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Benfica (3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) welcomes Barcelona (5-0-1) to Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica Tuesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Benfica vs. Barcelona odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Barcelona sits second in the UEFA Champions League through 6 matchdays and is coming off a 1-1 road draw against Getafe Saturday, ending with 1.0 more expected goals. It snapped a streak of 4 straight wins throughout all competitions. Barcelona is third in La Liga and is led by F Robert Lewandowski, who has netted 16 goals in 19 starts. He had scored 7 goals in its 6 Champions League matches.
Benfica enters this game ranked 15th in Champions League play. It sits second in the Primeira Liga, the top Portuguese league. While its offense has dominated league play, it has thrived mainly due to a dynamic defense that has allowed just 11 goals. The home side is coming off a 4-0 win over Famalicao, finishing with 3.9 more expected goals. Benfica is 1-1-1 in Champions League play at home.
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Benfica vs. Barcelona odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:38 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Benfica +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Barcelona +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Draw +290 (bet $100 to win $290)
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +105 | U: -145)
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Benfica vs. Barcelona picks and predictions
Prediction
Benfica 2, Barcelona 2
Moneyline (ML)
BET DRAW (+290).
Barcelona has performed well for most of the season, but it has struggled over the last few months. It is 1-4-3 in its last 8 league games and is 2-0-1 in its Champions League road matches.
Benfica has been unstoppable in league play at home, posting a 9-0-1 record. While Barcelona will pose a greater challenge, Benfica has allowed a goal in just 5 of 13 home matches across all competitions. It has more expected goals in all 3 home UEFA matches.
Expect the home side to keep things close despite having less talented players taking the pitch, and considering these odds, play DRAW (+290).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (+105).
While Benfica’s defense has been key to its success, it hasn’t quite performed as well on that end in UEFA action. Benfica has gone Over this total in 3 of 6 Champions League battles. It has allowed at least 1.0 expected goals in 4 of those.
Barcelona has a strong attack as well, netting 2.60 goals per game in La Liga action. It has scored 4 or more goals in 3 of its last 5 games. In Champions League action, is has topped this total in 4 of 6.
Play OVER 3.5 (+105).
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