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The Las Vegas Aces (8-6) and Chicago Sky (6-9) meet Thursday at Wintrust Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Sky odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting; Aces went 5-0 vs. Sky last year — 3-0 in regular season and 2-0 in playoffs
The Aces picked up a pair of home wins prior to the Commissioner’s Cup title game break, building some confidence. Las Vegas topped the Seattle Storm 94-83 as a 6.5-point favorite as the Over (173) cashed June 19, before upending the Connecticut Sun 85-74 to cover as a 5-point favorite with the Under (165.5) hitting Friday.
Aces superstar C A’ja Wilson was good for 26 points and 16 rebounds in the win over the Sun. The South Carolina product leads the W in points (27.8) and rebounds (11.6) per game, while ranking 2nd in blocks (2.4) per game. She also averages 2.5 assists and 1.9 steals.
After a 1-4 straight-up (SU) skid, and 0-5 against the spread (ATS) drought, the Aces have won and covered back-to-back games for the first time since May 25-29.
The Sky nipped the Indiana Fever 88-87 Sunday in their most recent game. However, Chicago failed to cover as a 1.5-point home favorite with the Over (169.5) cashing. Rookie F Angel Reese scored a career-high 25 points to go along with 16 rebounds as the Sky rallied from a 15-point deficit late in the 3rd quarter. It was Reese’s 8th consecutive double-double, a WNBA rookie record. G Chennedy Carter chimed in with 23 points, 5 assists and 2 boards.
It was the 1st time since Chicago won back-to-back games since the 2nd and 3rd games of the season. But the Sky are just 1-5 ATS in the past 6 games, and 2-7 ATS across the previous 9.
Aces at Sky odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:07 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Aces -590 (bet $590 to win $100) | Sky +410 (bet $100 to win $410)
- Against the spread: Aces -10 (-110) | Sky +10 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 170.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Aces at Sky picks and predictions
Prediction
Aces 94, Sky 85
Moneyline
Las Vegas (-590) will cost nearly 6 times the potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward, either as a standalone bet or part of a multi-leg parlay.
Over the long term, betting such heavy favorites is a losing strategy, and therefore not recommended.
PASS.
Against the spread
Back CHICAGO +10 (-110) catching double digits at home, although know that it is likely going to be a close shave.
Las Vegas has looked more like itself lately, but it still is only coming off back-to-back wins and covers at home. On the road, the Aces are just 1-3 ATS in the past 4 tries. So, until they start ticking off covers on the road, fade them.
Also, as a double-digit favorite, Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in 5 tries this season, while Chicago not only covered its only previous game as a double-digit underdog, but it also won outright 90-81 at the New York Liberty May 23.
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Over/Under
OVER 170.5 (-112) might be the best play on the board.
The Aces offense managed 89.5 point per game (PPG) across their modest 2-game resurgence, and the Aces have scored 85 or more points in 5 of their past 6 outings. The Over is 4-2 in that 6-game span, too. In addition, Las Vegas has conceded 90 or more points in 4 of the past 6 games.
The Sky have cashed high on the total in 5 of the past 6 games, as the offense has also produced 80 or more points in 5 of the previous 6 outings. The defense is still rather giving, too, allowing 83 or more points in 5 of the previous 6 contests.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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