Hero World Challenge: Betting odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Here are betting odds, predictions and bet bets for the Hero World Challenge in Albany Bahamas.

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Host Tiger Woods and 17 more of the top golfers in the world are in the Bahamas this week for the Hero World Challenge. The condensed field consists of six of the top 10 golfers from the Official World Golf Ranking, including Woods and defending champ Jon Rahm. It is played at Albany which measures 7,302 yards and plays as a par 72.

The showcase tournament is the final standard stroke-play event on the PGA Tour in 2019. The Presidents Cup and QBE Shootout will run next week. There’ll then be a brief hiatus before the Sentry Tournament of Champions and Sony Open kick off the 2020 portion of the schedule in the first two weeks of January from Hawaii.


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The small field and champion pedigree of each of those in attendance means bettors need to adjust their strategies this week. Make fewer, larger wagers while focusing on those at the top of the board. Only three golfers — Bubba Watson, Kevin Kisner and Chez Reavie— have odds greater than +3000. Don’t go chasing higher payouts, as each of the past four champions entered the week ranked inside the top 10 of the OWGR.

Hero World Challenge – Odds, picks and best bets

Xander Schauffele. Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:15 p.m. ET.

Tiger Woods +900

Woods has won this event five times but not since 2011 and never at this venue. He claimed his first victory of the season at the Zozo Championship in Japan in late October but hasn’t played a pro event since. He finished second-to-last here last year, but he has since climbed to No. 7 in the world. Woods has the fourth-best world ranking among those in attendance and is fourth by the odds at BetMGM in a rare case of him not being overpriced as a public favorite.

Xander Schauffele +900

Schauffele enters the week ranked ninth by the OWGR. He most recently finished as the runner-up at the WGC-HSBC Champions following a T-10 at the Zozo Championship. He debuted at this event with a T-8 finish last year. He has been an excellent early-season performer over his young career and looks to stay hot ahead of his defense of the Tournament of Champions next month.

Webb Simpson +1200

Simpson is the second-best putter in this field behind Jordan Spieth (+2500), who will not be winning. He is coming off a solo runner-up finish at the RSM Classic and sits at No. 11 in the world ranking. This is his debut at Albany, but Rahm won in his debut a year ago.

Complete odds

Golfer Odds
Jon Rahm +400
Justin Thomas +650
Patrick Cantlay +850
Tiger Woods +900
Xander Schauffele +900
Webb Simpson +1200
Justin Rose +1400
Rickie Fowler +1400
Bryson DeChambeau +1800
Gary Woodland +1800
Patrick Reed +1800
Tony Finau +2200
Jordan Spieth +2500
Henrik Stenson +2800
Matt Kuchar +2800
Bubba Watson +3500
Kevin Kisner +4000
Chez Reavie +6000

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Hero World Challenge: Fantasy golf power rankings

Here are the fantasy golf power rankings for the World Hero Challenge.

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The 2019 Hero World Challenge brings host Tiger Woods and 17 more of the top golfers in the world to The Bahamas for the final individual PGA Tour event of 2019. The Presidents Cup and QBE Shootout will run next week before the golf world takes a short hiatus ahead of the Sentry Tournament of Champions in the first week of January.

The event returns to Albany for a fifth consecutive year. Three of the previous four champions, including defending champ Jon Rahm, are back. A total of six of the top 10 golfers from the Official World Golf Ranking are in the field and competing for their share of the $3.5 million purse.

Fantasy Golf Rankings

Here are my fantasy golf rankings for the 2019 Hero World Challenge at Albany.

18. Chez Reavie

Named as the replacement for Dustin Johnson last week, as the No. 4 golfer in the world top . Reavie enters the week ranked No. 36 in the world, having moved up from No. 63 at the end of last year.

17. Kevin Kisner

Last played here in 2017 and tied for 12th. He enters in poor form having missed the cut at the RSM Classic and tied for 76th at the Mayakoba Golf Classic.

16. Henrik Stenson

Doesn’t have a win since the 2017 Wyndham Championship but has five top-10 showings in 2019. He was fourth here last year and was the runner-up in 2016.

15. Jordan Spieth

The 2014 Hero World Challenge champ got his victory at a different venue (Isleworth Country Club). He didn’t participate last year but was T-3 in 2017. He’s the top putter in the field, but his tee-to-green game remains a mess. Has the worst OWGR ranking among those in attendance (No. 44).

14. Bubba Watson

Holds the tournament scoring record at Albany at 25-under par set in his 2015 victory. He’s collected three top 10 finishes in 2019, but he missed the cut in two of his last five events with a top finish of T-28 in that time.

13. Matt Kuchar

The 23rd-ranked golfer in the world hasn’t won since last season’s Sony Open in Hawaii. He is a two-time runner-up in 2019 with four other top 10s matching his number of missed cuts.

