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Barcelona (7 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) welcomes Real Madrid (8-1-1) to Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys Saturday. Kickoff is set for 10:15 a.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Barcelona vs. Real Madrid odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Barcelona sits 3rd in La Liga and is a perfect 5-0-0 at home this season. It has scored 22 goals and allowed 10 through 10 matches. Leading the charge for Barcelona is F Robert Lewandowski, who has 5 goals in 8 matches. Barcelona’s most recent match was a 2-1 Champions League win over Shakhtar. It has had more expected goals in every home match throughout all competitions this season.
Real sits atop La Liga with 25 points through 10 games. Madrid is 4-1-1 on the road this season and has the league’s most dominant defense, having allowed just 7 goals. M Jude Bellingham leads the way offensively, having scored 8 goals in 9 matches. Real also won its midweek Champions League match, taking down Braga 2-1 on the road.
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Barcelona vs. Real Madrid odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:56 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Barcelona +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Real Madrid +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Draw +260
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -175 | U: +125)
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Barcelona vs. Real Madrid picks and predictions
Prediction
Real Madrid 2, Barcelona 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET REAL MADRID (+160).
For starters, home-field advantage in El Clasico hasn’t mattered. The home side is 3-3 over the last 6 games. There hasn’t been a tie in the league rivalry match since 2019, so that’s unlikely as well.
As for Real, their defense is the real deal. They have allowed fewer than 1 expected goal in 4 games. They have pitched a clean sheet in 3 of 6 road matches as well while scoring multiple goals in 4 of 6 road matches. They have a strong midfield and an even better backline.
Barcelona will likely be without F Pedri, M Frenkie de Jong, Lewandowski and several more players that are out with injuries. Those will be too much to overcome for the home side.
Take REAL MADRID (+160).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN OVER 2.5 (-175).
The last 6 matchups between these 2 teams have gone Over this total. Two of the last 3 matchups have gone north of 3.5 goals as well, so despite typically having strong defenses, the offenses are able to normally break through in this high-intensity matchup.
Both teams have scored 20-plus goals through 10 games, so the offenses should be able to get on the board here. But, at the value of -175, I would only put a small unit on the Over.
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