Tag: BetMGM-MLB

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Friday’s New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies sports betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The New York Mets (9-11) open a three-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (5-9) Friday night. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. We analyze the Mets-Phillies betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.

Mets at Phillies: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Jacob deGrom vs. RHP Spencer Howard

Through four starts in 2020, deGrom has been lights out once again. He boasts a 2.45 ERA in 22 innings, along with 28 strikeouts (11.5 K/9).

  • He has made seven career starts at Citizens Bank Park, where he has posted a 2.43 ERA and 0.98 WHIP, with 44 strikeouts in 40 2/3 innings.
  • He has had great success against the Phillies recently. In four starts over the past two seasons, deGrom has pitched a total of 25 innings against them, and has allowed just two earned runs (0.72 ERA).

Howard made his major league debut against the Atlanta Braves Sunday. He lasted 4 2/3 innings, allowing seven hits (including two homers) and whiffing four batters.

  • He made 15 starts across three levels of the minors in 2019, during which time he recorded a 2.03 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 71 innings (11.9 K/9).
  • In a normal season, Howard would have spent part of the season in the minors, as he entered the year with just six starts (and 30 2/3 innings) above Single-A. That was with Class Double-A Reading, where he posted a 2.35 ERA and 11.2 K/9.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup in the 2020 season with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Mets at Phillies: Key injuries

Get the latest injury news here.

Mets

  • 3B Jeff McNeil (knee) doutbtful
  • 2B Robinson Cano (groin) questionable
  • SS Amed Rosario (illness) questionable

Phillies

  • OF Adam Haseley (wrist) out
  • RP Seranthony Dominguez (elbow) out for season

Mets at Phillies: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Mets 5, Phillies 2

Moneyline (ML)

The METS (-200) are pretty heavy favorites in this contest with their ace deGrom on the mound. He hasn’t allowed more than two runs in a start this season, after ending last year with just one total run allowed in his final four starts. Even in a hitter-friendly park, the Philadelphia offense will have a tough time getting anything going.

Howard, meanwhile, is considered one of the top pitching prospects in the game, but there are going to be some bumps in the road, given his lack of experience in the upper levels of the minors. The Mets offense has scored 19 runs in the past two games, and while they won’t stay that hot, they should do enough today to pull off the victory. Take the METS (-200).

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Mets to win returns a profit of $5.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Mets are -2 (+100) on the run line, while the Phillies enter the contest at +2 (-121). The Mets should win the game, but counting on them to win by more than two runs is a risky investment. Take it down to METS -1.5 (-125) on the alternate line or just PASS on the run line.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under has hit in 12 of 20 games for the Mets this year, and in two of the four games started by deGrom. He has been dominant so far, and should be able to keep the Phillies bats quiet.

Howard is still a wildcard and isn’t likely to be a dominant starter right away. Chances are, he’ll avoid disaster in this one, and help keep the total UNDER 8.5 (-110).

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Texas Rangers at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Friday’s Texas Rangers at Colorado Rockies sports betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Texas Rangers (8-9) visit the Colorado Rockies (12-6) Friday to start a three-game series at Coors Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. We analyze the Rangers-Rockies MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Both clubs are 6-4 in their last 10 games; the Rockies are 6-4 at home, and Texas is 1-5 on the road.

Rangers at Rockies: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Lance Lynn at RHP Ryan Castellani

In this short 2020 sample size, Lynn has continued the form he regained in 2019; he has spun a 2-0 record with a 1.16 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 23 1/3 frames.

  • Unfortunately, he’s walked 12 batters in that window and has been wildly lucky with a .174 BABIP and a ridiculous 99% left-on-base rate.
  • Some of those runners will reach base and cross homeplate more frequently. Coors Field feels like the perfect battlefield for that comeuppance.

The Rockies’ counterpart, however, fell into a rotation spot recently. Castellani has just four major-league innings to his resume, after posting an 8.31 ERA across 10 starts for Class Tripe-A Albuquerque in 2019.

  • Castellani averages a decent 93.7 mph on his four-seam fastball, though, and twirled four shutout innings in his debut Saturday.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Rangers at Rockies: Key injuries

Get the latest injury news here.

Rangers

  • C Robinson Chirinos (ankle) questionable
  • RP Nick Goody (back) out
  • OF Danny Santana (forearm) out
  • RP Jose Leclerc (shoulder) out

Rockies

  • INF Chris Owings (hamstring) questionable
  • RP Wade Davis (shoulder) out
  • OF Ian Desmond (personal) opted out of 2020 season
  • RP Scott Oberg (back) out

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Rangers at Rockies: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Rockies 7, Rangers 5

The ultimate battle of “sometimes elite pitcher” against arguably the best home offense — and definitely versus the worst stadium for pitchers; the Rockies rank second in baseball with a .384 home wOBA.

