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The New York Liberty (11-2) and Las Vegas Aces (6-5) meet Saturday at the Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting; Split 2-2 in regular season
Last season, New York and Las Vegas split their 4-game regular-season series. In the Commissioner’s Cup title game, which didn’t count in the regular-season series or the standings, the Liberty rolled to an 82-63 road win as 7.5-point underdogs.
The Aces, however, would get the final bragging rights as they beat the Liberty 3 games to 1 in the best-of-5 WNBA Finals. The Aces won all but Game 3 and covered the spread in all 3 of their wins.
The Liberty enter this one on a 7-game win streak since dropping 2 in a row against the visiting Chicago Sky May 23, and at the Minnesota Lynx May 25. New York had covered 4 in a row until only beating the Washington Mystics 93-88 as a 15-point favorite Sunday in its most recent game. The Liberty are also 4-1 ATS in their past 5 road outings, while the Over has cashed in 4 of their past 6 games.
The Aces snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 103-99 road win Thursday at the Phoenix Mercury. It was the first time Las Vegas lost 3 in a row since the 2019 season. While Las Vegas won at Phoenix, the Aces didn’t cover as 6-point favorites. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 and 1-5 ATS in the last 6. As for the O/U, the Over has cashed in 3 in a row, and 7 of the previous 10 outings.
Liberty at Aces odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:32 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Liberty +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Aces -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Liberty +2.5 (-112) | Aces -2.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 171.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Liberty at Aces picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 90, Aces 86
Moneyline
NEW YORK (+110) is worth a look as a slight road ‘dog.
As mentioned, Las Vegas (-134) beat New York in the WNBA Finals in 4 games, but instead of pocket Aces, this team has been performing like a 2 and a 7 lately. Yes, the Aces won at the Mercury last time out, but they still struggled defensively, allowing 99 points.
New York has rattled off 7 in a row, which included an 81-78 win over the Mercury and an 82-75 victory last Saturday at Connecticut — it was the Sun’s 1st loss of the season.
Against the spread
If you’re not interested betting on an outright win and would rather take the little bit of points, New York +2.5 (-112) is worth a play.
Las Vegas is just 1-5 ATS in 6 games at home this season, so playing the New York isn’t a bad idea. If f you like the Liberty, you should just play them straight up on the moneyline for a better value.
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Over/Under
OVER 171.5 (-110) is a strong play whenever the Aces are associated lately.
The Over has cashed in 3 in a row for the Aces, while they also allowed 96 or more points in 3 straight games and an average of 98.3 PPG. The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games at home for the Aces, too.
For New York, the Over has cashed in 2 in a row, and in 4 of the past 6 games. The total has gone Over just once in the past 5 road games, though, so be careful.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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