Gary Woodland lines up his putt on the third green during the final round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports

12. Gary Woodland

The reigning U.S. Open champ tied for eighth in his debut at Albany last year. He has slipped to No. 18 in the world after peaking at No. 12, but he is coming off a disappointing T-20 finish in a weaker field at the Japan Tour’s Dunlop Phoenix.

11. Bryson DeChambeau

Slipped from No. 5 in the world at this time last year to No. 12 entering this week. He hasn’t played in an event since finishing T-4 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open in the first week of October. A strong putter, but his ball-striking game hasn’t been in good enough form.


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10. Tony Finau

An expert ball-striker but he won’t have his usual advantage off the tee due to the tight confines of Albany with forced layups on the shorter holes. He was the runner-up last year, but he’s coming off a very disappointing missed cut in a weaker field at the Mayakoba Golf Classic.

9. Patrick Reed

Has struggled slightly with the flat stick of late. His 11th-place finish last year was his worst result in four attempts at Albany, but he was the runner-up in his 2015 debut.

Rickie Fowler walks to the fourth hole during the second round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports

8. Rickie Fowler

The 2017 champ has never finished worse than his T-5 in 2018. The No. 22 golfer in the world hasn’t played a worldwide event since his 19th-place finish at the Tour Championship to conclude the 2018-19 season.

7. Justin Rose

Leads the field in Opportunities Gained over everyone’s last 36 rounds, per Fantasy National. He finished solo third last year following a T-5 in 2017. His last victory came at the Farmers Insurance Open, and he had six other top-10 showings in 2019.

6. Webb Simpson

Enters the week just outside the top 10 in the world ranking at No. 11 following his runner-up finish at the RSM Classic. He’s the only golfer in the field making his debut at Albany, but Rahm made his debut in victory a year ago.

5. Patrick Cantlay

Twice finished as the runner-up since the beginning of August at the BMW Championship and the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Collected his second PGA Tour win at the Memorial Tournament and tied for fifth here last year.

4. Tiger Woods

The host is a five-time winner of this event but never at Albany. His top result at this venue was a T-9 in 2017. He got his first win of the season at the Zozo Championship in Japan, but he may be too focused on the Presidents Cup ahead of his duties as a player-captain.

3. Justin Thomas

Leads the field in Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking and Strokes Gained: Total but has been struggling with the putter. He failed to crack the top 10 in each of his previous two attempts at this event, but he already grabbed his first win of the season at the CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges in South Korea.

Xander Schauffele lines up his putt on the 18th green during the final round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

2. Xander Schauffele

A T-8 finisher here last year, he is coming off a runner-up result at the WGC-HSBC Champions in China. He has one victory, three runner-ups and a third-place finish in 2019.

1. Jon Rahm

Leads the field with a world ranking of No. 3 following victories in each of his last two events, at the Open de Espana and the DP World Tour Championship, Dubai. He looks to defend his title at this event with a total of three victories, two runner-ups and two third-place results in 2019.

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Tiger Woods’ tournament to raise money for Bahamian relief efforts

For every birdie made during Tiger Woods’ Hero World Challenge, $500 will be donated to the ONE Bahamas Fund.

The destruction caused by Hurricane Dorian has left thousands of Bahamians homeless three months after the Category 5 hurricane hit the Abacos and then Grand Bahama. Several PGA Tour stars playing in the Hero World Challenge have raised money for relief efforts, and the tournament will continue its support this week.

For every birdie made during the Hero, $500 will be donated to the ONE Bahamas Fund. Eagles will raise $1,000 and an ace will bring a donation of $2,500. Tiger Woods is among those in the field with homes in the Bahamas along with Justin Rose. Adam Scott, who is not playing this week as he prepares for the Presidents Cup, also has a home in Albany.

Woods teamed up with Justin Timberlake, Nexus Luxury Collection and members at Albany to establish the ONE Bahamas Fund in September. Woods, the host of this week’s Hero World Challenge, said $6 million has been raised so far.

“We’re all devastated. We’ve seen what has happened to Grand Bahama and surrounding areas,” Woods said Monday morning on Golf Channel. “We got spared; we got lucky that it stayed to the east of us. Others weren’t. Some don’t have homes any more. Some don’t have running water. We’re trying to help as much as we possibly can.”

Woods said back home in Jupiter, Florida, there’s a hotel close to his restaurant where many Bahamians are staying because they can’t get back home.

“They had no home to go back to,” Woods said. “They didn’t know what happened to family members. It was devastating to see the stories that were told. Anything we can do to help; this is just the beginning.”

Damage from Dorian has been estimated at $3.4 billion, with more than 240 people still missing, according to a report in the Miami Herald.

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