Not helping the Colts offense is that Anthony Richardson has been among the most pressured QBs in football since Week 11.
Since his return to the starting lineup in Week 11, the Indianapolis Colts’ Anthony Richardson has been among the more pressured quarterbacks in football over that stretch.
During that five-game span, Richardson has been pressured on 43.8% of his dropbacks, according to Pro Football Focus. This is the third-highest rate out of 36 eligible quarterbacks, and if we remove Sam Howell, who has just 19 dropbacks, and Drew Lock with his 43 dropbacks, Richardson sits at the top of that list.
Richardson hasn’t been lights out when playing from a clean pocket, but the difference for him when under pressure versus when he has time is staggering.
When facing pressure, Richardson’s completion rate is just 37.8% while averaging 4.8 yards per attempt with one touchdown and three interceptions. But from a clean pocket, his completion rate is at 57% with 6.9 yards per attempt and two touchdowns to one interception since Week 11.
In fact, Richardson has the seventh-largest difference in PFF’s passing grade when operating from a clean pocket versus a muddy one.
Pressure in general, but particularly for a young quarterback, can be quite devastating as it disrupts the timing and rhythm of the play, forcing the quarterback to speed up their process, which can lead to poor mechanics and mistakes.
The offensive line was an expected strength for the Colts this year and things did start off that way early in the season, but constant injuries have disrupted that continuity and forced the Colts to rely on rookies.
The Colts’ offensive line will enter Week 16 allowing the seventh-highest pressure rate this season, according to Pro Football Reference. If it wasn’t for Richardson’s elite ability to avoid sacks, they would likely rank near the bottom of the NFL in that category as well.
The offensive line’s play certainly isn’t the only issue that the Colts’ offense faces right now. When struggling as often as they have, it’s everyone and everything, to varying degrees.
However, having said that, while success for the Colts begins will being able to move the ball on the ground, if there is going to be any chance of finding consistency through the air, Richardson will need more time in the pocket.
The Tennessee Titans face the Indianapolis Colts in Week 16. Here are the five biggest storylines to follow for this contest.
The Tennessee Titans are gearing up for an AFC South showdown with the Indianapolis Colts in Week 16. This will be the final meeting between the teams until 2025.
In the first meeting, the Titans fell, 20-17, in Nashville. It was a game the Titans could have won, but the team got outscored 10-0 in the 4th quarter.
Per BetMGM, the Colts are 3.5-point favorites over the Titans with an over/under of 42.5. Now, let’s identify the five things to know for this game.
Titans last win vs. Colts was over 2 years ago
Matt Ryan was the quarterback of the Colts the last time they lost to the Titans. The Colts swept the Titans in 2023 and won the first matchup in 2024, meaning it’s been over two calendar years since the Titans beat their rivals.
The Titans would love to stop the streak this weekend. The Colts technically are alive in the playoff race, and a loss to the Titans would end any of that talk.
Both teams have disappointed in 2024
If the season ended today, neither of these teams would sniff the playoffs. The Titans have been officially eliminated for a couple of weeks, while the Colts have a slim-but-not-zero chance still.
Coming into the season, the Colts were seen as a team that could compete for a wild card spot or perhaps even the division. Anthony Richardson was supposed to step up and prove he belongs as a starting quarterback.
Instead, Richardson was benched for a stretch. Granted, the quarterback regained his starting job, but he hasn’t been great since then either. The Titans? Well, we know what happened there.
Richardson has only played the Titans once
Anthony Richardson was injured during the second Titans-Colts meeting in 2023. The quarterback was banged up/benched for the first meeting this year as well.
The Titans have an entirely new coaching staff this year as well, so Richardson has never faced a Brian Callahan-led Titans team. Granted, the Callahan-led Titans team is 3-11, but still.
Perhaps the Titans will take advantage of Richardson’s inexperience this weekend.
Mason Rudolph is the new starter
Mason Rudolph is the starting quarterback for the Titans now. It should have happened sooner, but better late than never.
Rudolph didn’t get to start against the Colts in the first game. Will Levis started and managed to throw for just 95 yards and the Titans still almost won. I can almost guarantee Rudolph will throw for 100-plus yards this weekend.
Brian Callahan doesn’t think his team is soft
Brian Callahan went on an NSFW rant on Wednesday. The coach got agitated when a reporter asked if the Titans were a “soft” team.
Callahan couldn’t believe that anyone would dare question his team’s makeup. Do soft teams get blown out weekly, make mental errors, and look unenthused? Oh, wait…
It will be interesting to see if Callahan’s fiery presser inspires this team for a rivalry game.
Let’s head to the film room and take a deeper dive into Anthony Richardson and the Colts’ passing game performance in Week 15.
