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Atlanta United welcomes Inter Miami to Mercedes-Benz Stadium Saturday for the second game of their best-of-3 series. Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Atlanta United vs. Inter Miami odds, and make our best MLS picks and predictions.
In this first-round series, Inter Miami won the opening match 2-1 Oct. 25. Inter totaled a lofty 22 shots and put 12 on frame, compared to 8 and 2, respectively, for Atlanta. Miami also controlled 66% of the possession.
Led by star F Lionel Messi, Miami finished atop the Eastern Conference and won the Supporters’ Shield as well. It was 11-4-2 on the road this season and ended with a total goal differential of +30, averaging 2.32 goals per game. Messi was tied for a team-high 20 goals in just 19 appearances.
Atlanta United struggled both at home and on the road. United was just 6-4-7 at home this season and ended with a -3 goal differential, having allowed 1.44 goals per game. It did beat CF Montreal in penalty kicks in the Wild Card Round to advance to take on Inter. Atlanta was 2-3-1 over its last 6 games of the regular season.
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Atlanta United FC vs. Inter Miami odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Atlanta United +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Inter Miami -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Draw +300
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -120 | U: -120)
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Atlanta United FC vs. Inter Miami picks and predictions
Prediction
Inter Miami 2, Atlanta United 2 (Inter advances in penalty kicks)
Moneyline (ML)
BET DRAW (+300).
While Miami is a favorite, and for good reason, it hasn’t played as well on the road as of late. It drew 2 of its last 4 road games, one of which was against Atlanta, and finished 2-2. In that match Sept. 18, Inter had 0.3 fewer expected goals as well. Miami has had fewer expected goals than its opponent in 2 of its last 4 games.
Atlanta is 2-1-1 in its last 4 games. It has kept close with opponents and played well down the final few weeks. It has scored at least 2 goals in 3 of its last 4. Expect it to get on the board and keep this one close with its season on the line.
Back DRAW (+300).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (-120).
Three of Atlanta’s last 8 games have ended in a 2-2 draw. United’s defense played sloppy against Inter and should’ve given up far more in the first match, allowing 3.3 expected goals.
Miami should be able to convert those chances in the second match. Inter has gone over this total in 5 of its last 9 games and scored at least 3 goals in 2 of its last 3. Inter allowed 1.44 goals per game during the regular season.
Considering both teams’ lack of defensive aptitude, back OVER 3.5 (-120).
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