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After a Monday finish at the Cognizant Classic, it’ll be a quick turnaround for players also teeing it up in the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational, the 1st of 2 consecutive Signature Events on the PGA Tour calendar. One of the premier tournaments on the schedule, the Arnold Palmer Invitational returns to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Fla., for another star-studded week.
Below, we look at the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
The best players in the sport will take on Bay Hill this week, including World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and 2018 champion Rory McIlroy. Scheffler is the betting favorite at +650, followed by McIlroy (+1000). Patrick Cantlay, Viktor Hovland and Xander Schauffele are all tied for the 3rd-best odds at +1400. The defending champion, Kurt Kitayama, is +6600 to win this week and go back-to-back.
Bay Hill is a par 72 and plays at 7,466 yards, always ranking as one of the most difficult courses on tour. In the last 4 years, the winning score has only been better than 9-under par once, which was when Bryson DeChambeau won at 11-under par in 2021.
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Arnold Palmer Invitational – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:12 p.m. ET.
Cameron Young (+2800)
Young seems to be on the verge of his 1st PGA Tour victory, finishing T-3 at the Cognizant Classic on Monday. It was his 2nd top-10 in his last 3 starts, finishing T-16 or better in all 3 of his last 3 tournaments. He’s only played this tournament twice but he finished 13th and 10th in the last 2 years. A terrific ball-striker, Young is a perfect fit for this course.
Matt Fitzpatrick (+2800)
Fitzpatrick started the Cognizant Classic with a double-bogey on his 2nd hole but followed it up with an eagle on the 3rd. He finished T-21 thanks to a strong putting week, and he still ranked 43rd in SG: approach. Fitz has played this event every year since 2016 and has missed the cut only once, finishing 27th or better in the other 7 years with 4 top-10s and 6 top-15s.
Jordan Spieth (+1800)
The last time we saw Spieth, he was disqualified from the Genesis Invitational for signing for the wrong score. He was playing well at the time and already has 2 top-6 finishes this season. In his 2 starts at this event, he finished 4th each time (2021 and 2023), so he’s navigated Bay Hill well in recent years.
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Arnold Palmer Invitational picks – Contenders
Corey Conners (+6600)
Bay Hill is a ball-striker’s course, and that’s exactly what Conners is. Though he hasn’t cracked the top 20 yet this season, he ranks 22nd on tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green. Now is the time to buy Conners, who has finished 21st, 11th and 3rd in his past 3 starts at the API.
Keegan Bradley (+5500)
Bradley must love this event because he’s played it 12 times since 2011, making the cut 11 times with 4 top-10s and 5 top-25s. In the last 3 years, he’s finished T-10, T-11 and T-10, so he seems to have figured out the secret to Bay Hill. Before missing the cut at Riviera, he finished 11th at Pebble Beach and lost in a playoff at the Sony Open.
Sungjae Im (+6600)
It’s shocking to see Im’s odds this long, especially at an event he frequently plays. Since 2019, these are his finishes at Bay Hill: 3rd, 3rd, 21st, 20th and 21st. He missed the cut at PGA National last week and hasn’t finished better than T-44 since the American Express, which is the reason for his long odds, but he’s a horse for this course and could get back on track here.
Arnold Palmer Invitational picks – Long shots
Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+8000)
Bezuidenhout should’ve made the cut at the Cognizant Classic, but he finished 5-over in his last 7 holes to miss it by 1 shot. Heartbreaking. He’s playing better than these odds indicate and would have shorter odds if not for that back-9 collapse on Friday. He missed the cut here last year, but finished 20th, 7th and 18th in the previously 3 years.
Brian Harman (+10000)
While Bay Hill is nothing like a links course, it could feature similar wind to what players deal with in The Open. He missed the cut in the last 3 years but he also finished inside the top 20 here 3 times in the past.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Golfweek:
- Paul Azinger doesn’t hold back about his breakup with NBC (and suggests who should replace him)
- Austin Eckroat claims first PGA Tour win at 2024 Cognizant Classic in the Palm Beaches
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