The Houston Astros (6-7) and Seattle Mariners (9-5) play the second game of a three-game set Saturday at 9:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Zack Greinke is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros. He is 1-1 with a 4.08 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 5.1 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 over 17 2/3 IP through three starts. Greinke allowed just two earned runs with eight hits and one walk across his first two road starts over 13 innings. He was 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA across eight innings in two starts against the M’s in 2020.
RHP Chris Flexen is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 through 10 IP across two starts. Flexen will be making his first start against a divisional opponent. He allowed four hits and two walks with six strikeouts in five scoreless innings April 3 against the Giants in a win in his only previous home start.
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Astros at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Astros -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mariners +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+110) | Mariners +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Astros 5, Mariners 4
Money line (ML)
The ASTROS (-140) will look to bounce back after dropping the opening game of the series against the Mariners (+115) by a 6-5 score. Behind Greinke, expect Houston to level the series 1-1. He has been money on the road so far this season.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The MARINERS +1.5 (-140) aren’t a bad play on their home field, as catching a run-and-a-half and only laying this little amount is worth the risk. The Astros are also without star 2B Jose Altuve and 3B Alex Bregman. Each of Seattle’s past two games have been one-run games, both wins, and four of the past five have been decided by one run.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 8.5 (-105) is the lean in this AL West battle in Seattle. The Over has cashed in five of the past six games on the road, while cashing in eight of the past 11 division battles. The Over is 5-2 in the past seven home outing for the M’s and 6-2 in the past eight as an underdog. The Over is also 7-3-1 in Seattle’s past 11 vs. RHP.
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