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The No. 15 Arizona State Sun Devils (9-2, 6-2 Big 12) face the Arizona Wildcats (4-7, 2-6) Saturday in the battle for the Territorial Cup. Kickoff from Arizona Stadium is at 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we look at Arizona State vs. Arizona odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Sun Devils notched their fourth consecutive overall win and second straight victory over a ranked opponent, defeating No. 20 BYU 28-23 Nov. 23. Arizona State covered as a 3.5-point home favorite, powered by a standout performance from RB Cam Skattebo, who carried the ball 28 times for 147 yards and 3 TDs. QB Sam Leavitt delivered 247 passing yards, with WR Jordyn Tyson accounting for 125 of those in a dynamic aerial showing.
The Wildcats dropped their sixth game in 7 outings, losing 49-28 at TCU Nov. 23. Arizona couldn’t cover as a 10.5-point underdog, with the Over (60) hitting comfortably. The defense gave up 450 total yards, including 303 through the air. QB Noah Fifita passed for 284 yards with 2 TDs, both caught by WR Chris Hunter. WR Tetairoa McMillan stood out with 9 catches for 115 yards, despite the team’s struggles on both sides of the ball.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Arizona State at Arizona odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Arizona State -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Arizona +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
- Against the spread (ATS): Arizona State -8.5 (-105) | Arizona +8.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Arizona State at Arizona picks and predictions
Prediction
Arizona State 31, Arizona 13
Moneyline
PASS.
Arizona State (-300) is in the College Football Playoff hunt but must avoid a slip-up against rival Arizona. With the moneyline at 1-to-3, it’s not worth the risk — I’ll place my wager on the spread instead.
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Against the spread
BET ARIZONA STATE -8.5 (-105).
The Sun Devils are riding high, posting an impressive 8-2 straight up and ATS record in their last 10 games. Facing rival Arizona, the Sun Devils have everything to lose as they chase a potential College Football Playoff berth.
Arizona, despite a poor season, will look to disrupt Arizona State’s momentum, but the odds are stacked against it. Arizona State has won its last 8 games as a favorite and covered the spread in 6 straight while laying points.
The Sun Devils are ranked 16th nationally but could vault into playoff contention with 2 more wins, starting with this rivalry. Arizona’s struggling defense, especially against the run, will have a tough time containing Skattebo, who has surpassed 1,200 rushing yards this season.
Arizona lacks the offensive firepower to keep pace, and with everything on the line, expect Arizona State to stay focused and take care of business.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 53.5 (-110).
While trends point towards the Over, with the last 4 meetings going Over and both teams hitting the Over in 3 of their last 4 games, Arizona’s offense has been lackluster all season. Coach Brent Brennan expressed disappointment after its loss to TCU, showing the team’s struggles.
Arizona State’s games have averaged 53.4 points, with a 6-5 O/U record. The Sun Devils are 7-2 to the Under following a home win and 11-4 to the Under after playing on the road, suggesting a lower-scoring affair is more likely.
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