I can’t say a whole lot here about the game that hasn’t already been said. I don’t want to write any moratoriums on the 2024 Indianapolis Colts: I just want to talk about the passing game. So let’s do it, starting with Anthony Richardson’s passing chart from NFL Next Gen Stats:
Another sub-50% completion percentage day, with a ghastly -17.1% CPOE (Completion Percentage Over Expected) to go with 0 TDs and 2 INTs. Certainly not a great look on its face. Some of the advanced numbers paint a slightly better picture, but only by comparison of the actual numbers.
PFF charted Colts receivers with 1 drop, and Richardson with 3 throwaways and 1 Hit As Thrown, bringing his Adjusted Completion Percentage to 52.9%. Again, slightly better, but you’re not dreaming of an adjusted completion percentage that just barely clears 50%.
If we look to his pressure numbers, they don’t paint a rosier picture. Richardson was kept clean on 51.2% of his dropbacks. On those dropbacks, he went 10/20, 117 yards, 0 TDs and 1 INT for a QB Rating of 47.3.
His under pressure numbers are bad – 7/18, 55 yards, 24.1 QB Rating – but most QBs aren’t great under pressure. Still, these are remarkably bad numbers, even by under pressure standards. That can be forgiven if he’s operating well when clean, but he wasn’t even doing that.
We saw some absolutely beautiful passes. He’s at his best when he’s able to rip the ball on-time to the middle of the field, and we got a couple of those this week that were stellar.
But we also got some of the same stuff we’ve been seeing all season: some absolutely baffling misses off throws that should be gimmes.
Some of those misses were due to Richardson pulling the ball down after initially starting to throw. It’s something he did multiple times in this game. I think he was concerned about his passes getting batted at the line. Not sure if that was something he looking for in real time or if that was something that came up during preparation for the game, but he did it multiple times.
The Broncos came into the game with 9 batted passes on the season, which put them right in the middle of the league in terms of batted passes.
There are other plays that may be complete, but still feature some wonky timing. This next clip is a result of both Richardson being too quick to set and throw – something we talked about earlier in the season – and Josh Downs [1] with some sticky feet coming out of the break. The result is a completed pass, but the timing of it all is just off.
This one also has the pull-down we saw earlier – to throw around a jumping lineman – which serves to make this look even more awkward than it would be otherwise.
To cap this all off, we got a pair of baffling interceptions.
The first one is an overthrow of Alec Pierce. Richardson has a man in his face and is trying to hit Pierce off a stalk-and-release. Richardson fades back and lofts a ball that floats a little too deep.
It’s possible that he thought Pierce was fading with this, but the delay in the release meant the safety could drive on it, so the best case scenario is a jump-ball with Pierce against a safety who is beating you to the spot. Not great.
The second one is a bad decision and a bad throw. The Broncos rotate to Cover 2 after the snap and Richardson is throwing a shallow corner route. There’s no window for this throw, but Richardson tries it anyway. He gives a pump fake to try to draw the underneath defender in on the slant route from the outside, but it doesn’t work.
The throw is flat and the underneath defender easily picks it off.
The Broncos have a good defense this year. Per FTN’s DVOA, they’re the 3rd best defense, with the 6th best passing defense. So this wasn’t an easy game for the Colts offense by any stretch of the imagination, but so many of these wounds feel self-inflicted. This felt like what we were seeing out of Richardson before he was benched.
With three games remaining and the playoffs merely a dream at this point (a 13% chance), I don’t expect to see any major steps taken by Richardson during the rest of the 2024 season. Get his confidence up and work as hard as possible during the offseason to fix some of these issues. The talent is still eye-popping, but at some point he needs to start harnessing it. As it stands right now, he doesn’t feel any closer than he did at the start of the season.
Albums listened to: Talk Talk – Spirit of Eden; Soccer Mommy – Evergreen
The Broncos’ defense will face a tough task defending Anthony Richardson’s threat to run on Sunday.
When the Denver Broncos host the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, they will face one of the best rushing quarterbacks in the NFL.
Through his first 13 games in the league, Anthony Richardson has rushed 95 times for 519 yards and eight touchdowns, an average of about 40 yards on the ground each week and a touchdown at least every other game.
Richardson can make plays on scrambles and on designed runs, creating headaches for opponents.
“It brings a lot of challenges,” Broncos coach Sean Payton said earlier this week when asked about Richardson’s designed runs. “You kind of get your 11th man back [on offense]. There are zone schemes, there are gap schemes, there’s a number of things that can stress you.
“We had the benefit of that a little bit with Taysom Hill the same way. He’s got great arm strength down the field. Part of — a big part of their run game — is both he and the halfback. So it presents a completely type different challenge than weeks prior.”
Indy’s offense also features Jonathan Taylor, one of the best running backs in the NFL. Together, they form a dynamic rushing duo that can cause trouble for any defense. Through 14 weeks this season, the Broncos have the eighth-best rushing defense in the NFL, but Sunday’s game will be a big test.
