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The BC Lions (5-5) and Ottawa Redblacks (6-2-1) meet Saturday for a Week 12 matchup at TD Place Stadium in the front end of a home-and-home set. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TSN/CFL+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Lions vs. Redblacks odds, and make our expert CFL picks and predictions.
After a 5-game winning streak from Week 2 through 6, the Lions are on a 4-game losing skid while also going 0-4 against the spread (ATS) in the slide. The offense has disappeared, posting just 9.0 points per game (PPG) in the past 3 outings. The Under has cashed in 4 consecutive outings.
QB Nathan Rourke had a disastrous season debut with the Lions last week against Winnipeg, going 8 of 25 for 126 yards, 0 TDs and 2 INTs. RB William Stanback was the offensive star, going for 100 rushing yards on 15 carries.
For the Redblacks, after a 2-2 straight-up/ATS start, Ottawa has ripped off a 4-0-1 record in the past 5 contests while going 4-1 ATS. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games and 5-2 across the past 7 outings.
Ottawa’s defense has been dinged for 25.5 PPG in the past 2 outings. However, the offense is good for 31 or more points in 3 of the previous 5 outings.
Lions at Redblacks odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:29 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Lions -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Redblacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Lions -1.5 (-104) | Redblacks +1.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Lions at Redblacks key injuries
Lions
- QB Vernon Adams Jr. (knee) out
- DB Cristophe Beaulieu (ankle) out
- DL Francis Bemiy Jr. (knee) out
- DL Pete Robertson (foot) out
- LB Maxime Rouyer (knee) questionable
Redblacks
- DL Bryce Carter (shoulder) out
- LB Lucas Cormier (foot) out
- DL Nigel Romick (hamstring) out
For updates: See CFL injury reports
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Lions at Redblacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Redblacks 23, Lions 20
Moneyline
OTTAWA (+100) is a strong play at home as short ‘dogs at even-money.
The Redblacks have been playing tremendous football lately, going 4-0-1 across the past 5 outings, with only a 22-22 tie against the Saskatchewan Roughriders in Week 10 as the lone blemish.
The Lions (-120) signed Rourke, as Adams has been nursing a knee injury. The latter is a candidate for the CFL Most Outstanding Player, posting 2,469 passing yards, 14 TDs and 6 INTs. While coach Rick Campbell said Adams won’t be traded upon signing Rourke, it’s a bit awkward at the moment in Vancouver.
Know that you are going against the trends, as the Lions have won 7 in a row in the series while going 8-1 ATS in the past 9 in the series.
Against the spread
Backing Ottawa +1.5 (-118) playing the little bit of points makes no sense, unless you’re absolutely convinced that the Lions -1.5 (-104) are going to win, but just by a single point.
If you like the Redblacks, just bet them straight up, instead.
PASS.
Over/Under
UNDER 50.5 (-115) might be the best play on the board.
The total has cashed low in 4 straight games for BC and 7 of the previous 9 outings. The Lions are good for just 9.0 PPG on offense in the past 3 games. Due to Adams’ injury and Rourke’s shaky play last time out, the BC offense cannot be trusted.
For the Redblacks, while the Over cashed last time out, the total has gone low at a 5-2 clip in the past 7 outings.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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