Air Force vs New Mexico Prediction, Game Preview

Air Force vs New Mexico prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 2

Air Force vs New Mexico prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 2


Air Force vs New Mexico How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 2
Game Time: 6:30 ET
Venue: Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque, NM
How To Watch: Stadium
Record: Air Force (3-1), New Mexico (2-2)
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Air Force vs New Mexico Game Preview


Why Air Force Will Win

New Mexico can’t get the offense moving.

That’s it. That’s the problem against an Air Force team that dominates the time of possession battle and is terrific at grinding things out with the running game. New Mexico isn’t bad at controlling the tempo, but it’s not going to be able to do that this week.

The Lobos weren’t able to do a thing against the Texas A&M D a few weeks ago. Only gaining 122 yards against that defense isn’t a big deal, but failing to get to 300 yards against UTEP was a red flag.

As long as Air Force can run like it’s supposed to – it cranked up close to 900 yards on the ground over the last two games – there won’t be a problem.

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Why New Mexico Will Win

New Mexico might not get rolled over like it might seem.

The defense has the athleticism to get around the ball when the Falcons get outside – the safeties are the top tacklers; they aren’t going to worry all that much about the downfield passing game.

No, the Lobo O might not do enough to keep the chains moving, but there aren’t a ton of turnovers. The defense does a nice job on third downs and …

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What’s Going To Happen

Air Force might have the ball for 40 minutes. If not, that’s because New Mexico is slowing things down to a dead stop and trying to keep the Falcon attack off the field. That’s fine, but the slow Lobo drives aren’t going to lead to enough points.

Air Force will close out its first half drives with points – that might seem simple, but that’s enough. New Mexico can’t do much if it has to press with the passing attack to get back into the game.

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Air Force vs New Mexico Prediction, Line

Air Force 30, New Mexico 14
Line: Air Force -11.5, o/u: 45.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 2

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Air Force vs New Mexico Prediction, Game Preview

Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos prediction and game preview.

Air Force vs New Mexico prediction and game preview.


Air Force vs New Mexico Broadcast

Date: Friday, November 20
Game Time: 9:30 ET
Venue: Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, CO
Network: FS1

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Air Force (1-2) vs New Mexico (0-3) Game Preview

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Why New Mexico Will Win

There’s a passing game at New Mexico now.

Having a healthy Tevaka Tuioti at quarterback is a big part of it, the new coaching staff has something to do with it, and things are clicking with 200-plus yards in all three games. The Lobos came up with just five 200-yard days all of last year and four in 2018.

The Air Force defense has been okay, but it had a rough time in key moments  against the San Jose State and Boise State passing games – New Mexico will keep the the pressure on through the air.

New Mexico’s defense has a big, big problem against good passing teams, and its’ been strong against the run, having yet to allow 100 yards in any game, but …

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Why Air Force Will Win

The stats don’t tell the story for the New Mexico defense. The front doesn’t generate a lick of pressure or plays in the backfield, and the reason for the great numbers against the run are because everyone spent so much time throwing the ball.

No one has committed to the ground game yet. Granted, no one has averaged more than 3.5 yards per carry, but no one has run it more than 28 times. Air Force is about to run it about 50 times.

The Falcon defense ran into a rough day against Boise State, but it hasn’t been all that bad so far. It should be able to force New Mexico into a whole slew of third and long situations, and the offense should control the clock.

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What’s Going To Happen

New Mexico is going to continue to be decent offensively to make a push, do a lot of things right offensively, and … lose.

Air Force will be the first team that hammers the Lobo defensive front, but QB Haaziq Daniels has a shoulder injury and needs to hold up, and Warren Bryan will likely see time.

It’ll be a grind for a Falcon O that will stall too often, but it will come through with a late scoring drive – helped by a Lobo turnovers – to survive.

Air Force vs New Mexico Prediction, Line

Air Force 27, New Mexico 23
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Air Force -7.5 o/u: 55.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 2.5

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