The Broncos are set to host the Colts on Sunday. Here are five things to watch for in Week 15.
The Denver Broncos (8-5) are set to host the Indianapolis Colts (6-7) in Week 15 of the 2024 NFL season in a game with massive playoff implications in the AFC. Ahead of Sunday’s showdown, here are five quick storylines to keep an eye on leading up to and during the game.
1. Denver’s cornerback rotation: Riley Moss (knee) seems unlikely to play this weekend and Levi Wallace was a disaster in his place in Week 13. Might the Broncos turn to rookie Kris Abrams-Draine this week? Josh Downs (shoulder) has returned to practice for the Colts and Indy’s offense also features Michael Pittman, Alec Pierce and Adonai Mitchell. Denver needs to get the cornerback rotation right against a talented group of Colts receivers.
2. Containing Colts QB Anthony Richardson: He’s had his share of struggles as a passer, but Richardson has a big arm and dangerous legs. The 22-year-old quarterback has rushed for 383 yards and four touchdowns through nine starts this season, picking up 28 first downs along the way. The Broncos have a brilliant group of pass rushers, but the unit will need to be careful to not get too far upfield and allow Richardson to get outside of the pocket and beat them around the edge.
3. Broncos’ rushing attack: Jaleel McLaughlin has been the team’s most productive running back in their last two games, but Denver will likely continue its committee approach against Indy. The Colts allow 147 rushing yards per game, second-most in the NFL. That’s good news for McLaughlin, Javonte Williams and rookie Audric Estime. Building an early lead and running over Indy’s defense could be a winning game plan on Sunday.
4. Denver’s defense vs. Jonathan Taylor: The Colts also have a productive rushing attack. With one of the NFL’s best rushing quarterbacks and an elite running back in Taylor, Indy has averaged 118.8 rushing yards per game this season. The Broncos’ defense, meanwhile, has allowed 94.7 rushing yards per contest. Denver’s defensive line against the Colts’ offensive line will be one of the most important matchups in Week 15.
5. Bo Nix coming out of the bye week: For the first time in his career, Nix is set to play an NFL game coming out of a bye week. He should be well-prepared as coach Sean Payton is 10-6 coming off a bye in his career, including a 24-22 win over the Buffalo Bills last season. Nix has totaled 3,148 all-purpose and 22 total touchdowns through his first 13 games in the NFL. This week, he’ll look to build on those totals against an Indy defense that has allowed the fourth-most yards (379.4) per game this season.
Sunday’s game will be regionally televised on CBS (view the TV map). Playing at home, the Broncos are considered favorites against the Colts.
Colts’ Anthony Richardson has seen growth since returning in an often overlooked but important area when it comes to a QB’s success.
Since returning to the Indianapolis Colts’ staring lineup, Anthony Richardson’s play has greatly improved, including on the short, lay-up-like throws that need to be taken advantage of.
As noted by Zach Hicks of SI’s Horseshoe Huddle, prior to Week 11 on pass attempts under 10 air yards, Richardson had completed 64.9% of his 57 passes for 326 yards with three interceptions.
However, in the three games since he’s returned, Richardson is completing 78 percent of those 37 short-yardage throws for 231 yards with three touchdowns.
“I’ve seen great growth in a lot of phases,” said Shane Steichen on Monday. “His pocket presence has been really strong the last couple weeks. He’s delivering the ball where it needs to go. He’s making a ton of plays with his legs, which is great, and we’ve just got to continue that these next four weeks, for sure.”
The difference in yards per attempt between the two samples is relatively small with Richardson averaging 5.7 yards in the first sample compared to 6.2 yards in the second.
But the obvious difference, and the most important, is that he’s taking care of the football on these throws and is much more efficient.
Behind any success or failures in the game of football, there are often many factors in play. But the increased success from Richardson on these short-area throws likely stems from his improved command of the offense over the last three games, often playing within the rhythm and structure of the play.
This then leads to improved footwork and therefore mechanics, resulting in better accuracy, along with getting the ball out on time and knowing where his outlet options are if the downfield routes aren’t available.
Even through the ups and downs that the passing game had through the first half of the season, before Richardson was benched, the Colts’ offense was one of the better teams at generating explosive pass plays.
However, lacking was their efficiency on these short to intermediate passes, which put the offense behind the sticks and frequently resulted in short possessions and quick punts.
Improved efficiency on these throws will help provide the opposite of what was just described, by helping the offense stay in manageable down-and-distances by generating positive plays, hopefully leading to longer, more successful drives.
Broncos QB Bo Nix (24) is the seventh-youngest starting quarterback in the NFL.
Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix entered the NFL this spring as a 24-year-old rookie after spending five years in college.
He’s older than a typical rookie, but Nix still ranks among the youngest starting quarterbacks in the NFL going into his first season.
