Tag: Bengals Steelers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) visit the Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6) Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bengals vs. Steelers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Coming off their bye week the Bengals will still be without star WR Ja’Marr Chase. They will have RB Joe Mixon, who scored 4 TDs in their last game, a 42-21 home win as 7-point favorites against the Carolina Panthers Nov. 6.

The Bengals will look to avenge a 23-20 opening-season loss to the Steelers. Despite outgaining Pittsburgh by 165 yards (432 to 267), Cincinnati lost as a 7.5-point favorite. The Bengals could have won, but K Evan McPherson missed 2 field goals, one at the end of regulation and another in overtime.

With trading WR Chase Claypool to the Bears, it will be prudent for WR Diontae Johnson to minimize his drops — something which has been a struggle his entire career. He did OK in the Steelers’ 1st game after the trade, pulling in 4 catches on 5 targets for 63 years in last week’s 20-10 home win vs. the New Orleans Saints — Pittsburgh was a 1-point favorite.

But having to face a Bengals defense that has been solid recently and having a limited number of weapons, the Steelers could be in trouble.

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Bengals at Steelers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bengals -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Steelers +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bengals -3.5 (-108) | Steelers +3.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 40 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Bengals at Steelers key injuries

Bengals

  • WR Ja’Marr Chase (hip) out
  • DB Daxton Hill (shoulder) out
  • DL Josh Tupou (calf) out

Steelers

  • K Chris Boswell (groin) out — injured reserve
  • CB Ahkello Witherspoon (hamstring) out

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Bengals at Steelers picks and predictions

Prediction

Bengals 27, Steelers 20

Moneyline

PASS.

The Bengals (-190) will win, but I’m not a fan of making a moneyline bet of -180 or higher. It’s not worth the risk.

Against the spread

BET BENGALS -3.5 (-108).

The Steelers played good in the second half against the Saints last Sunday, outscoring New Orleans 10-0. However, the Saints were without a true QB and their best WR in Michael Thomas. They also played without star CB Marshon Lattimore.

The Bengals will come in fresh off a bye and looking to avenge the Week 1 loss. Mixon is coming off the best game of his career and WR Tee Higgins along with WR Tyler Boyd will be able to beat Pittsburgh’s defense down field.

If the Bengals’ offensive line can control Steelers LB T.J. Watt long enough for QB Joe Burrow to throw, this will be a cover for the Bengals.

I expect the O-Line to do just that, making CINCINNATI -3.5 (-108) my pick here.

Over/Under

BET OVER 40 (-108).

It took overtime for these AFC North rivals to get to 43 points in Week 1, but these teams are far better now than they were in the opener. Plus, Burrow is fully healthy after an off-season appendix surgery. This makes the difference here.

With K Boswell out, the Steelers will take more chances. The Bengals already do this. More drives equal more points. OVER 40 (-108) is my FAVORITE PLAY.

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Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing the Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers Week 3 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) host the AFC North rival Cincinnati Bengals (1-1) Sunday at Heinz Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bengals vs. Steelers odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Cincy fell back to earth with a 20-17 Week 2 loss at the Chicago Bears in a misleading final score. Chicago’s defense stifled the Bengals all game long and Cincy’s two touchdowns came in garbage time.

The Bengals upset the Minnesota Vikings 27-24 in overtime as 3-point home underdogs in Week 1. Cincy is 1-1 Over/Under thus far.

Pittsburgh also was humbled in Week 2 with a 26-17 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders as a 5.5-point home favorite after an impressive 23-16 Week 1 victory at the Buffalo Bills as a 6.5-point road underdog. The Under has cashed in the Steelers’ first two games.

These teams split last season’s series as Pittsburgh won the first 36-10 at home and Cincy stole the second 27-17 despite QB Joe Burrow being sidelined with a season-ending injury. The total was 1-0-1 O/U in last year’s Steelers-Bengals meetings.

Bengals at Steelers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bengals +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Steelers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bengals +3.5 (-130) | Steelers -3.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Bengals at Steelers key injuries

Bengals

  • WR Tee Higgins (shoulder) doubtful
  • RG Xavier Su’a-Filo (knee) doubtful
  • CB Trae Waynes (hamstring) doubtful

Steelers

  • WR Diontae Johnson (knee) out
  • OLB T.J. Watt (groin) out
  • OLB Alex Highsmith (groin) out

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Bengals at Steelers odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bengals 20, Steelers 16

Money line

Slight “LEAN” to the BENGALS (+130) since I like Cincy plus the points and the sharp side of the market is backing the Bengals.

According to Pregame.com at the time of writing, roughly 60% of the cash wagered is on Cincy’s money line while around 60% of the bets are on Pittsburgh.  Generally, you’d rather follow the money than the crowd of people in sports betting.

Also, Oddsmakers have reacted to the presumed “sharp” money by the Bengals down from a +186 consensus money line to the current price. Being late to the party of a Cincy upset is why I can only slightly “lean” to the BENGALS (+130).

Against the spread

The BENGALS +3.5 (-130) is the right side in this matchup because the Steelers are banged-up at key positions on both sides of the ball and Pittsburgh hasn’t faired well ATS early in seasons recently.

The Steelers are just 7-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 or more points in September since 2011 and 0-4 ATS in the last four games as home favorites.

That said, BENGALS +3.5 (-130) is more of a “lean” because my favorite play in this contest is the Under.

Over/Under

BET 1 unit on the UNDER 43.5 (-115) for a few reasons. First of all, the Under is 4-1-1 in the last six Bengals-Steelers games.

Second, we know Pittsburgh’s defense is a top-5 unit in football but the market is sleeping on Cincy’s defense. The Bengals rank eighth in defensive EPA per play and fourth in defensive success rate.

Additionally, I figure both coaching staffs want to keep their quarterbacks out of harm’s way in this game. Pittsburgh’s pass rush is ferocious and Burrow’s rookie season was cut short with an injury.

Plus Big Ben is dealing with a pectoral injury and seems less than thrilled about new offensive coordinator Matt Canada’s 3- and 4-WR sets. I expect the Steelers to feed RB Najee Harris a lot this game.

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