Atlanta Hawks at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Hawks at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Hawks (7-8) and Golden State Warriors (10-3) meet Wednesday. Tip-off from Chase Center is set for 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Hawks vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; split 1-1 last season

The Warriors are coming off a 102-99 loss as 5-point favorites at the LA Clippers Monday with the Under (226) hitting. G Stephen Curry had a game-high 26 points for the Warriors, who snapped a 3-game win streak.

Atlanta won 109-108 as a 4-point underdog at the Sacramento Kings Monday as the Under (235.5) cashed. F De’Andre Hunter led the Hawks with 24 points off the bench, and G Dyson Daniels had a block in the final seconds to seal the win.

The home team won and covered both meetings last season, while the Over went 2-0. In the final meeting Feb. 3, Atlanta won 141-134 in OT as a 2-point favorite while the Over (246) hit. Curry had 60 points in the loss on 22-of-38 shooting from the field and 10-of-23 from 3.

Hawks at Warriors odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 11:52 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Warriors -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +8.5 (-115) | Warriors -8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Hawks at Warriors key injuries

Hawks

  • Jalen Johnson (leg) questionable

Warriors

  • Kyle Anderson (neck) questionable
  • Stephen Curry (knee) probable
  • Kevon Looney (illness) probable
  • De’Anthony Melton (ACL) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Hawks at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 123, Hawks 120

Moneyline

The Warriors (-350) have not lost back-to-back games all season, but the bid-ask difference is too high in this market.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

The Hawks have won 3 of 4 and covered 5 of their last 7 games.

While Golden State has played well, too — its 9-4 ATS record is third-best in the NBA — 8.5 is too high of a spread for a Hawks team that hasn’t lost by 9-plus on the road since Oct. 30.

BET HAWKS +8.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Over is 11-4 for the Hawks on the season and 9-4 for the Warriors. This total seems high, but the Over has hit in 5 of the last 6 meetings, with an average of 253.7 points per game being scored.

BET OVER 239.5 (-105).

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Atlanta Hawks at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Atlanta Hawks at Golden State Warriors NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Golden State Warriors (22-23) host the Atlanta Hawks (22-22) Friday at 10 p.m. ET game in the Chase Center. Below, we analyze the Hawks-Warriors odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

This is Atlanta’s fourth game of an 8-game Western Conference road trip and the Hawks have lost two straight after beating the Los Angeles Lakers 99-94 Saturday in a game LeBron James exited after spraining his ankle.

Since naming Nate McMillan interim head coach on March 2, Atlanta is 8-2 overall and ATS.

Golden State upset the Memphis Grizzlies 116-103 March 19 without Steph Curry but have lost three in a row since, all without Curry in the lineup. The Warriors are just 3-4 overall and ATS after the All-Star break.

The Hawks pummeled the Warriors in their only meeting last season 104-79, but Golden State was without both Curry and Draymond Green for that game.

Hawks at Warriors: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:58 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hawks -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Warriors +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Hawks -6.5 (-110) | Warriors +6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Hawks at Warriors: Key injuries

Hawks

  • SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) probable
  • SG Cam Reddish (Achilles) out
  • SG Lou Williams (acquisition) out

Warriors

  • PF Draymond Green (illness) questionable
  • PF Eric Paschall (illness) questionable
  • PG Stephen Curry (tailbone) out

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Hawks at Warriors: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Hawks 112, Warriors 101

Money line (ML)

PASS because the Warriors (+200) are 1-5 overall when Steph Curry has been out of the lineup but Hawks (-250) is a no-go.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Golden State essentially needs to get lucky on offense to put up points without Curry and Atlanta crushed the Warriors last year when Curry was out with injury.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Curry is in the 100th percentile of guards in on-off rating for team net points per 100 possessions and effective field goal shooting (eFG%).

Also, the Hawks have the 2nd-highest FTA/FG rate and the Warriors have the 29th-ranked defensive FTA/FG rate so there’s a solid chance Atlanta racks up a ton of points at the charity stripe.

BET HAWKS -6.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 218.5 (-110) is the best bet in Hawks-Warriors, especially if Draymond cannot play.

We’ve already discussed how limited Golden State is offensively when Curry doesn’t play but Atlanta is only 20th in eFG% as a team whereas the Warriors have the 9th-ranked defensive rating and are 5th in defensive eFG%.

Additionally, the Hawks are 5-6 O/U as a road favorite and the Warriors are 4-7 O/U as a home underdog.

Finally, this is a Pros vs. Joes scenario in the betting market as more money has been wagered on the Under but more bets have been placed on the Over, according to Pregame.com.

Typically, the sharp side of the gambling market is the money column and the average joe represents the bets placed column. Obviously, we want to follow the sharp money here.

GIMME UNDER 219.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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