Of the six QBs younger than Nix, three are rookies. Bryce Young (23), Jayden Daniels (23; rookie), C.J. Stroud (23), Caleb Williams (23; rookie), Anthony Richardson (22) and Drake Maye (22; rookie) are the youngest starting QBs in the league.
J.J. McCarthy (21) would have had a chance to become the NFL’s youngest starter this year, but he’s out for the season with a torn meniscus.
Aaron Rodgers (41) is the oldest quarterback in the league, with Kirk Cousins (36), Matthew Stafford (36) and Russell Wilson (36) behind him.
Up next are Geno Smith (34), Derek Carr (33) and Dak Prescott (31).
We’ve listed the ages of all 32 starting quarterbacks below with parentheses providing context of younger QBs waiting in the wings.
NFL quarterbacks ranked oldest to youngest
Aaron Rodgers (41)
Kirk Cousins (36)
Matthew Stafford (36)
Russell Wilson (36)
Geno Smith (34)
Derek Carr (33)
Dak Prescott (31)
Jameis Winston (30)
Jared Goff (30)
Baker Mayfield (29)
Josh Allen (28)
Drew Lock (28)
Patrick Mahomes (29)
Lamar Jackson (27)
Sam Darnold (27) (J.J. McCarthy: 21)
Kyler Murray (27)
Joe Burrow (27)
Tua Tagovailoa (26)
Justin Herbert (26)
Jalen Hurts (26)
Aiden O’Connell (26)
Mac Jones (26)
Jordan Love (26)
Will Levis (25)
Brock Purdy (24)
Bo Nix (24)
Bryce Young (23)
Jayden Daniels (23)
C.J. Stroud (23)
Caleb Williams (23)
Anthony Richardson (22)
Drake Maye (22)
Earlier this year, Nix became Denver’s first rookie quarterback to start in Week 1 since John Elway in 1983. He has since broken numerous franchise rookie records.
In an interview with The Athletic, GM Chris Ballard revealed what the Colts should have don differently with Anthony Richardson as a rookie.
In an interview with The Athletic’s Jim Trotter, Indianapolis Colts’ general manager Chris Ballard acknowledged if he could do things differently, the team would have sat Anthony Richardson as a rookie to let him develop.
“Looking back on it, I wish we hadn’t played him as a rookie,” Ballard said via The Athletic. “John Dorsey (a longtime personnel man) called me and said, ‘Don’t play him.’ John had had the great wisdom from Green Bay, where they sat all those quarterbacks. And as they mature and get older, they pick up habits that we were expecting Anthony to have from the get-go.”
The Colts selected Richardson with the fourth overall pick in the 2023 draft out of Florida. Richardson came to the NFL as an uber-talented but raw and inexperienced prospect, having started only 13 collegiate games.
However, obviously knowing this, the Colts prepared themselves for the growing pains that were to come and were planning to navigate that learning curve through on-field reps rather than learning as a backup.
Slowing Richardson’s development was a season-ending shoulder injury that limited him to only four games as a rookie.
Ballard’s hindsight on this situation is likely stemming from the decision to bench Richardson following the team’s Week 8 loss to Houston. While on the field Richardson struggled through the first half of the season, what the Colts really wanted to hone in on was his day-to-day preparation, which they felt wasn’t up to the standard of what’s needed to be a successful NFL quarterback.
Presumably, by sitting as a rookie, Richardson could have learned and instilled those habits before moving into the full-time starting role, potentially resulting in a smoother transition for him from college to the NFL.
While the two games that he sat out certainly isn’t a season’s worth of time, even taking that relatively minor step back has paid massive dividends for Richardson and the Colts’ offense.
Since returning to the starting lineup, Richardson has seemingly improved in all facets, most notably displaying a greater command of the offense and operating within the timing and rhythm of the play-call, leading to better, more steady play from him, which includes leading two fourth quarter comebacks in three games.
Anthony Richardson made sure to troll the Patriots after his game-winning two-point conversion
Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson trolled the New England Patriots following his game-winning two-point conversion on Sunday.
Indy mustered a late-game comeback and won 25-24 on a late drive by Richardson and the offense. Even if the numbers don’t reflect it, the second-year quarterback was good when he needed to be against a struggling Patriots defense.
He recorded 109 passing yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions on 12-of-24 passing. He also made an impact on the ground, as he carried the ball nine times for 48 yards and a touchdown. The Florida product averaged 5.3 yards per carry on the day.
He wasn’t perfect by any stretch, but he did just enough for the Colts to pull out their sixth victory of the season. Richardson made sure to celebrate in the process, mimicking the Pat Patriot logo.
The celebration added salt to the wounds of a difficult day for the Patriots. When the season is over, this will be one of the games the team looks back on and wonder how they let it slip away.