The Baltimore Orioles (81-77) and New York Yankees (97-60) clash in a Sunday showdown to close out their 3-game series at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York leads 12-6
Baltimore snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 2-1 win in Friday’s lid-lifter. But the Yankees countered with a Saturday victory, and the Orioles have now lost 4 of their last 5. With fading pitching numbers, Baltimore is 10-16 since Sept. 4. The Orioles own a 5.20 ERA over that span.
The Yankees have struggled for much of the 2nd half, but the AL East champs have turned things around of late. New York is 10-2 in its last 12 games and is 18-6 since Sept. 4. In that latter set of games, the Yanks have outscored opponents 141-84.
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Orioles at Yankees projected starters
RHP Kyle Bradish vs. RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez
Bradish (4-7, 5.11 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 112 2/3 IP.
- Allowed 7 runs in 2 1/3 IP Tuesday at Boston Red Sox; had logged a 1.64 ERA over his previous 6 starts
- Allowed 11 base runners and 4R in 4 1/3 IP vs. Yankees on May 16
Chi Gonzalez (0-1, 6.87 ERA) has appeared in 6 games, making 4 starts. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 18 1/3 IP.
- Expected to be called up from Triple-A for this start — for a game which the Yankees consider to be in jeopardy because of inclement weather on the eastern seaboard
- Joined New York on a minor-league deal at the end of August and posted a 3.63 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 22 1/3 innings over 5 starts at Triple-A Scranton
- His 18 1/3 IP this season were with the Minnesota Twins and Milwaukee Brewers. Owns a 5.72 ERA, 1.49 WHIP across 280 career minor league innings.
Orioles at Yankees odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:27 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Orioles +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-155) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)
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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Yankees 4
Moneyline
Specific pitchers aside, Baltimore is a general fade based on the club overperforming its base indicators over much of the season. Bradish, however, does have some play to his numbers, and with the Yankees playing this game sort of like part of a doubleheader due to the weather concerns, Baltimore is a lean.
PASS on the current tag. Consider the Orioles at +140 or better.
Run line/Against the spread
STEER CLEAR: almost too much gray area all the way around to make any iffy favorite-money bet in this matchup.
Over/Under
The weather is pushing this total lower. And that weather is calling for a stiff inward breeze working against hitters,
But in Baltimore-New York games, the Over is 37-18 in the last 55 meetings at Yankee Stadium. And there continues to be some baked-in Over lean when the analytics of both bullpens and offenses are weighed in.
The price is right here: BACK THE OVER 7.5 (-105).
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