In a heavyweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Andrei Arlovski and Tom Aspinall meet at UFC on ESPN+ 49 – also known as UFC Vegas 19 and UFC Fight Night 185 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 49 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Arlovski vs. Aspinall: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:34 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Arlovski +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Aspinall -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +110 | Under -135)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +135 | No -160)
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Arlovski vs. Aspinall: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Arlovski 30-19 | Aspinall 9-2
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Aspinall (-250) will cost you two and a half times your potential return as he looks for his third straight win at the UFC level, and sixth consecutive victory overall. Let’s get more specific.
The Briton is a lot more attractive on the 5-way line, as ASPINALL BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (-110) is a much more cost-effective play. In 11 career professional bouts he has never gone the distance, winning seven times (7-0) via KO/TKO, while going 2-1 by way of submission. One time he was disqualified due to illegal elbows at BAMMA 25 against Lukasz Parobiec on May 13, 2016, the last time he suffered a loss.
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Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-135) is a great play here as you can expect a finish in an Aspinall fight. The 42-year-old Arlovski has ended up going the distance in 10 of his past 11 fights, while he was knocked out by Jairzinho Rozenstruik at UFC 244 in just 29 seconds in his only fight inside the distance. You can expect Aspinall to finish him inside the distance, too.
In addition, target ASPINALL IN ROUND 2 (+450) for an added bonus. I normally like to target a two-round block, but there is little value in taking him in Round 1, and Arlovski is a veteran who knows how to prolong a fight. He isn’t going down in the first.
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