I’m going to fade the pitcher with red flags for correction, especially because of some favorable bets ahead. Both bullpens are messy, so even if Lynn performs well, these lineups should have fun in the late innings.

Plus, it’s difficult right now to move against Colorado’s scorching-hot Charlie Blackmon: .472/.506/.681 in 79 plate appearances, and a league-best .477 home wOBA since the start of the 2019 season.

Moneyline (ML)

  • Rangers (-129)
  • Rockies (+115)

I’ll give Lynn his due, but not when Colorado is getting positive odds in Coors Field. BET the ROCKIES (+115).

New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Rockies (+115) would return a profit of $11.50.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

  • Rangers -1 (-110)
  • Rockies +1 (-110)

The default promoted lines don’t do much. PASS.

Instead, look at BetMGM’s alternate lines for Rangers-Rockies. BET ROCKIES -1.5 (+200) for a bigger return in a situation that could easily see Lynn stumble.

New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Rockies -1.5 (+200) would return a profit of $20.

Over/Under (O/U)

  • Over 12.5 (-115)
  • Under 12.5 (-106)

O/U records: Rangers 9-8-0, Rockies 8-9-1

Lynn should face some rough stretches in this ballpark but is solid enough to keep this one just low enough to fade this high total. BET the UNDER 12.5 (-106), though my predicted total merely shorts this benchmark by hitting 12 instead of 13.

New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Under would return a profit of $9.43.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @TeamHeaney on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees sports betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (6-13) and New York Yankees (12-6) begin a four-game wraparound series Friday at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 p.m. ET. We analyze the Red Sox-Yankees MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Thursday: Boston lost 17-8, dropping a fourth in a row – all at home to the Tampa Bay Rays. New York had the day off after taking two straight from the Atlanta Braves at home.

Red Sox at Yankees: Projected starting pitchers

“Bullpen game” vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Manager Ron Roenicke said the Red Sox will go the opener route in this one.

  • 2020: Boston is 0-3 when starting a reliever this season
  • 24 runs allowed: The Red Sox lost those bullpen games 7-4, 9-7 and 8-7

Cole this season: 3-0, 3.22 ERA (8 ER, 22 1/3 IP), 26 K in 4 starts

  • Last start: No decision, 3 ER, 4 2/3 IP, 6 H, 1 BB, 10 K at Rays last Saturday – Yankees won 8-4
  • 2019 vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (0 ER, 5 IP), 7 K, 6 H, 1 BB, 1 start – Houston Astros won 3-1
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 2-1, 3.60 (12 ER, 30 IP), 31 K in 5 starts

Get some action on this game or any other matchup with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Red Sox at Yankees: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Red Sox

  • OF Andrew Benintendi (ribs) out
  • SS Xander Bogaerts (lower body) probable
  • RP Darwinzon Hernandez (COVID-19 recovery) out
  • 2B Dustin Pedroia (knee) out
  • 2B/SS Jose Peraza (leg) doubtful
  • RP Josh Taylor (COVID-19 recovery) questionable

Yankees

  • RP Aroldis Chapman (COVID-19 recovery) out
  • RF Aaron Judge (lower body) questionable
  • RP Tommy Kahnle (Tommy John surgery) out
  • OF/DH Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) out

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Red Sox at Yankees: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:30 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Yankees 9, Red Sox 2

Moneyline (ML)

The Yankees (-334) are huge favorites – as they should be vs. the Red Sox (+275). Not only is Cole one victory shy of becoming the sixth pitcher in major-league history to win 20 consecutive decisions; he also has made 26 starts in a row without a loss, which is the fifth-longest streak in MLB history.

Additionally, New York has won the last six vs. Boston and is 11-1 in the past 12 head-to-head meetings. But I can’t justify suggesting laying that kind of chalk. I’ll focus on the run line below.

New to sports betting? It would take a $3.35 bet on the Yankees ML just to win $1.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The YANKEES (-1.5, -167) are the STRONGEST PLAY. They beat the Red Sox (+1.5, +140) 5-1, 5-2 and 9-7 in a three-game sweep in the Bronx just two weekends ago. With Cole toeing the rubber, there’s no reason to think New York won’t cover the RL again.

Plus, the Yankees lead the majors with a 13-5 RL record.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-110) is worth a small-unit wager, especially because the Under 9 is also (-110). Boston’s bullpen sports an ugly 4.94 ERA, ranking 22nd in the majors – and 13th in the AL. However, Cole could shut out the Red Sox, and the Yankees are only 3-2-2 O/U at home this season.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Johnny’s 2020 MLB record 20-14
2020 overall record 60-40-1
Strongest plays 32-16

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs sports betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (7-10) and Chicago Cubs (13-3) battle Friday in the second contest of a four-game series, with first pitch scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET at Wrigley Field. We analyze the Brewers-Cubs MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Yu Darvish teased a no-hitter for the Cubs during an eventual 4-2 win Thursday.

