rest of the field catches up.

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