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Atlanta United FC (8 wins, 7 draws, 13 losses) welcomes Inter Miami (19-5-4) to Mercedes-Benz Stadium for an Eastern Conference clash Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Atlanta United FC vs. Inter Miami odds, and make our best expert MLS picks and predictions.
Atlanta United lost 2-0 at home to Nashville SC Saturday, ending with 0.6 fewer expected goals. United has lost 2 of its last 3 matches and 5 of its last 8, going 2-1-5 over that stretch. It has just 1 goal in its last 3 games. United has gone 5-3-6 at home this season and has a -4 goal differential, getting outscored 40-36. Atlanta United sits 10th in the East.
Inter Miami has the most points per game in the MLS with 62, sits atop the East, and is tied for the best goal differential at +24. Inter has scored a league-best 65 goals and has allowed 41. Miami is 9-2-2 on the road this season. It beat the Philadelphia Union 3-1 Saturday with F Lionel Messi scoring a 1st-half brace in his return to action. Inter did end with 0.7 fewer expected goals in the victory.
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Atlanta United FC vs. Inter Miami odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 3:58 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Atlanta United FC +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Inter Miami +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Draw +275 (bet $100 to win $275)
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -105 | U: -135)
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Atlanta United FC vs. Inter Miami picks and predictions
Prediction
Inter Miami 2, Atlanta United FC 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET INTER MIAMI (+155).
Inter Miami has been the hottest team in the MLS over the last few months. Inter has won 5 straight games, only 1 of which was on the road. Miami has won 9 of its last 10 matches and is 4-0-1 in its last 5 on the road. Miami has outscored opponents 9-2 in its last 3 matches.
Messi brings a different aura around the team, which plays better with him healthy and on the pitch. On the other hand, United has lost 6 of 14 home matches and has gone 1-1-1 in its last 3 at home. United has been outscored 15-8 over its last 8 games. Atlanta is going to struggle against a surging Inter side.
BACK INTER MIAMI (+155).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 3.5 (-135).
Neither team has been great offensively as of late. Atlanta has scored 1 goal in its last 3 games and has had just 3.3 expected goals in that span. It has gone Under this total in 4 matches in a row and in 5 of its last 6.
Inter has gone Over this total in 2 straight but is 4-6 O/U this total in its last 10. Miami has had 1.1 or fewer expected goals in 2 of its last 3 matches and have held opponents to 1.4 or fewer in 4 of its last 5 matches.
Despite the price on the play, TAKE UNDER 3.5 (-135).
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