Brewers at Cubs: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Brandon Woodruff at RHP Tyler Chatwood

Woodruff has rolled through his first 21 1/3 innings of the year with a 2.53 ERA, finally having an ERA befitting his continued excellence in K/9 (10.97) and BB/9 (2.11) — mainly via a 54.9% groundball rate.

  • He’s gotten a bit lucky, though, given he’s stranded 89.9% of his baserunners. Despite his elite skills, that may tick his ERA up as more of those cross the plate. He has also had a bit worse pace in HR/9 (1.27, compared to 0.89 last year).
  • He has logged a 3.86 ERA in seven innings across three career appearances (one start) at Wrigley Field, striking out nine and walking two batters.

Chatwood’s dominance has skyrocketed (13.80 K/9) while his control has been sparkling (2.40 BB/9), but his groundball rate has sunk (39.5%) and his ERA has soared (5.40 ERA).

  • His first 15 innings have certainly been weird. Case in point: His 5.40 ERA hides a 2.53 FIP, which means he should be getting more good results from his skills in the future.
  • Chatwood has mowed down the Brew Crew with a 2.75 ERA in 13 appearances (seven starts), including a 1.26 ERA across six games (one start) and 14 1/3 frames.
  • The righty holds a 4.11 ERA in 37 career outings (20 starts) at Wrigley Field.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Brewers at Cubs: Key injuries

Get the latest injury news here.

Brewers

  • OF Lorenzo Cain (personal) opted out of 2020 season

Cubs

  • 3B Kris Bryant (wrist) questionable

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Brewers at Cubs: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Brewers 5, Cubs 3

I’ll side with Woodruff, who’s notably more stable than the up-and-down Chatwood.

Moneyline (ML)

  • Brewers (-112)
  • Cubs (+100)

As hot as they are lately, the Cubs don’t get an overly profitable outlook here. I’m not compelled to BET the Brewers (-112) moneyline, but I’d prefer it if I had to pick. BET if you don’t mind falling short of a double-up.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

  • Brewers -1.5 (+135)
  • Cubs +1.5 (-167)

Luckily, gamblers can pivot from the moneyline and BET the Brewers’ -1.5 (+135) run line.

New to sports betting? A winning $10 wager on the Brewers’ run line would return a profit of $13.50.

Over/Under (O/U)

  • Over 8 (-115)
  • Under 8 (-106)

The books kinda nailed this one. Maybe you can double-up by instead BETTING UNDER 8.5 (-120) on the alternate total line, but it’s my least favorite recommendation of these three.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @TeamHeaney on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs sports betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (7-9) and Chicago Cubs (12-3) meet for a Thursday evening contest to open a four-game set at Wrigley Field. First pitch is set for 7:15 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Brewers-Cubs MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Brewers at Cubs: Projected starting pitchers

LHP Brett Anderson vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Anderson has posted a 5.40 ERA through two starts. The 32-year-old southpaw has been on a short leash, making 52 pitches in his season debut and 68 last time out.

  • That last start came on Aug. 8, so Anderson heads into Thursday’s contest on a four-day rest. Over his career and across recent seasons, the veteran hurler has been much sharper on five days of rest.
  • Anderson has made six career starts at Wrigley Field. Over those half-dozen games, he has scuffled his way to an 8.49 ERA, allowing an OPS of 1.038.

Darvish owns a 2.12 ERA through a trio of starts. The Cubs right-hander has thus far clocked a 15.1% swinging-strike rate and an 8-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

  • Darvish is facing the Brewers for a second time this season. He wasn’t especially sharp the first time around (4 IP, 3R allowed on 6H).

Get some action on this game or any other matchup in the 2020 season with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Brewers at Cubs: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Brewers

  • RP Ray Black (shoulder) out
  • OF Lorenzo Cain (personal) out

Cubs

  • 3B Kris Bryant (wrist) questionable
  • RP Brad Wiek (hamstring) out

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Brewers at Cubs: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML)

The Cubs are 8-1 over their last nine games, and they’re 7-1 at home, but Chicago is also 4-0 in one-run games, and its overall win-loss record is outpacing its runs scored profile and its underlying stats beneath those runs.

With all that, the Cubs are overpriced in this one. That’s certainly the case in looking at 2019-20 prices on Darvish starts. Throw in a shaky Chicago bullpen and a left-leaning Milwaukee lineup (which cuts into a Darvish deficiency), and you can get to a point where the Brewers are a near-40% proposition. There’s good value on the BREWERS (+165).

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Dodgers to win returns a profit of $16.50.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on Brewers +1.5 (-134).

