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Bayern Munich (10 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss) welcomes RB Leipzig (8-3-3) to Allianz Arena Friday. Kickoff in this major Bundesliga clash is set for 2:30 p.m. ET (ESPN Deportes). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Bayern Munich vs. RB Leipzig odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Bayern Munich, which is 5-1-0 at home this season, sits atop the highest league in Germany. The Bavarians lead the league in goals (42) and least allowed goals (12). They’re coming off their first loss of the season, a 2-1 road defeat against Mainz 05 Saturday. Including a UEFA Champions League win (5-1 vs. Shakhtar Donetsk) and a loss in the German Cup (1-0 to Bayer Leverkusen), this will be the Bavarians’ fifth game of December. F Harry Kane leads Bayern Munich in goals (14) and assists (6) in 12 starts.
RB Leipzig sits fourth on the Bundesliga table — though tied with third-place Eintracht Frankfurt with 27 points. The Red Bulls have 23 goals (tied for eighth) and have allowed 15 (tied for second). Leipzig has been slightly worse on the road than at home, sitting with a 4-1-2 record through 7 away matches, while it’s 4-2-1 at home. The Red Bulls are coming off a 2-1 home win over Eintracht Frankfurt Sunday. Leipzig, which is averaging 1.64 goals per game, is led by F Lois Openda, who has tallied a team-high 6 goals with 3 assists in 14 matches.
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Bayern Munich vs. RB Leipzig odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:55 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Bayern Munich -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | RB Leipzig +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000) | Draw +575
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -130 | U: -110)
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Bayern Munich vs. RB Leipzig picks and predictions
Prediction
Bayern Munich 2, RB Leipzig 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
Bayern (-450) has been virtually unbeatable at home, but it is too expensive to play here. It has scored at least 3 goals in 4 straight Bundesliga home matches and has just one lone home non-win on the season, a 1-1 draw with Leverkusen in which it ended with 1.3 more expected goals.
Despite Leipzig’s relative strength on the road, it has lost 5 of its last 8 and has struggled to find any rhythm. The Red Bulls (+1000) have lost 4 of their last 5 on the road. AVOID.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 3.5 (-110).
Bayern Munich has dominated at home, but it hasn’t necessarily had high-scoring battles against quality opponents. At home, the Bavarians have a 1-0 home win over PSG, a 1-1 draw with Leverkusen in a game that had a total of 1.5 combined goals, and a 0-1 loss to Leverkusen in the DFB-Pokal. They have gone Under 3.5 in 5 of their last 6 home matches.
Leipzig has gone Under this total in 3 of its last 4 games and has allowed 1 or 0 goals in 4 of its last 6. The Red Bulls have had 1.6 or fewer expected goals as well in 7 of its last 9 matches.
Considering these trends for both sides, BACK UNDER 3.5 (-110).
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
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