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UFC 257: Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC 257 fight between Conor McGregor and Dustin Poirier, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a lightweight bout in Saturday’s main event, Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor meet at UFC 257 at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The early prelims and prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, followed by the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

McGregor (22-4) – a.k.a. “The Notorious” – returns to the octagon for the first time in more than a calendar year since his first-round KO/TKO of Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone at UFC 246 Jan. 18, 2020. That win took just 40 seconds, as he rebounded from an Oct. 6, 2018, submission loss to Khabib Nurmagomedov. The 32-year-old McGregor is just 3-2 across his five past bouts, and 3-3 if you include his foray into the boxing world. But he has fought the best of the division, and a loss to Nate Diaz, which he avenged at UFC 202, and a setback to Khabib, are certainly nothing to be embarrassed about.

Poirier would like to close the mouth of McGregor, while polishing his star and getting back in position for another title shot against Khabib. “The Diamond” cannot afford a setback if he wants to get back to the top of the division. While two of his past three fights have ended up going the distance, four of his past six have finished via stoppage, including three KO/TKO wins and one submission loss to Khabib for the title at UFC 242 Sept. 7, 2019.

The Brazilian jiu-jitsu fighter Poirier has a two-inch disadvantage in reach, but is actually slightly ahead of McGregor in significant strikes landed per minute at 5.57 to 5.43, and 50.42 to 49.36 in significant strikes-accuracy percentage. In 32 career pro bouts, Poirier has had 23 of his fights end via stoppage, going 13-2 via KO/TKO and 6-2 by way of submission.

McGregor has never been knocked out, going 19-0 via KO/TKO in 26 career pro bouts. However, his ground game is his Achilles’ heel as he’s 1-4 via submission, including his most recent setbacks to Khabib and Diaz. You can bet going to the canvas early is Poirier’s top strategy.

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McGregor vs. Poirier: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:35 a.m. ET.

McGregor is such a polarizing figure. There are fans who love him, and there are people who absolutely detest him. The latter are going to be disappointed, because McGregor (-300) will pick up the win over Poirier in this one. However, he is too expensive on the 2-way line, so get more specific.

Take MCGREGOR BY KO/TKO OR DQ (-190) on the 7-way line, which is still a little expensive, but worth the price. He’ll get it done, setting up a potential title bout against Khabib again, which will be what most UFC fans will open up their wallets to see.

In addition, taking UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-185) is a little pricey but also worth the risk. Eight of The Notorious’ past 10 fights have each cashed in Round 1 or 2. As such, playing MCGREGOR IN ROUND 1 (+160) or MCGREGOR IN ROUND 2 (+375) is the way to go. Normally I select a two-round block, but there is no value including Round 1 and another round, as that’s a losing proposition. I actually like the value of McGregor in Round 2 much better.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC 257: Dan Hooker vs. Michael Chandler odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC 257 fight between Dan Hooker and Michael Chandler, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a lightweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Dan Hooker and Michael Chandler meet at UFC 257 at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The early prelims and prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, followed by the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Hooker (20-9) heads into this match towering four inches over his counterpart, and he has a four-inch reach advantage, too. In addition, the switch stance Kiwi holds a 4.98 to 4.08 significant strikes landed per minute advantage with a slight lead in significant strikes-accuracy percentage at 48.16 to 47.04.

Chandler (21-5) will be trying to avoid a toe-to-toe battle in what will be his debut under the UFC banner. He will try to get this one to the mat as quickly as possible. He has a 2.57 to 0.74 takedown average and 41.74 to 34.78 takedown-accuracy advantage over Hooker, and Chandler leads 1.54 to 0.28 in takedown average, too, doing most of his damage in Bellator.

Hooker is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Dustin Poirier in the main event June 27, 2020, at the UFC’s APEX Facility. The loss snapped a three-bout win streak. Each of Hooker’s past three fights have ended up going the distance.

Chandler posted back-to-back knockouts against Sidney Outlaw and Benson Henderson prior to leaving for the UFC. The 34-year-old still has plenty left in the tank, and he is looking to make an immediate splash in the UFC by taking out one of the top contenders in the division.