Over/Under (O/U)

Dating back to last season, the Under is 8-1-1 over Anderson’s last 10 starts; it’s also 6-2 over the last eight for Darvish. The early weather forecast calls for a pitcher’s breeze off Lake Michigan.

A play on the UNDER 8 (-106) makes sense.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Thursday’s San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers sports betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (11-8) and Los Angeles Dodgers (12-7) close out their four-game NL West series Thursday with a 9:40 p.m. ET contest at Dodger Stadium. Below, we analyze the Padres-Dodgers MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

San Diego has taken two of the first three games in the series and is 3-1 over its last four. The Dodgers shut out their Southern California neighbors, 6-0, Wednesday night.

Padres at Dodgers: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Chris Paddack vs. LHP Julio Urias

Paddack has earned a 3.18 ERA and 1.02 WHIP through 22 2/3 IP.

  • He has exhibited an uptick in velocity and ground-ball rate over his four starts. One of those four turns came against these Dodgers Aug. 3, and he allowed five hits and three earned runs but no walks over six innings in the win.
  • The LA lineup leans right, and that plays into a Paddack strength. Over 2019-20, the 24-year-old has yielded a .702 OPS to lefty bats and a mere .585 figure to righties.

Urias has successfully negotiated some frequent hard contact so far. He has a 2.40 ERA through 15 IP. The five-year veteran owns a 3.12 ERA over 66 career games.

  • San Diego has a .746 OPS against southpaws, and that’s with a .250 batting average on balls in play. The Friars’ average of 5.22 runs per game ranks fourth in the majors.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup in the 2020 season with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Padres at Dodgers: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Padres

  • SS Jorge Mateo (illness) out
  • RP Kirby Yates (back) questionable

Dodgers

  • SS Corey Seager (back) questionable
  • RP Joe Kelly (shoulder) out
  • C Will Smith (neck) questionable

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Padres at Dodgers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML)

A banged-up LA offense has been pedestrian of late with a .678 OPS over the last nine games, and there are some significant splits that swing this one to a fair chance for the visiting Friars. BACK THE PADRES (+125).

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Dodgers to win returns a profit of $12.50.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Both sides end up in their fair share of one-run games. Figure a slight lean toward the PADRES +1.5 (-160).

Over/Under (O/U)

The figure is pegged here, and there aren’t a lot of hidden analytics that shade a play either way. AVOID the Over 8.5 (-110)/Under 8.5 (-110).

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees sports betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Atlanta Braves (11-8) and New York Yankees (11-6) cap off a  two-game set Wednesday at Yankee Stadium with first pitch set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Braves-Yankees MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Braves at Yankees: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Huascar Ynoa vs. RHP Masahiro Tanaka

Ynoa made his first career start Aug. 9 against the Philadelphia Phillies. The 22-year-old Dominican fire-baller went 2 1/3 IP, allowing a run on a hit and a walk. He made two relief appearances in 2019, Wednesday’s game will mark the fourth of his career.

  • Ynoa has swing-and-miss stuff (more than a strikeout per inning at Double-A and Triple-A a year ago), but his work in this one figures to be of one-time-through-the order variety.

Tanaka is coming off a fine start at the Tampa Bay Rays (5 IP, 0 runs, 5 strikeouts), and his velocity has been impressive thus far. Injured (concussion) at the outset of the season, the Yankee right-hander has clocked a 1.17 ERA through two starts.

  • Tanaka has a 3.13 ERA over his last nine starts at Yankee Stadium.
  • Because of his head injury — one sustained in Summer Camp — Tanaka has been on a short leash. He threw 51 pitches in his regular-season debut and 59 in his second start.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup in the 2020 season with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Braves at Yankees: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Braves

  • 1B Matt Adams (hamstring) out
  • 2B Ozzie Albies (wrist) out
  • RP Chris Martin (throat) out
  • RP Jeremy Walker (shoulder) out
  • RP Jacob Webb (shoulder) out

Yankees

  • RP Aroldis Chapman (COVID-19 recovery) out
  • RP Tommy Kahnle (Tommy John surgery) out
  • OF Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) out

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Braves at Yankees: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML)

The prices on both sides of the moneyline (Yankees -189/Braves +170) are in the no-fly zone. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The lean here is only a small-confidence one, and it’s on the BRAVES +1.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Run-scoring analytics point to a) Both of these teams being significantly out too far over their skis, and b) Both pitching staffs being a bit undersold by their current surface numbers. Both clubs have lofty BABIPs in high-leverage situations; the Braves have a .346 BABIP when batting with runners in scoring position.

Add in a few injuries to key bats and some recent (albeit short-term) slumps, and there is some value to be had on going low. The risk/reward of pegging Tanaka and relievers to go low leans to the reward side. BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-110).

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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