AFC West odds, picks and prediction to win the division

Analyzing the odds to win the AFC West Division in 2021, with NFL futures picks, predictions and best bets.

The 2021 National Football League regular season is nearly upon us, and the defending AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs are looking to repeat in the division. Below, we analyze the AFC West and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The AFC West is composed of the Denver Broncos, Kansas City Chiefs, Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers.

The Chiefs are the heavy favorites to repeat as division champs. They have won each of the past five AFC West Division crowns posting a combined regular-season record of 60-20 during the impressive run.

The Chargers saw QB Justin Herbert step in last season and take control of the offense. While a late four-game win streak wasn’t enough to save the job of head coach Anthony Lynn, there is still plenty of like about the Bolts.

The Broncos also made some big offseason moves to put themselves in position to challenge for the division title. They won five straight division titles from 2011-15 prior to the run of the Chiefs.

The Chargers haven’t won the West since 2009, while the Raiders have the longest drought in the division last winning the title in 2002.

Odds to win AFC West

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Chiefs: -319 (bet $319 to win $100)
  • Chargers: +450 (bet $100 to win $450)
  • Broncos: +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
  • Raiders: +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500)

The Chiefs are the only team without plus-money odds. The Chargers, Broncos and Raiders each return more money than your original bet, should they win the division. The Raiders are the biggest long shot odds in the AFC West with +1500 odds representing an implied win probability of 6.25%.

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AFC West picks and predictions

The CHIEFS (-319) aren’t a great value, but they’re going to be the AFC West Division winners barring a major, major disaster and/or injuries to key personnel.

If you’re going to roll the dice on one of the underdogs in the division, take a look at the BRONCOS (+550). They added QB Teddy Bridgewater to push QB Drew Lock under center. More importantly, the Broncos have some of the best wide receivers in the division with KJ Hamler, Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton leading the way.

The Broncos have a little more stability and a more impressive offense to give the Chiefs a run for their money.

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The best value is on the Broncos, while the Chiefs are the biggest certainty. It’s not recommended to tie up a lot of money into a singular bet with such little return. However, if you can drop Kansas City into a multi-team futures parlay, that’s your best wager.

There is no reason to waste any of your hard-earned money on the Chargers or Raiders. The Raiders have some nice pieces, but their defense is still a work in progress, and they’ll struggle to hold the opposition down.

I don’t think the Chargers are quite there yet. Herbert is impressive, but the Bolts have a new head coach in Brandon Staley, and it might take him a little while to find his sea legs in a rough and tumble division.

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2020 NFL Futures Betting: AFC West Division Winner

Analyzing the 2020 NFL futures odds for which team will win the AFC West Division, with sports betting picks, tips and best bets.

It’s always tough to bet against a defending Super Bowl champion, much less betting against them to win their respective division the following season. As it pertains to the AFC West, there is no more dominating betting odds than what the Kansas City Chiefs are proposed to do in 2020.

Kansas City has been the dominant team in the AFC West for years. The Chiefs have won the West each of the last four seasons, posting regular-season win totals of 12, 12, 10 and 12. Their dominance has been unquestioned and their success speaks to the ability of the team to maintain a high level of play and display the kind of regular-season consistency typically reserved for franchises like the New England Patriots.

2020 AFC West odds: Kansas City Chiefs (-500)

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, March 2 at 1:20 p.m. ET.

The Chiefs are the runaway favorite at -500. While teams can have up-and-down levels of success from one year to the next, most consistent successful franchises have a star quarterback who develops an entire offense. Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes has done that in his two full seasons as a starter. The same can’t be said for the rest of the division.

2020 AFC West odds: Los Angeles Chargers (+700)

The Chargers have moved on from veteran QB Philip Rivers. While they will likely end up bringing in another high profile veteran to keep the team afloat, they have a ton of free agents they have to deal with and the team could look a lot different in 2020. Regardless, it will take time to develop a rapport offensively.


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2020 AFC West odds: Las Vegas Raiders (+1000)

In Las Vegas, the relocated Raiders are at a crossroads with QB Derek Carr, who has shown flashes, but has been inconsistent –  the Raiders have a record of 17-31 over the last three seasons. Coach Jon Gruden and GM Mike Mayock are making improvements, but haven’t reached the point of legitimate contention.

2020 AFC West odds: Denver Broncos (+1200)

In the four seasons since Peyton Manning retired, the Broncos have had seven different starting quarterbacks and a different primary starter each of the last three seasons with no success. 2020 looks to be the fourth straight year with a new starting QB who will be the anointed starter moving forward.

Many bettors have a hard time laying the kind of odds you need to bet on Kansas City, but the odds are steep for a reason. Even if the Chiefs suffer some key injuries, the Chiefs are going to win the division. Take KANSAS CITY (-500) and cash in a small return.

Want action on the AFC West Division winner? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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