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Hooker vs. Chandler: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:21 a.m. ET.

All eyes will be on CHANDLER (+125), as he steps up from Bellator to the UFC, and fights what he calls one of the scariest lightweights in the company. The American will make an immediate splash with a stoppage in his first UFC bout, so grab him at plus-money on the 2-way line.

Hooker – a.k.a. “The Hangman” – will be looking to keep Chandler at a distance and upright, using his reach advantage to try and knock out the newcomer to the division. I also like CHANDLER BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+360) with a small-unit play to more than triple up. In addition, playing NO (-120): “WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?” is also a good wager. UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+100) will also work at even money.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC 257: Marina Rodriguez vs. Amanda Ribas odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC 257 fight between Marina Rodriguez vs. Amanda Ribas, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a women’s strawweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Marina Rodriguez and Amanda Ribas meet at UFC 257 at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The early prelims and prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, followed by the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Rodriguez (12-1-2) is looking for her first victory since Aug. 10, 2019, a unanimous-decision win over Tecia Torres. Rodriguez fought to a draw against Cynthia Calvillo Dec. 7, 2019, and lost a tough split-decision against Carla Esparza July 25, 2020, in her most recent bout. Each of her past five fights have ended up going the distance, and just one of her past nine pro bouts have ended inside the distance.

Ribas (10-1) can handle herself going toe-to-toe with any fighter, but she is especially strong in the ground game. She enters with a 2.28 to 0.38 takedown-average advantage over Rodriguez, and 54.55 to 33.33 takedown-accuracy percentage. She also leads 1.90 to 0.19 in submission average, so needless to say, she’ll be trying to get to the ground and pound as quickly as possible.

Ribas made rather quick work of Paige VanZant last time out, winning via submission in Round 1 at UFC 251 July 11, 2020, sending VanZant off to the Bare Knuckle Fighting Championship and out of UFC.

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Rodriguez vs. Ribas: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:15 p.m. ET.

Ribas (-350) is a heavy favorite on the 2-way line over Rodriguez (+260), but you can’t risk three and a half times your potential return. Let’s get specific instead.

RIBAS BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+240) is a better value, and you’re a winner as long as she doesn’t win on points, or lose obviously. It wouldn’t be a bad idea to single out RIBAS BY SUBMISSION (+310) for a small-unit bet, too, as she is particularly good on the canvas and you have a chance to triple up.

I also think that despite the fact just one of Rodriguez’s past nine bouts have ended inside the distance, NO (+160): “WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?” is a good value, again, based on Ribas’ ground game.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

MMA Junkie:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC 257: Antonio Carlos Junior vs. Brad Tavares odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC 257 fight between Antonio Carlos Junior and Brad Tavares, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight bout on Saturday’s preliminary card, Brad Tavares and Antonio Carlos Junior meet at UFC 257 at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The early prelims and prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, followed by the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Carlos Junior (11-4) enters the octagon looking to use a five-inch reach advantage to keep Tavares (17-7) at arm’s length. That’s important, too, as Tavares has a 3.00 to 1.91 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. ACJ will be looking to get this fight to the mat as quickly as possible, as he owns a staggering 3.70 to 1.03 takedown average, and 44.00 to 27.12 takedown-accuracy percentage.

The Brazilian fighter Carlos Junior hasn’t been able to get to the canvas lately, losing a pair of decision to Ian Heinisch and Uriah Hall, snapping a five-bout win streak (four by submission). In 15 career pro fights, Carlos Junior has won nine times with no losses via submission, so “Cara de Sapato” likes to be on the mat and/or up against the fence looking to break his foes. If he cannot get to the canvas, he is very ordinary.

Tavares is looking to bounce back after getting dropped in Round 1 by Edmen Shahbazyan at UFC 244 Nov. 2, 2019. He suffered a torn anterior cruciate ligament after that fight and missed the entire 2020 season while rehabbing the injury. It will be interesting to see where his cardio is after such a long layoff, and if he can withstand a tumble with the boa-like Carlos Junior if the Brazilian should get him down early.

