The Arizona Diamondbacks (45-57) continue their road series against the Cleveland Guardians (53-49) with the 2nd game of their 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch at Progressive Field is 7:10 p.m. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Guardians lead 1-0
The Diamondbacks lost the opener 6-5 in 11 innings for their 4th straight defeat. They have lost 9 of their last 15 games.
The Guardians have won 2 in a row and 5 of their last 7 games. They are 1 game out of the final wild-card spot in the American League.
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Diamondbacks at Guardians projected starters
RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Triston McKenzie
Gallen (5-2, 3.24 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 105 2/3 IP.
- Has a 1.47 ERA in last 3 starts, spanning 18 2/3 innings
- Arizona won his last 2 starts after losing his previous 3
McKenzie (7-7, 3.24 ERA) makes his 19th start in 20 appearances. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 114 IP.
- Guardians are 12-6 in his starts
- Allowed 4 R in 7 IP in last outing but allowed only 1 run in previous 4 starts combined, spanning 26 2/3 innings
Diamondbacks at Guardians odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:22 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Guardians -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) | Guardians -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Diamondbacks at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 4, Guardians 3
Money line
The Diamondbacks have lost 13 of their last 16 road games and are 18-30 away from home overall. Only 2 teams have fewer road wins than Arizona.
The Guardians have won 5 of their last 7 games overall, have a 4-game winning streak at home and are 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
But Gallen has rounded back into form after a 3-start stretch where he saw his ERA go from 2.79 to 3.62.
While McKenzie has been very good, he also allowed 4 runs in 7 innings in his last start.
I anticipate a great pitching matchup and a close game. This is worth some action on the underdog. Take the DIAMONDBACKS (+115).
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Run line/Against the spread
With a 1-run win over Arizona in extra innings Monday, Cleveland is 4-4 ATS in its last 8 games.
In Gallen’s last 7 starts, the Diamondbacks have either won or lost by only 1 run. They have lost by more than 1 run only 3 times in Gallen’s 19 starts.
However, there isn’t enough juice on the run line at -190 to bet the Diamondbacks to cover. PASS.
Over/Under
The total hit 11 runs in Monday’s matchup, but the Diamondbacks had only 4 total runs in 3 games combined before arriving in Cleveland.
Gallen has allowed 4 total runs in his last 3 starts. McKenzie allowed 4 in his last outing, but only 1 in his previous 4.
Take UNDER 7.5 (-105).
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