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Atletico Madrid (4 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) welcomes Real Madrid (5-2-0) to Civitas Metropolitano Sunday for a high-profile La Liga clash. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (ESPN Desportes). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Atletico Madrid sits 3rd in La Liga through the first several games of the season. Atletico has been solid at home, having won 2 games and having drawn the third. It has won 3 of its last 4 league games but had fewer expected goals than its opponent in 2 straight. Atletico has numerous capable attackers with 4 players having 2 or more goals. It has scored 11 and allowed just 3 goals on the season.
Real Madrid is 2nd in La Liga, only trailing Barcelona. Real had a rough start to the season, drawing 2 of its first 3 matches. Real has since won 4 in a row and outscored opponents 11-3 in those matches. It has had at least 2.1 expected goals in 5 of 7 matches this season. F Kylian Mbappe leads the club with 5 goals.
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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 8:23 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Atletico Madrid +170 (bet $170 to win $165) | Real Madrid +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Draw +225
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -125)
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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid picks and predictions
Prediction
Atletico Madrid 1, Real Madrid 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET DRAW (+225).
Atletico is an impressive side and has a slew of talented offensive weapons. It has scored in 6 of 7 games this season and has scored at least 2 in 3 of those 7. Atletico has had 5.2 more expected goals than its opponent in 3 home games. Atletico beat Real 3-1 at home last season.
Madrid was able to add Mbappe this offseason, so it has an extremely efficient offense. Real has allowed just 5 goals in 7 matches. It has drawn 2 of 3 road matches. Given this will be Real’s first real test of the season and it hasn’t earned 3 points often on the road, don’t expect Real to win here. BET DRAW (+225).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (-125).
One of 2 games last season went Under this total, and Real hasn’t been capable of scoring consistently on the road. All 3 of Real’s road games have gone Under this total with this exact finish being the result in 2 of 3 of those.
Atletico has played well at home this season, but it hasn’t dominated opponents as of late. Atletico had 0.9 fewer expected goals in its last match, a 1-0 victory at Celta Vigo Thursday. Atletico has gone Under in 4 of its last 5 matches and has a clean sheet in 5 of 7.
TAKE UNDER 2.5 (-125).
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