Baltimore Orioles World Series pennant division odds win total prediction

The 2023 MLB season is right around the corner, with Opening Day on March 30. Ahead of the upcoming campaign, the Baltimore Orioles are a young squad looking to make some noise in the AL East.

The Orioles finished with an 83-79 record in 2022 and were only 3 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays for the final AL Wild Card. Baltimore called up IF Gunnar Henderson and C Adley Rutschman a season ago, and they’re expected to inherit expanded roles this year.

Following a positive season for the franchise in 2022, the Orioles went out and signed/traded for a few veteran players in the offseason. Those additions include IF Adam Frazier, C James McCann, RHP Kyle Gibson, and LHP Cole Irvin.

Let’s analyze the Baltimore Orioles’ World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and AL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.

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Baltimore Orioles World Series odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, March 20 at 11:18 p.m. ET.

Odds: +5000 (bet $100 to win $5,000)

The Orioles are tied for the 10th lowest odds to win the World Series. The Houston Astros (+600), Los Angeles Dodgers (+700), New York Mets (+700), New York Yankees (+750), and San Diego Padres (+900) are the top 5 teams in odds to win it all.

Baltimore is tied with the Chicago Cubs, Minnesota Twins, and Los Angeles Angels in World Series odds. The bottom 5 teams in odds to win the World Series are the Oakland Athletics (+40000), Washington Nationals (+30000), Pittsburgh Pirates (+20000), Cincinnati Reds (+20000), and Colorado Rockies (+10000).

The Orioles are likely a couple of years away from possible contention with the roster needing time to develop, so I would PASS on them to win the World Series in the upcoming season.

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Baltimore Orioles playoff odds

Will they make the playoffs: Yes +330 | No -450

The Orioles play in one of the most competitive divisions in baseball in the AL East, making their path to the playoffs even harder. Despite coming close to sneaking into the postseason in 2022, the team exceeded expectations.

Even though the lineup could show signs of life this season, the rotation leaves a lot to be desired for the Orioles. With the current roster, I would AVOID wagering on Baltimore making the playoffs in 2023.

Baltimore Orioles win total

Over/Under: 76.5 (O: -140 | U: +115)

Last season, the Orioles secured 83 wins and nearly clinched a playoff berth. While I expect a slight decrease in victories in 2023, I’ll side with OVER 76.5 (-140) wins for Baltimore, with the roster having some young, exciting contributors.

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To win AL East Division

New York Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Toronto Blue Jays +185 (bet $100 to win $185)
Tampa Bay Rays +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
Baltimore Orioles +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000)
Boston Red Sox +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000)

PASS.

Once again, the Orioles play in arguably the best division in baseball, and they have 20/1 odds to win the AL East this season. There are 3 teams with much better chances to secure the division crown in 2023, so betting on Baltimore doesn’t make sense here.

To win American League

Odds: +3000 (bet $100 to win $3,000)

Along with having the 10th lowest odds to win the World Series, the Orioles have the 4th lowest odds to win the AL. The 3 teams with worse odds than Baltimore are the Detroit Tigers (+5000), Kansas City Royals (+8000), and Athletics (+20000).

The AL has a handful of squads that appear to be legitimate contenders to win the league in 2023. Barring a drastic roster move, I’ll PASS on taking the Orioles to secure the AL this season.

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The 2021 Baltimore Orioles went 52-110 (.321), which tied the Arizona Diamondbacks for MLB’s worst record last season. It marked the O’s fourth last-place AL East finish in 5 seasons – they were fourth during the 2020 shortened COVID-19 season. Below, we look at the Baltimore Orioles MLB futures odds, including their projected 2022 win total and World Series odds at Tipico Sportsbook.

The Orioles scored 4.07 runs per game (26th MLB) and allowed 5.90 RPG (30th) a year ago. They went 13-44 (.228) in games decided by 5 runs or more. The rotation averaged just 4.5 innings per start and posted an ugly 5.99 ERA (30th), while the bullpen featured a 5.70 ERA (30th).

There were some positives.

OF Cedric Mullins became the first 30-30 man (home runs and stolen bases) in franchise history, rookie 1B Ryan Mountcastle banged out 33 HR, and SP John Means threw a no-hitter and finished the season with a respectable 3.62 ERA.

Baltimore Orioles’ 2022 World Series odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, April 4 at 5:17 p.m. ET.

Odds: +30000 (bet $100 to win $30,000)

Baltimore is tied with the Pittsburgh Pirates for the longest odds on the board. The Los Angeles Dodgers (+450) are the favorites, followed by the Houston Astros (+900) and Toronto Blue Jays (+900).

At +30000, the Orioles have an implied probability of winning the World Series of 0.33% or 300/1 fractional odds.

In my experience, these futures props are like the bottom of the tote board in horse racing where horses (or teams in this case) get over-bet.

With where Baltimore is in its cycle — and four good teams in the AL East — a 500-to-1 tag would oversell the club’s chances. PASS.

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Baltimore Orioles’ 2022 playoff odds

Will Orioles make the playoffs: Yes +1500 | No -10000

PASS: Nothing to be gained on either side here.

Baltimore Orioles’ 2022 win total

Over/Under: 62.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

There is enough natural buoyancy to baseball numbers — even for a bottom-feeder in this tough AL East — to make the OVER 62.5 (-110) a strong consideration.

The Orioles have not infused many veterans and free agents into the 2022 roster, but they have built a strong minor-league system, one ranked in the top-5 of the league. There is enough of a positive outlook to support an extra couple wins per month being added to last year’s abysmal season.

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Odds to win AL East Division

Toronto Blue Jays +162 (bet $100 to win $162)
New York Yankees +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
Tampa Bay Rays +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
Boston Red Sox +500 (bet $100 to win $500)
Baltimore Orioles +20000 (bet $100 to win $20,000)

Baltimore’s implied probability of winning the AL East is 0.5% or 200/1 fractional odds. Even in a five team field, these odds are too short. PASS.

Odds to win American League

Odds: +20000 (bet $100 to win $20,000)

NO THANKS. The 0.5% implied odds are way too short here,

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