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Carlos Junior vs. Tavares: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:47 p.m. ET.

A.C. JUNIOR (+110) is a nice value as a short dog on the 2-way line. Tavares (-135) enters on a two-bout skid, and he hasn’t had his arm raised since April 14, 2018, against Krzysztof Jotko. While losses to strap holder Israel Adesanya and Shahbazyan aren’t anything to hang your head about, there is concern about Tavares after such a long layoff, especially against a fighter who is top-notch in the ground game.

Taking a shot on A.C. JUNIOR BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+275) can help you nearly triple up, and that’s a good value play. In addition, roll the dice on a two-round block featuring A.C. JUNIOR IN ROUND 2 (+900) and A.C. JUNIOR IN ROUND 3 (+1300). Yes, even if he wins in Round 2 or 3, you lose one end, but you’ll still be well ahead if he pulls off a slight upset inside the distance.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

MMA Junkie:

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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McGregor favored vs. Poirier by UFC 257 betting odds

Conor McGregor returns to the octagon as the odds favorite against Dustin Poirier at UFC 257. We break down the betting odds.

Ready for Poirier vs. McGregor 2? We sure are.

“The Notorious” Conor McGregor returns to the octagon Saturday for a lightweight fight against Dustin Poirier at UFC 257. The main card will begin at 10 p.m. ET and is available in full on pay-per-view via ESPN+. Below, we look at BetMGM‘s odds for McGregor-Poirier 2 at UFC 257.

Stream and watch all of the UFC 257 action with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Also see: UFC 257 Poirier vs. McGregor 2 full fight card and betting odds

McGregor-Poirier 2 odds

All odds via BetMGM; last updated Friday at 11:40 a.m. ET.

McGregor: -300 | Poirier: +240

McGregor, the fourth-ranked fighter in the lightweight division, is the betting favorite in his return. The -300 odds represent an implied win probability of 75.19% and can be expressed as a fraction of 33/100 or a decimal of 1.33. A $10 bet would return a profit of $3.30 if he is declared the winner.

You Pick’em! Make your UFC 257 picks and compete to win $5,000 in the ESPN UFC 257 Pick’em game. Play now!

Poirier, the division’s No. 2 challenger, is a modest underdog against McGregor. His +240 odds equate to a 29.41% implied win probability. They can be seen as a fraction of 12/5 or decimal of 3.40. A $10 bet would return a profit of $24 with an upset victory by Poirier.

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McGregor-Poirier 2 fight info

Conor “The Notorious” McGregor

Height: 5-foot-9

Weight: 155 pounds

Reach: 74 inches

Stance: Southpaw

Last fight: Win (KO/TKO) vs. Donald Cerrone Jan. 18, 2020

Dustin “The Diamond” Poirier

Height: 5-foot-9

Weight: 155 pounds

Reach: 72 inches

Stance: Southpaw

Last fight: Win (unanimous decision) vs. Dan Hooker June 27, 2020

How to watch and stream Conor McGregor at UFC 257?

Catch the entire UFC 257 fight card, including Poirier-McGregor 2, on Pay-Per-View on ESPN+.

Where can I bet on McGregor at UFC 257?

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

MMA Junkie:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC 257 Poirier vs. McGregor 2 full fight card and betting odds

Looking at the betting odds for Saturday’s UFC 257 fight card, headlined by Dustin Poirier vs. Conor McGregor 2.

Two of the top fighters in the lightweight division meet in the octagon in Abu Dhabi Saturday, as Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor go toe-to-toe in the main event of UFC 257. The main card will begin at 10 p.m. ET and is available in full on pay-per-view on ESPN+. Below, we look at BetMGM‘s betting odds for the full UFC 257 fight card.

Stream and watch all of the UFC 257 action with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC 257 betting odds: Main card

All odds via BetMGM; last updated Thursday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Dustin Poirier (+240) vs. Conor McGregor (-300)

McGregor (22-4) is a heavy betting favorite in the main event despite being the No. 4 challenger in the UFC’s lightweight division, while Poirier (26-6, 1 NC) is No. 2. A $10 bet on “The Notorious” to win would return a profit of $3.33; the same bet on “The Diamond” would net a profit of $24.

