Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (36-36) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (36-37) on Wednesday at Target Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Timberwolves odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks prevailed as 13.5-point home favorites in a 129-107 win over the Detroit Pistons Tuesday. Atlanta is only 1 game ahead of the Toronto Raptors for the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference.

The Timberwolves edged out the New York Knicks 140-134 Monday to cover as 8-point road underdogs. Minnesota is only half a game behind the Dallas Mavericks for the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference.

The Timberwolves won 136-115 and covered as 4.5-point road underdogs and the Over (241) cashed when these teams first met on March 13.

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Hawks at Timberwolves odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Timberwolves -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +4.5 (-112) | Timberwolves -4.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 241.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Timberwolves key injuries

Hawks

  • Not yet submitted

Timberwolves

  • G Anthony Edwards (ankle) questionable
  • G Jaylen Nowell (knee) questionable
  • F Karl-Anthony Towns (calf) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 122, Hawks 114

Moneyline

AVOID.

Even though the Timberwolves (-175) are expected to secure the win at home, taking them straight up at the current odds isn’t advised as they should win by margin and provide better value on the spread.

Against the spread

TIMBERWOLVES -4.5 (-108) is the pick in this matchup assuming that one of either or both Edwards or Towns returns Wednesday. The Hawks are on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back and G Dejounte Murray could be sidelined again due to an illness.

Atlanta is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games after scoring 125 or more points in its previous game and 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games playing on 0 days of rest.

Over/Under

UNDER 241.5 (-110) is how I’d wager on the total despite these teams being fast-paced squads. Minnesota is 13th in defensive rating and I’m expecting the Timberwolves to be more competitive with them as they desperately need every win they can get ahead of the playoffs.

The Hawks are 12-12 to the Under in their 24 games as road underdogs this season and the Timberwolves are 11-11 to the Under in their 22 games as home favorites.

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Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (11-12) host the Atlanta Hawks (12-12) Monday at Target Center for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Timberwolves odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Atlanta has lost three of its last four games (1-3 ATS), all at home, to the New York Knicks, Philadelphia 76ers and Charlotte Hornets. The Hawks are 10-14 ATS and 12-12 O/U with the ninth-best net rating.

Minnesota is on a two-game losing skid, both on the road, with losses coming against the Washington Wizards and Brooklyn Nets. The T-Wolves are 11-12 ATS and 9-14 O/U with the 12th-best net rating.

The Hawks have beaten the T-Wolves in five of their last six meetings (5-1 ATS) including both regular-season games last season. The Over cashed in four of those six contests.

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 6 breakdown

Hawks at Timberwolves odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hawks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Timberwolves -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +2.5 (-108) | Timberwolves +2.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Timberwolves key injuries

Hawks (not officially submitted)

  • SF Cam Reddish (illness) questionable
  • SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) out
  • SF De’Andre Hunter (wrist) out

Timberwolves

  • PG Patrick Beverley (groin) questionable
  • PG D’Angelo Russell (ankle) questionable
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (back) questionable
  • SF Jaden McDaniels (illness) probable

Hawks at Timberwolves odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 112, Hawks 107

Money line

GIMME the TIMBERWOLVES (-140) because the T-Wolves currently have three starters listed as “questionable” on the injury report. I’d rather be stuck with Minnesota’s money line than need it to win by at least 3 points. However, there are several reasons to like the T-Wolves in this spot.

Atlanta struggles against good defenses and Minnesota ranks fifth in defensive efficiency according to CleaningTheGlass.com.The Hawks are 2-6 overall with a minus-5.8 efficiency differential and minus-3.3 ATS margin versus top-10 defenses.

The T-Wolves also perform better at home and the Hawks worse on the road. Minnesota is 4-0 ATS at home against teams with a winning record and is 10th in efficiency differential and seventh in ATS margin at home this season per CleaningTheGlass.com.

Furthermore, the Hawks are 4-8 overall on the road with the 19th-best efficiency differential and 26th-best ATS margin.

This is a bad spot for Atlanta. The Hawks are 6-12 overall when playing with a rest disadvantage, and 7-13 overall on the second of a back-to-back, since the start of last season.

Against the spread

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Timberwolves -2.5 (-112) because they should cover the spread if they win outright. However, as previously mentioned, the money line holds more value for me because of Minnesota’s injury report.

For what it’s worth, there’s “reverse line movement” in Minnesota’s direction despite the lengthy injury report. The T-Wolves opened as 2-point favorites but are getting steamed up despite the unknown game statuses of several starters.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 222.5 (-110) because this is a Pros vs. Joe’s game with the presumed sharp side of the market backing the Under whereas more bets are placed on the Over according to Pregame.com. Typically, in sports betting, it’s profitable to follow the cash when it’s opposite the public.

However, Minnesota’s money line is by far my favorite wager in this contest and if you do bet the Under, I’d go light.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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