New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech odds and lines, with college football expert picks and predictions.

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The New Mexico State Aggies (5-3, 3-1 Conference USA) and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-5, 2-2) are lined up for a Tuesday night tussle.
Kickoff at Joe Aillet Stadium is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

New Mexico State has won 3 straight games. The most recent of those was a 28-7 win at UTEP last Wednesday. The Aggies covered as 2.5-point favorites in that game and have won 3 in a row against the spread (ATS). NMSU runs 1 of the slowest-tempo offenses in FBS, but the Aggies are averaging a robust 7.7 yards per play (4th in FBS).

The Bulldogs last played Oct. 10 (31-23 loss to Middle Tennessee), and they sport more of a middle-of-the-road offense. Their 5.8 YPP ranks 64th. Louisiana Tech has lost 4 of its last 5 games.

Tuesday’s contest in northern Louisiana will mark the 1st meeting between the Aggies and Bulldogs since 2012.

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New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:27 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: New Mexico State +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Louisiana Tech -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): New Mexico State +2.5 (-105) | Louisiana Tech -2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 52 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech picks and predictions

Prediction

New Mexico State 31, Louisiana Tech 24

Moneyline

New Mexico State has hit the moneyline in 9 of its last 12 games (+16.75 units, 35% ROI).

The Aggies have the advantage in this one with regard to how their offense stays on schedule. LTU is solid against the run, and that fits well against an NMSU strength, but the Aggies can also move the ball through the air, as evidenced by a respectable 237.5 yard-per-game average in passing gains.

The Bulldogs defense has often benefited from a bend-don’t-break ability to slow opponents inside its own 40. But look for New Mexico State — a team on a better trend line — to have success on 1st downs and create better scoring chances.

Consider putting half-a-unit on the AGGIES (+120) and a half-unit on …

Against the spread

… the AGGIES +2.5 (-105) as a bit of insurance.

NMSU is an overall moderate lean here against a Louisiana Tech squad that may well exhibit some rust in its return to play in Ruston.

Over/Under

The Aggies defense can fall off schedule as much as its offense stays on. A decent back-and-forth scoring spiral could well develop in this one. The Over is a lean but there is a decent chance of a double-digit breeze tamping down the passing a bit. PASS.

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