Place your legal, online sports bets on McGregor or Poirier on BetMGM! Risk-free first bet for new customers. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, NJ, PA, TN and WV! Bet now.

Dan Hooker (-130) vs. Michael Chandler (+110)

“The Hangman” Hooker (20-9) is the slight favorite over “Iron” Chandler (21-5). Hooker is sixth in the lightweight division while Chandler is unranked.

Jessica Eye (+100) vs. Joanne Calderwood (-120)

“JoJo” Calderwood (14-5) has a slight edge in a women’s flyweight bout with “Evil” Eye (15-8, 1 NC). A $10 bet on the sixth-ranked Eye at even-money would return a profit of $10.

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Matt Frevola (+135) vs. Ottman Azaitar (-160)

The undefeated “Bulldozer” Azaitar (13-0) is a modest betting favorite against “The Steamrolla” Frevola (8-1-1) in another lightweight contest. Both fighters are unranked.

Marina Rodriguez (+260) vs. Amanda Ribas (-350)

Ribas (10-1) is the biggest favorite on the main card with an implied win probability of 77.78% in this women’s strawweight fight. An upset win by Rodriguez (21-1-2) would return a profit of $26 on a $10 bet, but her implied win probability is just 27.78%. It would take a $35 bet on Ribas to turn a profit of $10.

Special UFC 257 Betting Promotion!

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UFC 257 betting odds: Prelims

Arman Tsarukyan (-295) vs. Nasrat Haqparast (+240)

Both Tsarukyan (15-2) and Haqparast (12-3) are unranked in the lightweight division. Tsarukyan is the betting favorite despite giving up a 3-inch height advantage to Haqparast.

Brad Tavares (-135) vs. Antonio Carlos Junior (+110)

Tavares (17-7) is the No. 14 challenger in the middleweight division and is a slight favorite against the unranked Carlos Junior (11-4, 1 NC). A $10 bet on the underdog from Brazil would return a profit of $11 with an upset win.

Juliana Pena (+110) vs. Sara McMann (-130)

A women’s bantamweight bout sees the seventh-ranked Pena (10-4) listed as the underdog against the more experienced but ninth-ranked McMann (12-5).

Khalil Rountree Jr. (-345) vs. Marcin Prachnio (+270)

The only light heavyweight bout on the card features Rountree (9-4, 1 NC) as a heavy favorite against Prachnio (13-5) with both fighters unranked. It would take a $34.50 bet on Rountree to earn a profit of $10.

Andrew Sanchez (+120) vs. Makhmud Muradov (-145)

Muradov (24-6) is the betting favorite in a middleweight bout against Sanchez (13-5). A $10 bet on Muradov would return a profit of $6.90 with a victory.

Nik Lentz (+385) vs. Movsar Evloev (-530)

In a catchweight bout in the early prelims, Evloev (13-0) is the heaviest betting favorite on the entire UFC 257 card against Lentz (30-11-2, 1 NC). Evloev has an implied win probability of 84.13% and a $10 bet would net a profit of just $1.89. An upset win by Lentz would return a profit of $38.50 on just a $10 bet but with an implied win probability of only 20.62%.

Amir Albazi (-105) vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov (-115)

The night begins with Albazi (13-1) as a very slight underdog against Zhumagulov (13-4) in a flyweight battle. Albazi is the No. 15 challenger in the division and Zhumagulov is unranked.

Make your UFC 257 picks and compete to win $5,000 in the ESPN UFC 257 Pick’em game. Play now!

When is UFC 257?

The main card of UFC 257 is scheduled for Saturday at 10 p.m. ET. The main event should begin around midnight ET.

Prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. ET.

Where is UFC 257?

Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

How/Where can I watch UFC 257?

Catch the entire UFC 257 fight card, including Poirier-McGregor 2, on Pay-Per-View on ESPN+.

Where can I bet on UFC 257?

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

MMA Junkie:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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