First look: Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The Atlanta Falcons (8-7) and Washington Commanders (10-5) meet Sunday in Week 17. Kickoff from Northwest Stadium is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC / Peacock). Below, we look at Falcons vs. Commanders odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds before making our expert NFL picks and predictions later in the week.

The Falcons secured their second straight win in Week 16, dominating the New York Giants 34-7. They covered as 10-point home favorites, snapping a skid of 5 non-covers in a row. The Under (43) hit for the sixth time in the Falcons’ last 7 games. Rookie QB Michael Penix Jr., making his first NFL start, was steady but unspectacular, completing 18 of 27 passes for 202 yards and a pick with no TDs. RB Bijan Robinson powered the offense with 94 rushing yards and 2 TDs on 22 carries. Atlanta’s defense forced 3 turnovers, highlighted by LB Matthew Judon’s 27-yard pick-six.

The Commanders notched their third straight win, upsetting the Philadelphia Eagles 36-33 Sunday as 4-point home underdogs and snapping the Eagles’ 10-game win streak. Washington has covered in 2 of its last 3 games, with the Over (47) hitting for the third time in 4 outings. Rookie QB Jayden Daniels’ fifth TD pass of the day — a 9-yarder to WR Jamison Crowder — was the game-winner with 6 seconds left. Daniels, who threw for 258 yards but had 2 picks, also led the Commanders in rushing with 81 yards as Washington was able to overcome 5 turnovers in the dramatic victory.

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Falcons at Commanders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:38 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Falcons +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Commanders -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Falcons +5 (-110) | Commanders -5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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2024 betting stats

  • ML: Falcons 8-7 | Commanders 10-5
  • ATS: Falcons 6-8-1 | Commanders 9-5-1
  • O/U: Falcons 5-10 | Commanders 10-5

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Falcons vs. Commanders head-to-head

Washington leads the all-time series 18-10-1, including 3 wins in the last 3 meetings and a playoff victory in 1992. The most recent matchup was in Week 6 last season with Washington prevailing 24-16 as a 1-point road underdog and the Under (41.5) hitting.

In their lone postseason clash, Washington defeated Atlanta 24-7 in an NFC Divisional Round Game Jan. 4, 1992, a victory that took place in D.C. Washington went on to win the Super Bowl 2 games later.

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Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Falcons (5-6) meet the Washington Commanders (6-5) for a Week 12 battle at FedEx Field in Landover, Md. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Falcons vs. Commanders odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Falcons picked up a 27-24 win over the Chicago Bears last week, barely covering as a 2.5-point favorite. The Falcons have posted 5 wins this season, but just 1 in road games, although Atlanta is 3-2 ATS in those outings.

The Commanders have come alive, posting 5 wins in the past 6 games, while posting an impressive 5-0-1 ATS mark. It has used defense to turn things around, allowing 21 or fewer points in each of the past 7 games overall.

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Falcons at Commanders odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Falcons +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Commanders -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Falcons +3.5 (-108) | Commanders -3.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -113 | U: -107)

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Falcons at Commanders key injuries

Falcons

  • DT Jalen Dalton (toe) doubtful
  • LB Arnold Ebiketie (arm) questionable
  • OT Chuma Edoga (knee) questionable
  • TE Feleipe Franks (calf) questionable
  • RB Caleb Huntley (ankle) questionable

Commanders

  • LB Cole Holcomb (foot) out
  • WR Dax Milne (foot) out
  • CB Benjamin St. Juste (illness) out
  • TE Logan Thomas (rib) questionable
  • DE Chase Young (knee) questionable

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Falcons at Commanders picks and predictions

Prediction

Falcons 20, Commanders 18

Moneyline

The FALCONS (+170) are a solid value, as this team ranks 3rd in the NFL with 159.4 rushing yards per game. That’s going to be a problem for the Commanders (-200), especially with tackle machine and run stopper LB Cole Holcomb ruled out.

While Washington is 6th against the run, allowing just 103.1 yards per game on the ground, having Holcomb in street clothes is going to be a difference maker between 2 evenly matched teams.

Against the spread

Play FALCONS +3.5 (-108) if you just cannot pull the trigger and bet the underdog straight up on the money line.

It’s a tough play, as the Commanders -3.5 (-112) are a healthy 5-0-1 ATS across the past 6 games overall. But the Falcons should be able to move the ball on the ground with RBs Cordarrelle Patterson, Tyler Allgeier and QB Marcus Mariota.

Over/Under

UNDER 40.5 (-107) is the lean here, but go lightly.

The Under is an impressive 20-6 in the past 26 games for the Falcons against teams with winning records, and 8-2 in the past 10 following a straight-up win.

The Under is also 8-2 in the past 10 games at home for the Commanders, while hitting at a 7-2 clip in the past 9 games overall. The Under has hit in 4 of the past 5 against losing teams, too.

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First look: Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders Week 12 NFL odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The Atlanta Falcons (5-6) visit the nation’s capital to take on the Washington Commanders (6-5) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we look at Falcons vs. Commanders odds from Tipico Sportsbook; check back for all our NFL picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Falcons pulled out a 27-24 victory over the Chicago Bears on Sunday as 2.5-point home favorites. K Younghoe Koo’s 53-yard field goal with 1:47 to go was the difference. Falcons RB Cordarrelle Patterson, who played 2 seasons for the Bears, set the NFL record with his 9th career kickoff return for a touchdown when he returned a kick 103 yards for a score in the 2nd quarter. The win came with a big loss as well as TE Kyle Pitts tore his MCL and was placed on the injured reserve list Monday — he’ll likely need surgery.

Washington, after a 1-4 start, have found a path to victory — thanks to a solid ground game — going 5-1 in the last 6 games. After handing the Philadelphia Eagles their only loss 32-21 two weeks ago, the Commanders used the running game again to hand the Houston Texans a 23-10 loss in Week 11 — Washington covered as a 3-point road favorite.

Also seeAll Week 12 odds and lines

The Commanders ran the ball 40 times for a total of 153 yards while holding the Texans to 21 rushing yards on 16 carries — Houston’s lead RB Dameon Pierce had just 8 yards on 10 carries. If the Commanders can continue to run the ball this well and QB Taylor Heinicke can be a solid game manager, the Commanders will a be difficult game for upcoming opponents.

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Falcons at Commanders odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 4:23 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Falcons +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Commanders -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Falcons +3.5 (-109) | Commanders -3.5 (-111)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43 (O: -107 | U: -113)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

2022 betting stats

  • ML: Falcons 5-6 | Commanders 6-5
  • ATS: Falcons 7-4 | Commanders 6-4-1
  • O/U: Falcons 6-5 | Commanders 4-7

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Falcons vs. Commanders head-to-head

These 2 teams met last season with Washington winning 34-30 as a 1-point road favorite.

While that game pitted QBs Matt Ryan against Heinicke, this one will have QB Marcus Mariota on the Falcons side.

Heinicke played great in last season’s game, throwing for 290 yards with 3 TDs vs. no INTs, while running for 43 yards. The defense for Atlanta has not improved much and with RB Brian Robinson Jr. added to the mix for the Commanders, Washington is better equipped to put up even more points at home in this game.

Washington leads the all-time series 16-10-1 despite Atlanta being 6-1 in the last 7.

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