The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Nashville Superspeedway for the inaugural Ally 400 Sunday for a green flag at 3:30 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Ally 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.
The NASCAR Cup Series makes its debut at the Nashville Superspeedway on Father’s Day.
It’s the first race in Nashville since the Federated Auto Parts 300 on July 23, 2011, an Xfinity and Camping World Truck series race. While it’s called a ‘superspeedway’, it is a 1.33-mile D-shaped track, and not a longer run like Daytona or Talladega.
2021 Ally 400: What you need to know
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:15 p.m. ET.
- Stewart-Haas Racing driver Kevin Harvick has four Xfinity races under his belt at Nashville, including a pair of wins. He also didn’t finish lower than seventh in those four Xfinity starts. While it’s been a while for Harvick, he knows the track well.
- Penske Racing’s Brad Keselowski has logged 10 runs in Nashville, taking the checkered flag twice, while leading 253 laps. He did have two DNFs during his Xfinity career at the superspeedway.
- Joe Gibbs Racing driver Kyle Busch also has 10 Xfinity starts at Nashville under his belt, and two truck series races, although the results have been mixed. He has a win, and four finishes inside the Top 5, but also a rather ordinary 12.8 Average-Finish Position (AFP).
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Who is going to win the 2021 Ally 400?
KYLE LARSON (+275) is the chalk at Nashville, and the way he has been going, why not? He wasn’t a part of the Xfinity Series when the last run was made in Nashville back in 2011, but that doesn’t matter. Larson won the All-Star race in Texas, and he also took checkers at Sonoma and Charlotte in the previous two races.
Larson has been red-hot, finishing first or second in five of his past six points races, including a runner-up finish at the Circuit of Americas, also a new track to the Cup Series.
HARVICK (+1400) has rather long odds for a guy who actually has a history at this track. Yes, it’s been over 10 years since Happy raced under the green flag in Nashville, and it wasn’t a Cup Series race, but familiarity still counts for something. His brief history is very good at this track.
More importantly for Harvick, he is due for a good performance. He finished 37th at COTA, 10th at Charlotte and 22nd at Sonoma. Still, he has finished 10th or better in five of his past seven races and has been trending up.
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2021 Ally 400 long-shot bets
AUSTIN DILLON (+5000) is another driver who has competed at this track during his time on the Xfinity circuit. He has two career starts in the Xfinity, posting finishes of third and seventh, an AFP of 5.0 with nine laps led. For the drivers with longer odds, his name stands out.
RYAN PREECE (+50000) is worth a small-unit play, as even a $1 bet would be a tremendous return. He posted a truck series race in the Rackley Roofing 200 Friday, taking home the cool guitar trophy in the Music City. That success in the lower-tier circuit should give him a little bit of confidence heading into Sunday’s run.
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